Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.9#349
Expected Predictive Rating-13.1#342
Pace68.2#184
Improvement+1.1#140

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#293
First Shot-2.6#246
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#284
Layup/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows-0.4#198
Improvement+1.1#124

Defense
Total Defense-8.6#358
First Shot-7.9#356
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#246
Layups/Dunks-4.6#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#330
Freethrows+0.7#129
Improvement+0.0#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 55.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 45 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 187   Nebraska Omaha L 76-79 20%     0 - 1 -7.1 -3.0 -4.1
  Nov 11, 2024 358   @ The Citadel L 52-74 46%     0 - 2 -33.8 -23.5 -11.1
  Nov 16, 2024 50   @ Oklahoma L 64-85 2%     0 - 3 -7.6 -3.1 -4.5
  Nov 21, 2024 221   Toledo L 78-103 18%     0 - 4 -28.2 -4.2 -22.8
  Nov 22, 2024 150   East Carolina L 64-71 11%     0 - 5 -6.3 -7.1 +0.6
  Nov 23, 2024 236   La Salle L 77-92 20%     0 - 6 -19.0 -0.5 -17.9
  Dec 03, 2024 176   @ South Florida L 72-74 9%     0 - 7 -0.4 +0.7 -1.1
  Dec 08, 2024 256   Mercer L 83-89 OT 31%     0 - 8 -13.8 -2.3 -10.8
  Dec 14, 2024 268   Florida International L 72-81 32%     0 - 9 -17.1 -2.2 -14.9
  Dec 17, 2024 72   @ LSU L 53-99 3%     0 - 10 -35.6 -13.7 -21.8
  Dec 29, 2024 4   @ Florida L 45-85 0.3%    0 - 11 -15.2 -20.0 +7.4
  Jan 02, 2025 231   @ Queens L 87-96 14%     0 - 12 0 - 1 -10.3 +4.8 -14.3
  Jan 04, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 78-62 40%     1 - 12 1 - 1 +5.8 +0.8 +5.1
  Jan 09, 2025 344   Central Arkansas W 75-65 57%     2 - 12 2 - 1 -4.8 +4.9 -8.4
  Jan 11, 2025 134   North Alabama L 64-92 14%     2 - 13 2 - 2 -29.2 -4.8 -27.2
  Jan 16, 2025 231   Queens L 60-95 27%     2 - 14 2 - 3 -41.4 -20.1 -19.9
  Jan 18, 2025 348   West Georgia W 82-78 59%     3 - 14 3 - 3 -11.3 +5.0 -16.2
  Jan 23, 2025 191   @ Eastern Kentucky W 67-66 11%     4 - 14 4 - 3 +1.7 -0.9 +2.7
  Jan 25, 2025 340   @ Bellarmine W 81-76 36%     5 - 14 5 - 3 -4.1 +2.0 -5.9
  Jan 29, 2025 266   @ North Florida L 100-101 OT 18%     5 - 15 5 - 4 -4.0 +2.5 -6.3
  Feb 01, 2025 180   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 56-82 10%     5 - 16 5 - 5 -24.5 -10.6 -17.2
  Feb 06, 2025 193   Jacksonville L 65-74 21%     5 - 17 5 - 6 -13.4 -7.4 -6.1
  Feb 08, 2025 191   Eastern Kentucky L 58-83 21%     5 - 18 5 - 7 -29.4 -15.5 -15.6
  Feb 13, 2025 101   @ Lipscomb L 60-93 4%     5 - 19 5 - 8 -26.0 -6.6 -20.9
  Feb 15, 2025 276   @ Austin Peay L 63-76 20%     5 - 20 5 - 9 -16.9 +2.3 -21.9
  Feb 18, 2025 266   North Florida L 71-79 32%     5 - 21 5 - 10 -16.1 -11.8 -4.1
  Feb 20, 2025 180   Florida Gulf Coast L 80-83 19%     5 - 22 5 - 11 -6.6 +10.2 -17.1
  Feb 24, 2025 340   Bellarmine W 78-77 56%    
  Feb 26, 2025 193   @ Jacksonville L 65-79 10%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 40.2 53.9 5.7 99.8 9th
10th 0.2 0.2 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 40.4 53.9 5.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 53.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 53.9
5-13 40.4% 40.4
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 22.5%