Preseason Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#290
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.5#267
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#238
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 6.2% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 30.5% 39.1% 15.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.6% 56.0% 38.6%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.7% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 6.1% 12.0%
First Four1.4% 1.6% 1.2%
First Round4.4% 5.5% 2.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 410 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 302   Nebraska Omaha W 73-69 63%    
  Nov 11, 2024 325   @ The Citadel L 68-69 50%    
  Nov 16, 2024 55   @ Oklahoma L 61-80 4%    
  Nov 21, 2024 168   Toledo L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 03, 2024 102   @ South Florida L 63-78 10%    
  Dec 08, 2024 208   Mercer L 69-70 46%    
  Dec 14, 2024 275   Florida International W 75-73 56%    
  Dec 17, 2024 54   @ LSU L 64-83 5%    
  Dec 29, 2024 25   @ Florida L 66-88 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 289   @ Queens L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 351   @ West Georgia W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 09, 2025 341   Central Arkansas W 77-69 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 231   North Alabama L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 16, 2025 289   Queens W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 351   West Georgia W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 23, 2025 255   @ Eastern Kentucky L 71-76 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 299   @ Bellarmine L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 29, 2025 254   @ North Florida L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 06, 2025 222   Jacksonville L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 255   Eastern Kentucky W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 13, 2025 158   @ Lipscomb L 70-80 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 281   @ Austin Peay L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 18, 2025 254   North Florida W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 20, 2025 206   Florida Gulf Coast L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 24, 2025 299   Bellarmine W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 26, 2025 222   @ Jacksonville L 65-72 29%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 2.8 0.8 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.4 5.4 7.4 9.4 10.8 11.3 11.1 10.5 8.9 7.0 5.4 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 92.0% 0.9    0.7 0.1 0.0
15-3 71.6% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 42.8% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 47.6% 47.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 42.2% 42.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 38.6% 38.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.0% 27.5% 27.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.5
14-4 3.5% 20.4% 20.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.8
13-5 5.4% 14.8% 14.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 4.6
12-6 7.0% 10.2% 10.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.3
11-7 8.9% 6.9% 6.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 8.3
10-8 10.5% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.9
9-9 11.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.8
8-10 11.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.2
7-11 10.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.7
6-12 9.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.3
5-13 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-14 5.4% 5.4
3-15 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.4
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%