Preseason Rankings
UC Riverside
Big West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#183
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.9#224
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 17.0% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.0 13.8
.500 or above 49.8% 77.3% 47.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.2% 83.2% 65.8%
Conference Champion 10.9% 20.2% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 0.8% 3.4%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round9.5% 16.9% 8.9%
Second Round1.2% 2.9% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 7.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 411 - 416 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 34   @ Oregon L 63-78 8%    
  Nov 08, 2024 32   @ BYU L 66-81 8%    
  Nov 12, 2024 163   @ California Baptist L 64-68 36%    
  Nov 19, 2024 98   @ Santa Clara L 68-78 20%    
  Nov 22, 2024 84   @ Colorado St. L 63-74 17%    
  Nov 24, 2024 324   Alcorn St. W 77-65 84%    
  Nov 30, 2024 279   @ Idaho W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 05, 2024 239   @ Cal St. Northridge L 74-75 50%    
  Dec 07, 2024 244   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-65 70%    
  Dec 18, 2024 149   Montana St. W 72-71 55%    
  Dec 21, 2024 95   @ UNLV L 64-74 20%    
  Dec 29, 2024 201   St. Thomas W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 02, 2025 245   @ Long Beach St. W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 103   @ UC Irvine L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 09, 2025 192   Hawaii W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 167   @ UC Santa Barbara L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 18, 2025 162   UC San Diego W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 23, 2025 103   UC Irvine L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 278   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-65 55%    
  Jan 30, 2025 191   UC Davis W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 345   Cal Poly W 74-60 88%    
  Feb 06, 2025 162   @ UC San Diego L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 278   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-62 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 191   @ UC Davis L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 167   UC Santa Barbara W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 20, 2025 245   Long Beach St. W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 22, 2025 345   @ Cal Poly W 71-63 74%    
  Feb 28, 2025 192   @ Hawaii L 67-69 42%    
  Mar 06, 2025 239   Cal St. Northridge W 78-72 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 244   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 68-67 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 2.8 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 10.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.0 3.7 2.1 0.6 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.9 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.7 4.7 2.0 0.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.4 1.5 0.2 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.0 1.2 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.1 0.8 0.1 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.8 4.3 6.0 7.7 9.0 10.0 10.7 10.3 9.9 8.6 6.9 5.1 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 94.7% 1.5    1.4 0.2
17-3 81.8% 2.6    2.0 0.6 0.0
16-4 55.1% 2.8    1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 30.8% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0
14-6 8.6% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 7.0 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 64.8% 63.4% 1.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.9%
19-1 0.7% 51.1% 50.4% 0.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.5%
18-2 1.6% 43.8% 43.4% 0.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.8%
17-3 3.2% 39.1% 39.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 2.0
16-4 5.1% 31.8% 31.8% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.5
15-5 6.9% 24.8% 24.8% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.2
14-6 8.6% 17.8% 17.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 7.1
13-7 9.9% 11.3% 11.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 8.8
12-8 10.3% 6.1% 6.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.7
11-9 10.7% 3.0% 3.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.3
10-10 10.0% 1.7% 1.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8
9-11 9.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.9
8-12 7.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.7
7-13 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
6-14 4.3% 4.3
5-15 2.8% 2.8
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.7% 9.6% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 2.7 2.0 0.7 90.3 0.0%