Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#133
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#162
Pace79.6#9
Improvement+3.1#50

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#170
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#173
Layup/Dunks+0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#276
Freethrows+1.9#76
Improvement+2.6#56

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#130
First Shot+1.2#137
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks+8.2#8
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#331
Freethrows-4.7#362
Improvement+0.5#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 6.7% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.2
.500 or above 96.6% 97.8% 87.9%
.500 or above in Conference 89.6% 92.1% 71.1%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.2% 6.7% 2.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Home) - 87.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 46 - 10
Quad 413 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 96   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-70 27%     0 - 1 -5.8 -17.3 +12.6
  Nov 06, 2024 350   @ Le Moyne W 97-75 86%     1 - 1 +12.1 +9.3 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2024 337   @ Sacramento St. W 79-69 84%     2 - 1 +1.3 +5.8 -4.4
  Nov 24, 2024 284   Utah Tech W 89-79 80%     3 - 1 +2.9 +10.5 -7.9
  Nov 25, 2024 340   Denver W 89-60 89%     4 - 1 +17.5 +7.1 +9.6
  Nov 27, 2024 226   @ Montana L 75-83 61%     4 - 2 -8.9 -5.4 -2.8
  Nov 30, 2024 180   @ Montana St. W 72-69 OT 50%     5 - 2 +4.9 -3.5 +8.2
  Dec 05, 2024 175   UC Riverside L 64-68 69%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -7.3 -11.1 +3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 286   @ Cal Poly W 102-91 73%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +6.6 +9.2 -4.4
  Dec 18, 2024 61   @ USC L 69-90 17%     6 - 4 -9.2 +0.0 -8.7
  Dec 21, 2024 357   Chicago St. W 81-57 95%     7 - 4 +7.1 -5.0 +9.7
  Jan 02, 2025 309   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 95-65 76%     8 - 4 2 - 1 +24.3 +16.1 +6.9
  Jan 04, 2025 228   UC Davis W 73-61 79%     9 - 4 3 - 1 +5.5 -2.7 +7.5
  Jan 09, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 67-77 33%     9 - 5 3 - 2 -3.5 -3.6 +0.9
  Jan 11, 2025 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 90-94 62%     9 - 6 3 - 3 -5.3 +9.5 -14.6
  Jan 16, 2025 181   @ Hawaii W 83-60 50%     10 - 6 4 - 3 +24.9 +15.4 +10.5
  Jan 23, 2025 293   Long Beach St. W 81-69 88%    
  Jan 25, 2025 79   @ UC San Diego L 71-79 21%    
  Jan 30, 2025 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 80-71 80%    
  Feb 06, 2025 309   Cal St. Fullerton W 81-68 89%    
  Feb 08, 2025 293   @ Long Beach St. W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 286   Cal Poly W 92-80 87%    
  Feb 20, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 70-80 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 228   @ UC Davis W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 27, 2025 79   UC San Diego L 74-77 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 165   UC Santa Barbara W 77-72 67%    
  Mar 06, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 08, 2025 181   Hawaii W 77-72 69%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.7 3.8 1.0 0.1 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 10.2 13.7 6.6 1.0 0.0 34.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 7.9 9.0 2.9 0.2 21.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.1 6.9 2.0 0.1 15.1 5th
6th 0.4 2.8 4.5 1.5 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 6.6 11.9 18.8 21.6 19.0 11.6 5.1 1.4 0.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 55.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1
16-4 25.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0
15-5 5.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 1.4% 34.0% 34.0% 11.5 0.2 0.2 0.9
15-5 5.1% 18.2% 18.2% 12.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1
14-6 11.6% 11.9% 11.9% 12.6 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 10.2
13-7 19.0% 7.0% 7.0% 12.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 17.7
12-8 21.6% 5.0% 5.0% 13.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 20.5
11-9 18.8% 3.4% 3.4% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 18.1
10-10 11.9% 2.0% 2.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7
9-11 6.6% 1.5% 1.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.5
8-12 2.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 2.7
7-13 0.9% 0.9
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 12.7 0.4 2.5 2.4 0.8 0.2 93.8 0.0%