Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#187
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Pace68.3#179
Improvement+6.8#6

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#106
First Shot+2.7#103
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#207
Layup/Dunks-0.2#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#124
Freethrows+1.0#116
Improvement+6.4#4

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#295
First Shot-6.0#344
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#39
Layups/Dunks-1.1#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#293
Freethrows-3.6#355
Improvement+0.4#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 11.2% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 76.1% 91.9% 36.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.6%
First Round11.1% 11.1% 11.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 71.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 61 - 7
Quad 34 - 15 - 9
Quad 412 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 349   @ Stetson W 79-76 80%     1 - 0 -7.3 -2.1 -5.3
  Nov 09, 2024 76   @ Minnesota L 64-68 14%     1 - 1 +5.9 +0.0 +5.7
  Nov 14, 2024 98   @ UNLV L 69-80 20%     1 - 2 -3.6 -1.7 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2024 282   @ Southern Utah L 73-79 60%     1 - 3 -10.1 +0.0 -10.2
  Nov 22, 2024 311   Alabama St. L 67-85 75%     1 - 4 -26.7 -12.3 -13.9
  Nov 23, 2024 102   @ Akron L 84-92 21%     1 - 5 -1.1 +19.3 -21.0
  Nov 24, 2024 194   Lamar W 65-59 51%     2 - 5 +4.1 -1.6 +6.2
  Nov 30, 2024 211   Abilene Christian L 55-71 64%     2 - 6 -21.2 -13.4 -8.7
  Dec 04, 2024 188   Montana St. L 65-76 60%     2 - 7 -15.1 -3.7 -12.3
  Dec 07, 2024 332   @ Sacramento St. W 70-60 74%     3 - 7 +1.8 -1.0 +3.4
  Dec 13, 2024 100   @ Northern Iowa L 58-78 20%     3 - 8 -12.9 -7.3 -7.1
  Dec 15, 2024 9   @ Iowa St. L 51-83 3%     3 - 9 -10.8 -10.0 -1.1
  Dec 21, 2024 242   Cal Poly W 86-82 70%     4 - 9 -3.0 +5.0 -8.2
  Jan 02, 2025 278   @ North Dakota W 95-85 59%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +6.1 +12.9 -7.2
  Jan 04, 2025 136   @ North Dakota St. W 85-80 30%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +8.9 +9.8 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2025 245   UMKC W 77-58 71%     7 - 9 3 - 0 +11.7 +6.6 +6.2
  Jan 11, 2025 111   South Dakota St. W 87-80 41%     8 - 9 4 - 0 +7.7 +11.6 -4.0
  Jan 15, 2025 315   @ Denver W 80-62 69%     9 - 9 5 - 0 +11.4 +13.6 -0.2
  Jan 23, 2025 126   St. Thomas W 89-78 47%     10 - 9 6 - 0 +10.2 +9.4 +0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 322   @ Oral Roberts W 84-76 70%     11 - 9 7 - 0 +1.1 +6.1 -4.9
  Jan 29, 2025 243   @ South Dakota L 87-91 51%     11 - 10 7 - 1 -5.9 +3.0 -8.7
  Feb 01, 2025 315   Denver W 78-69 83%     12 - 10 8 - 1 -2.7 +2.5 -4.9
  Feb 06, 2025 278   North Dakota W 80-77 76%     13 - 10 9 - 1 -6.0 +4.5 -10.3
  Feb 08, 2025 136   North Dakota St. W 85-74 49%     14 - 10 10 - 1 +9.8 +12.4 -1.9
  Feb 13, 2025 111   @ South Dakota St. L 85-98 24%     14 - 11 10 - 2 -7.2 +10.7 -17.4
  Feb 15, 2025 126   @ St. Thomas L 84-95 28%     14 - 12 10 - 3 -6.7 +9.2 -15.9
  Feb 19, 2025 245   @ UMKC W 78-66 52%     15 - 12 11 - 3 +9.8 +11.9 -1.2
  Feb 22, 2025 243   South Dakota W 89-84 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 322   Oral Roberts W 84-74 85%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 14.7 61.2 76.1 1st
2nd 2.0 19.4 21.4 2nd
3rd 2.5 2.5 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 4.7 34.1 61.2 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 61.2    27.0 34.2
12-4 43.0% 14.7    1.3 6.7 6.7
11-5 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 76.1% 76.1 28.3 40.9 6.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 61.2% 11.4% 11.4% 14.3 0.0 0.5 3.6 2.7 0.1 54.2
12-4 34.1% 10.9% 10.9% 15.1 0.0 0.5 2.3 0.9 30.4
11-5 4.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 4.2
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.2 1.3 88.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.0% 100.0% 14.3 0.1 7.6 51.4 39.1 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 23.9%
Lose Out 1.8%