Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#232
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#218
Pace64.1#295
Improvement-0.4#202

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
First Shot-2.4#238
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#114
Layup/Dunks-4.2#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#353
Freethrows+1.9#73
Improvement+0.7#135

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#262
First Shot-3.2#274
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks+1.3#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#158
Freethrows-5.8#364
Improvement-1.1#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 14.9
.500 or above 14.4% 20.6% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 46.8% 21.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.5% 4.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 55.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 34 - 64 - 13
Quad 49 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 116   @ California L 73-86 19%     0 - 1 -7.6 -2.2 -4.9
  Nov 11, 2024 111   North Dakota St. W 86-81 33%     1 - 1 +5.4 +17.0 -11.1
  Nov 16, 2024 257   Fresno St. W 74-58 65%     2 - 1 +7.9 -4.4 +11.6
  Nov 22, 2024 170   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 54-74 27%     2 - 2 -17.8 -6.7 -15.2
  Nov 23, 2024 239   Florida International L 73-76 OT 51%     2 - 3 -7.4 -1.4 -5.8
  Nov 24, 2024 198   Northeastern W 68-60 41%     3 - 3 +6.1 +3.0 +4.0
  Nov 30, 2024 238   @ Southern Utah L 64-74 41%     3 - 4 -11.7 -6.5 -5.7
  Dec 05, 2024 61   @ UC Irvine L 66-82 8%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -4.2 +4.3 -8.7
  Dec 07, 2024 81   @ UC San Diego L 60-81 10%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -11.2 -7.6 -3.8
  Dec 18, 2024 308   @ Portland W 81-64 56%     4 - 6 +11.4 +14.1 -0.7
  Dec 21, 2024 228   Portland St. L 58-59 59%     4 - 7 -7.4 -15.2 +7.8
  Dec 23, 2024 111   @ North Dakota St. L 60-94 18%     4 - 8 -28.4 -13.4 -15.9
  Jan 02, 2025 227   UC Davis W 75-64 59%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +4.6 +8.8 -3.4
  Jan 04, 2025 295   Long Beach St. W 80-65 72%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +4.7 +11.6 -4.8
  Jan 09, 2025 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-78 26%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -9.4 -2.2 -7.9
  Jan 11, 2025 136   Cal St. Northridge W 94-90 38%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +3.1 +14.9 -12.1
  Jan 18, 2025 180   @ Hawaii L 70-81 29%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -9.3 -1.7 -7.5
  Jan 23, 2025 311   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 172   UC Riverside L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 30, 2025 288   Cal Poly W 81-75 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 136   @ Cal St. Northridge L 71-79 20%    
  Feb 06, 2025 165   UC Santa Barbara L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 172   @ UC Riverside L 67-73 27%    
  Feb 13, 2025 81   UC San Diego L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 311   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 20, 2025 227   @ UC Davis L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 61   UC Irvine L 63-74 17%    
  Feb 27, 2025 295   @ Long Beach St. W 70-69 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 288   @ Cal Poly W 78-77 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 180   Hawaii L 68-69 49%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.1 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.1 2.6 0.3 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 6.2 4.2 0.7 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 6.5 6.2 1.3 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 8.2 8.7 2.1 0.0 21.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.1 8.6 7.9 2.0 0.1 22.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 3.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.1 1.0 3.7 8.5 14.3 18.2 18.8 16.4 10.6 5.6 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 13.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.2% 0.2
14-6 0.5% 10.0% 10.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
12-8 5.6% 1.2% 1.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 5.5
11-9 10.6% 1.1% 1.1% 14.6 0.1 0.1 10.5
10-10 16.4% 0.6% 0.6% 15.1 0.1 0.0 16.3
9-11 18.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 18.7
8-12 18.2% 18.2
7-13 14.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.3
6-14 8.5% 8.5
5-15 3.7% 3.7
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 99.5 0.0%