Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#194
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#149
Pace79.8#12
Improvement+0.7#103

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#223
First Shot+0.4#161
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#299
Layup/Dunks+2.2#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#347
Freethrows+2.9#53
Improvement+2.0#5

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#160
First Shot-3.9#297
After Offensive Rebounds+4.2#20
Layups/Dunks+7.2#16
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#311
Freethrows-8.2#361
Improvement-1.3#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.2% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 57.3% 64.5% 38.5%
.500 or above in Conference 54.4% 58.7% 43.3%
Conference Champion 3.8% 4.5% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 5.2% 10.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.6% 5.2% 3.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Neutral) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 411 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 114   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-70 22%     0 - 1 -7.4 -18.3 +12.0
  Nov 06, 2024 336   @ Le Moyne W 97-75 73%     1 - 1 +14.2 +10.5 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 307   @ Sacramento St. W 79-69 63%     2 - 1 +5.0 +6.6 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2024 304   Utah Tech W 82-76 72%    
  Nov 25, 2024 295   Denver W 83-77 70%    
  Nov 27, 2024 211   @ Montana L 75-77 42%    
  Nov 30, 2024 155   @ Montana St. L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 05, 2024 198   UC Riverside W 78-75 61%    
  Dec 07, 2024 294   @ Cal Poly W 81-78 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 78   @ USC L 72-84 14%    
  Dec 21, 2024 349   Chicago St. W 85-71 90%    
  Jan 02, 2025 270   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 04, 2025 169   UC Davis W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 09, 2025 57   UC Irvine L 70-78 25%    
  Jan 11, 2025 239   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 17, 2025 174   @ Hawaii L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 23, 2025 259   Long Beach St. W 79-72 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 158   @ UC San Diego L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 30, 2025 119   @ UC Santa Barbara L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 239   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 06, 2025 270   Cal St. Fullerton W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 259   @ Long Beach St. W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 294   Cal Poly W 84-75 77%    
  Feb 20, 2025 57   @ UC Irvine L 67-81 12%    
  Feb 22, 2025 169   @ UC Davis L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 27, 2025 158   UC San Diego W 75-74 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 119   UC Santa Barbara L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 06, 2025 198   @ UC Riverside L 75-78 41%    
  Mar 08, 2025 174   Hawaii W 74-72 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.7 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.2 4.1 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.4 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.8 4.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.7 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.9 0.9 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.6 4.5 6.6 8.2 10.3 11.2 11.6 11.1 9.8 8.1 5.7 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 93.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
17-3 70.8% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 46.7% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.1
15-5 21.6% 0.9    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 42.0% 40.0% 2.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.3%
18-2 0.4% 34.9% 33.7% 1.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.8%
17-3 1.2% 27.7% 27.7% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.4% 23.3% 23.3% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8
15-5 4.0% 19.0% 19.0% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.2
14-6 5.7% 13.0% 13.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.0
13-7 8.1% 9.2% 9.2% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.4
12-8 9.8% 5.6% 5.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 9.3
11-9 11.1% 3.2% 3.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.7
10-10 11.6% 2.0% 2.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.4
9-11 11.2% 0.6% 0.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
8-12 10.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
7-13 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
6-14 6.6% 6.6
5-15 4.5% 4.5
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.1 95.4 0.0%