Denver
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#315
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#307
Pace66.9#214
Improvement+3.0#62

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#315
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#320
Layup/Dunks-5.9#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#137
Freethrows-0.4#199
Improvement-1.0#234

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#287
First Shot-3.4#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#219
Layups/Dunks-5.3#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#31
Freethrows-3.0#346
Improvement+4.0#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 0.0% 7.5%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Away) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 46 - 78 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 88   @ Stanford L 62-85 6%     0 - 1 -14.1 -6.7 -7.7
  Nov 12, 2024 67   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 4%     0 - 2 +1.9 -2.3 +4.0
  Nov 17, 2024 188   Montana St. W 79-78 31%     1 - 2 -3.1 -2.1 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2024 182   @ Montana L 73-83 16%     1 - 3 -8.6 -6.2 -1.9
  Nov 25, 2024 114   Cal St. Northridge L 60-89 13%     1 - 4 -26.2 -12.5 -13.0
  Nov 26, 2024 290   Utah Tech L 54-68 42%     1 - 5 -21.0 -16.7 -6.2
  Dec 01, 2024 284   @ Portland L 90-101 2OT 32%     1 - 6 -15.4 -6.8 -6.2
  Dec 04, 2024 332   Sacramento St. W 80-59 66%     2 - 6 +7.7 +11.1 -1.1
  Dec 07, 2024 201   @ Portland St. W 68-67 18%     3 - 6 +1.4 +6.3 -4.8
  Dec 15, 2024 342   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-74 51%     3 - 7 -24.5 -5.8 -21.5
  Dec 17, 2024 242   @ Cal Poly L 94-95 OT 24%     3 - 8 -2.9 +4.2 -6.9
  Dec 21, 2024 151   Northern Colorado L 75-82 24%     3 - 9 -8.9 +5.4 -15.0
  Jan 02, 2025 111   @ South Dakota St. L 70-91 9%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -15.2 -7.3 -6.1
  Jan 04, 2025 243   @ South Dakota L 84-91 24%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -8.9 +1.1 -9.6
  Jan 09, 2025 278   North Dakota L 70-95 50%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -34.0 -12.1 -21.6
  Jan 11, 2025 136   North Dakota St. L 50-69 23%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -20.2 -21.8 -1.0
  Jan 15, 2025 187   Nebraska Omaha L 62-80 31%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -22.1 -9.2 -14.9
  Jan 18, 2025 126   @ St. Thomas L 62-74 11%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -7.7 -8.4 -0.1
  Jan 23, 2025 322   @ Oral Roberts W 70-68 41%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -4.9 -4.0 -0.8
  Jan 30, 2025 245   UMKC W 69-68 43%     5 - 15 2 - 6 -6.3 -0.6 -5.6
  Feb 01, 2025 187   @ Nebraska Omaha L 69-78 17%     5 - 16 2 - 7 -8.0 -4.4 -3.9
  Feb 06, 2025 243   South Dakota L 79-86 42%     5 - 17 2 - 8 -14.0 -8.4 -5.0
  Feb 08, 2025 126   St. Thomas L 76-79 21%     5 - 18 2 - 9 -3.8 +5.3 -9.3
  Feb 13, 2025 278   @ North Dakota W 68-64 31%     6 - 18 3 - 9 +0.1 -13.3 +13.2
  Feb 15, 2025 136   @ North Dakota St. L 84-89 OT 12%     6 - 19 3 - 10 -1.1 +1.4 -2.1
  Feb 19, 2025 322   Oral Roberts W 71-60 61%     7 - 19 4 - 10 -1.0 -4.5 +4.4
  Feb 27, 2025 245   @ UMKC L 63-70 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 111   South Dakota St. L 69-79 18%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 17.6 26.5 4.9 49.0 6th
7th 33.2 6.0 0.1 39.2 7th
8th 11.7 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 62.5 32.5 5.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 5.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.0
5-11 32.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 32.2
4-12 62.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.3 62.3
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 49.1%