Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#298
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#289
Pace67.9#212
Improvement-0.2#194

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#270
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#281
Layup/Dunks-2.5#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#147
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement-1.9#313

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#294
First Shot-5.2#332
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#77
Layups/Dunks-1.3#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#257
Freethrows-3.0#339
Improvement+1.6#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.1% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.1% 4.7% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 24.8% 28.2% 20.6%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 24.1% 21.8% 27.1%
First Four1.4% 1.5% 1.3%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 55.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 48 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 344   @ Stetson W 79-76 56%     1 - 0 -5.8 -0.6 -5.3
  Nov 09, 2024 114   @ Minnesota L 64-68 11%     1 - 1 +2.4 -0.4 +2.6
  Nov 14, 2024 108   @ UNLV L 69-80 10%     1 - 2 -4.0 -4.1 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2024 218   @ Southern Utah L 73-79 23%     1 - 3 -5.6 +0.6 -6.2
  Nov 22, 2024 297   Alabama St. L 67-85 50%     1 - 4 -25.2 -12.7 -12.0
  Nov 23, 2024 163   @ Akron L 84-92 18%     1 - 5 -5.3 +17.0 -22.8
  Nov 24, 2024 175   Lamar W 65-59 27%     2 - 5 +5.1 -1.5 +7.1
  Nov 30, 2024 207   Abilene Christian L 55-71 42%     2 - 6 -21.1 -16.6 -5.5
  Dec 04, 2024 141   Montana St. L 65-76 31%     2 - 7 -13.1 -4.5 -9.5
  Dec 07, 2024 335   @ Sacramento St. W 70-60 51%     3 - 7 +2.6 +0.0 +3.2
  Dec 13, 2024 98   @ Northern Iowa L 58-78 8%     3 - 8 -11.5 -7.8 -5.2
  Dec 15, 2024 5   @ Iowa St. L 51-83 1%     3 - 9 -9.6 -11.6 +1.7
  Dec 21, 2024 265   Cal Poly W 81-80 56%    
  Jan 02, 2025 278   @ North Dakota L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 04, 2025 130   @ North Dakota St. L 67-79 13%    
  Jan 08, 2025 240   UMKC W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 123   South Dakota St. L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 15, 2025 318   @ Denver L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 23, 2025 142   St. Thomas L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 294   @ Oral Roberts L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 29, 2025 235   @ South Dakota L 79-85 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 318   Denver W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 06, 2025 278   North Dakota W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 130   North Dakota St. L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 13, 2025 123   @ South Dakota St. L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 142   @ St. Thomas L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 19, 2025 240   @ UMKC L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 235   South Dakota L 81-82 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 294   Oral Roberts W 75-72 60%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.1 4.5 0.9 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 7.2 5.8 1.0 0.0 16.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 7.8 6.2 1.0 0.0 17.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.3 7.3 5.3 1.1 0.0 17.6 8th
9th 0.3 1.5 3.9 5.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 14.8 9th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.4 8.8 13.2 16.2 16.4 14.3 10.8 7.2 3.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 97.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 85.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 47.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-5 19.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 12.1% 12.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.2% 12.4% 12.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.8% 13.8% 13.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-5 1.8% 7.5% 7.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
10-6 3.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.1 0.1 3.7
9-7 7.2% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.9
8-8 10.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 10.5
7-9 14.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 14.0
6-10 16.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 16.2
5-11 16.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.1
4-12 13.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.2
3-13 8.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.8
2-14 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4
1-15 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%