Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#268
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#295
Pace72.9#61
Improvement-1.1#241

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#324
First Shot-4.8#307
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#254
Layup/Dunks+4.2#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#358
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement+1.6#107

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#164
First Shot+0.9#147
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#242
Layups/Dunks-1.8#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#61
Freethrows-1.6#289
Improvement-2.7#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 99.2% 94.7% 99.5%
First Four0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 32 - 142 - 18
Quad 45 - 47 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 178   @ Rice L 70-77 25%     0 - 1 -5.4 -9.0 +4.2
  Nov 09, 2024 282   @ Southern Utah L 75-80 44%     0 - 2 -9.1 -8.9 +0.4
  Nov 18, 2024 305   Howard L 70-75 70%     0 - 3 -15.9 -13.1 -2.7
  Nov 22, 2024 212   Northeastern L 58-60 39%     0 - 4 -4.6 -11.1 +6.3
  Nov 23, 2024 240   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-73 OT 45%     1 - 4 -1.4 -3.0 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2024 180   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 59-60 25%     1 - 5 +0.5 -9.0 +9.4
  Dec 04, 2024 105   Florida Atlantic L 77-88 25%     1 - 6 -9.5 -0.6 -8.4
  Dec 14, 2024 349   @ Stetson W 81-72 68%     2 - 6 -1.3 +0.4 -1.8
  Dec 17, 2024 150   @ East Carolina L 64-75 20%     2 - 7 -7.8 -8.3 +0.5
  Dec 21, 2024 326   IU Indianapolis W 75-69 75%     3 - 7 -6.6 -6.5 +0.1
  Dec 30, 2024 290   Utah Tech W 80-66 65%     4 - 7 +4.4 -5.2 +8.5
  Jan 02, 2025 122   Middle Tennessee L 69-73 30%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -4.3 -6.6 +2.4
  Jan 04, 2025 135   Western Kentucky W 85-66 34%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +17.8 +1.7 +13.4
  Jan 09, 2025 123   @ Louisiana Tech L 64-81 17%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -12.3 -0.8 -13.1
  Jan 11, 2025 160   @ Sam Houston St. L 74-81 22%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -4.3 -0.6 -3.5
  Jan 16, 2025 146   New Mexico St. L 52-59 35%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -8.7 -12.2 +2.6
  Jan 18, 2025 139   UTEP L 73-81 34%     5 - 12 1 - 5 -9.4 +2.9 -12.5
  Jan 25, 2025 77   Liberty L 59-82 16%     5 - 13 1 - 6 -18.2 -5.9 -13.5
  Jan 30, 2025 124   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-71 17%     5 - 14 1 - 7 +0.6 -1.3 +1.7
  Feb 01, 2025 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-73 18%     5 - 15 1 - 8 -1.8 -5.6 +4.1
  Feb 06, 2025 160   Sam Houston St. W 85-82 OT 38%     6 - 15 2 - 8 +0.6 -0.7 +0.9
  Feb 08, 2025 123   Louisiana Tech L 71-82 31%     6 - 16 2 - 9 -11.4 +2.3 -14.5
  Feb 13, 2025 139   @ UTEP L 63-77 19%     6 - 17 2 - 10 -10.3 -6.8 -3.5
  Feb 15, 2025 146   @ New Mexico St. L 48-76 20%     6 - 18 2 - 11 -24.6 -16.3 -10.6
  Feb 22, 2025 77   @ Liberty L 59-75 6%    
  Feb 27, 2025 131   Kennesaw St. L 72-77 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 124   Jacksonville St. L 67-72 33%    
  Mar 06, 2025 135   @ Western Kentucky L 71-80 17%    
  Mar 08, 2025 122   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-77 16%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 1.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 3.7 9th
10th 30.5 40.4 20.8 3.9 0.2 95.8 10th
Total 30.5 40.4 22.2 5.9 1.0 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 1.0% 1.0
5-13 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 22.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.2
3-15 40.4% 40.4
2-16 30.5% 30.5
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 30.5%