Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#248
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#309
Pace74.4#57
Improvement-0.3#199

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#303
First Shot-4.1#299
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#224
Layup/Dunks+5.9#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.6#361
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement+0.9#104

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#167
First Shot+0.8#142
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#253
Layups/Dunks-2.3#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#23
Freethrows-2.7#334
Improvement-1.2#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 2.0% 2.3% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 9.1% 9.7% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 49.7% 48.2% 58.7%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Home) - 85.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 6
Quad 33 - 124 - 18
Quad 45 - 39 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 196   @ Rice L 70-77 28%     0 - 1 -5.6 -6.5 +1.4
  Nov 09, 2024 218   @ Southern Utah L 75-80 31%     0 - 2 -4.6 -8.3 +4.4
  Nov 18, 2024 255   Howard L 70-75 63%     0 - 3 -13.1 -10.2 -2.9
  Nov 22, 2024 160   Northeastern L 58-60 33%     0 - 4 -2.2 -8.4 +6.1
  Nov 23, 2024 229   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-73 OT 45%     1 - 4 -0.6 -1.2 +0.5
  Nov 24, 2024 192   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 59-60 27%     1 - 5 +0.7 -7.8 +8.3
  Dec 04, 2024 85   Florida Atlantic L 77-88 22%     1 - 6 -7.5 +0.1 -7.2
  Dec 14, 2024 344   @ Stetson W 81-72 65%     2 - 6 +0.2 +2.0 -1.8
  Dec 17, 2024 159   @ East Carolina L 64-75 23%     2 - 7 -8.2 -7.2 -0.9
  Dec 21, 2024 354   IU Indianapolis W 78-67 85%    
  Dec 30, 2024 287   Utah Tech W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 02, 2025 131   Middle Tennessee L 71-74 37%    
  Jan 04, 2025 105   Western Kentucky L 74-80 28%    
  Jan 09, 2025 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 11, 2025 127   @ Sam Houston St. L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 16, 2025 201   New Mexico St. W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 140   UTEP L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 81   Liberty L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 30, 2025 167   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 162   @ Kennesaw St. L 75-82 25%    
  Feb 06, 2025 127   Sam Houston St. L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 101   Louisiana Tech L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 13, 2025 140   @ UTEP L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 201   @ New Mexico St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 81   @ Liberty L 60-75 9%    
  Feb 27, 2025 162   Kennesaw St. L 78-79 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 167   Jacksonville St. L 70-71 46%    
  Mar 06, 2025 105   @ Western Kentucky L 71-83 14%    
  Mar 08, 2025 131   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-77 20%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 1.0 0.1 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.9 1.8 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.9 6.4 3.0 0.2 14.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.5 8.0 3.9 0.5 0.0 21.8 9th
10th 1.2 4.6 8.6 11.0 8.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 37.5 10th
Total 1.2 4.6 9.1 13.4 15.5 15.7 13.6 10.4 7.3 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 90.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 82.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 44.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 16.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 5.1% 5.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 2.1% 2.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 9.6% 9.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.1% 4.9% 4.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.6% 3.4% 3.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
9-9 4.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
8-10 7.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.2
7-11 10.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.4
6-12 13.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-13 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
4-14 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.5
3-15 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.4
2-16 9.1% 9.1
1-17 4.6% 4.6
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%