East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#164
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#193
Pace66.0#241
Improvement+0.5#159

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#191
First Shot-1.7#222
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#109
Layup/Dunks+1.1#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#332
Freethrows+2.4#50
Improvement+0.1#170

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#147
First Shot+0.6#159
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#196
Layups/Dunks+0.1#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#310
Freethrows+1.5#79
Improvement+0.4#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.4% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.1
.500 or above 49.2% 60.8% 32.5%
.500 or above in Conference 46.9% 58.8% 29.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 0.9% 6.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.3% 1.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 36 - 77 - 12
Quad 48 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 292   Coastal Carolina W 63-59 84%     1 - 0 -6.3 -4.0 -1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 86   George Mason W 78-77 2OT 36%     2 - 0 +4.8 +2.3 +2.4
  Nov 21, 2024 162   Jacksonville St. L 78-86 50%     2 - 1 -7.8 +4.7 -12.6
  Nov 22, 2024 348   Stetson W 71-64 87%     3 - 1 -5.1 -8.1 +3.2
  Nov 23, 2024 143   Illinois-Chicago W 72-55 45%     4 - 1 +18.4 +5.4 +14.6
  Nov 29, 2024 323   N.C. A&T W 93-69 87%     5 - 1 +11.9 +15.7 -3.4
  Dec 03, 2024 141   UNC Wilmington L 53-67 55%     5 - 2 -15.2 -19.9 +4.2
  Dec 07, 2024 82   @ South Carolina L 68-75 19%     5 - 3 +2.6 +13.6 -12.3
  Dec 11, 2024 163   North Alabama L 67-74 60%     5 - 4 -9.6 -8.1 -1.4
  Dec 17, 2024 241   Florida International W 75-64 76%     6 - 4 +3.9 +1.0 +2.8
  Dec 21, 2024 239   Gardner-Webb L 79-84 76%     6 - 5 -12.1 +0.3 -12.3
  Dec 31, 2024 154   @ South Florida L 69-75 38%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -2.6 -5.3 +2.9
  Jan 05, 2025 108   Florida Atlantic L 76-78 48%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -1.3 -2.1 +0.9
  Jan 08, 2025 110   Temple W 80-79 49%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +1.4 +5.0 -3.6
  Jan 11, 2025 43   @ Memphis L 70-74 10%     7 - 8 1 - 3 +10.3 -0.7 +11.3
  Jan 14, 2025 65   North Texas L 60-69 30%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -3.3 +1.1 -5.9
  Jan 18, 2025 138   @ Wichita St. W 75-72 34%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +7.4 +8.2 -0.7
  Jan 21, 2025 251   @ Tulsa W 70-68 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 154   South Florida W 72-70 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 110   @ Temple L 70-76 28%    
  Feb 05, 2025 192   Rice W 70-66 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 229   @ Texas San Antonio W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 11, 2025 97   UAB L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 224   @ Charlotte W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 19, 2025 148   @ Tulane L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 23, 2025 229   Texas San Antonio W 80-73 74%    
  Mar 02, 2025 224   Charlotte W 71-64 74%    
  Mar 06, 2025 148   Tulane W 72-70 58%    
  Mar 09, 2025 108   @ Florida Atlantic L 72-78 28%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 3.9 1.3 0.1 8.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 6.7 2.1 0.1 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 7.3 4.2 0.4 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 8.6 6.6 0.9 17.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 5.9 7.1 1.3 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 5.9 1.8 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.2 2.0 0.2 7.5 10th
11th 0.4 2.1 2.1 0.2 4.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.8 10.2 15.4 20.2 18.9 15.1 7.9 3.9 1.1 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 16.7% 0.0    0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 1.1% 5.7% 5.7% 12.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-6 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.8
11-7 7.9% 3.3% 3.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.6
10-8 15.1% 1.9% 1.9% 13.6 0.1 0.2 14.8
9-9 18.9% 1.3% 1.3% 14.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 18.6
8-10 20.2% 0.9% 0.9% 14.6 0.1 0.1 20.0
7-11 15.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.1 0.0 15.3
6-12 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 4.8% 4.8
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 98.7 0.0%