Portland
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#308
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#304
Pace69.6#155
Improvement+3.0#53

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#253
First Shot+1.4#133
After Offensive Rebound-4.4#357
Layup/Dunks-2.1#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#82
Freethrows+0.2#162
Improvement+5.4#7

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#328
First Shot-5.6#342
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#145
Layups/Dunks+0.1#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#357
Freethrows+3.8#6
Improvement-2.4#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.5% 28.0% 62.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 58.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 30 - 71 - 18
Quad 46 - 57 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 165   UC Santa Barbara L 53-94 30%     0 - 1 -43.7 -23.3 -19.2
  Nov 12, 2024 28   @ Oregon L 70-80 OT 2%     0 - 2 +6.1 -3.9 +11.3
  Nov 16, 2024 293   @ Long Beach St. W 63-61 37%     1 - 2 -2.9 -4.3 +1.7
  Nov 21, 2024 154   South Florida L 68-74 20%     1 - 3 -5.4 -6.1 +0.8
  Nov 22, 2024 147   Ohio L 73-85 19%     1 - 4 -10.9 -8.7 -0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 122   Princeton L 67-94 15%     1 - 5 -24.4 -9.7 -13.1
  Dec 01, 2024 340   Denver W 101-90 2OT 72%     2 - 5 -3.3 -1.9 -3.8
  Dec 06, 2024 159   @ Kent St. L 57-76 15%     2 - 6 -16.0 -5.9 -11.6
  Dec 10, 2024 223   UMKC L 64-69 42%     2 - 7 -11.3 -6.9 -4.6
  Dec 18, 2024 234   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-81 44%     2 - 8 -23.8 -5.3 -20.5
  Dec 21, 2024 276   Lafayette W 74-64 54%     3 - 8 +0.8 -2.5 +3.1
  Dec 28, 2024 85   Washington St. L 73-89 13%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -12.0 -0.9 -10.4
  Dec 30, 2024 70   @ Oregon St. L 79-89 5%     3 - 10 0 - 2 +0.6 +17.5 -17.8
  Jan 02, 2025 14   @ Gonzaga L 50-81 1%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -11.6 -16.3 +4.3
  Jan 04, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 58-81 6%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -13.1 -6.8 -7.4
  Jan 09, 2025 75   @ San Francisco L 72-81 5%     3 - 13 0 - 5 +1.1 +8.8 -8.3
  Jan 16, 2025 302   Pacific W 84-81 OT 59%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -7.6 +2.9 -10.6
  Jan 18, 2025 85   @ Washington St. L 70-92 6%     4 - 14 1 - 6 -12.5 -1.3 -10.1
  Jan 23, 2025 290   San Diego W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 25, 2025 14   Gonzaga L 70-92 2%    
  Jan 30, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-77 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 203   @ Pepperdine L 70-79 19%    
  Feb 06, 2025 67   Santa Clara L 70-84 10%    
  Feb 13, 2025 70   Oregon St. L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 19, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 56-80 1%    
  Feb 22, 2025 302   @ Pacific L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 27, 2025 203   Pepperdine L 73-76 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 290   @ San Diego L 72-76 36%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 7th
8th 1.7 6.0 4.7 1.4 0.1 13.8 8th
9th 5.7 16.0 9.2 1.6 0.0 32.4 9th
10th 5.3 15.7 6.2 0.5 0.0 27.7 10th
11th 6.0 13.3 5.1 0.3 24.6 11th
Total 6.0 18.5 26.4 24.1 15.7 6.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.5% 0.5
7-11 2.0% 2.0
6-12 6.7% 6.7
5-13 15.7% 15.7
4-14 24.1% 24.1
3-15 26.4% 26.4
2-16 18.5% 18.5
1-17 6.0% 6.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.0%