IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

UTEP
Conference USA
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.0	#140
Expected Predictive Rating	+3.5	#114

Pace	70.7	#126
Improvement	+3.2	#24

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#212

First Shot	-0.3	#183
After Offensive Rebound	-1.2	#258

Layup/Dunks	-0.5	#196
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.0	#236
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.6	#220
Freethrows	+2.7	#50

Improvement	+2.2	#40

Defense
Total Defense	+2.5	#107

First Shot	+2.6	#98
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.2	#205

Layups/Dunks	+4.1	#51
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.1	#209
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.9	#66
Freethrows	-4.3	#356

Improvement	+1.0	#107

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.1%	7.5%	5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.0	12.8	13.2

.500 or above	64.7%	78.0%	53.9%
.500 or above in Conference	53.2%	59.6%	47.9%
Conference Champion	5.9%	7.5%	4.6%
Last Place in Conference	8.3%	6.6%	9.7%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	6.1%	7.4%	5.0%
Second Round	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 45.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 4	2 - 6
Quad 3	7 - 6	9 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	148	@ Utah Valley	L	60-89	41%	0 - 1			-25.6	-14.1	-8.8
Nov 20, 2024	138	@ UC Santa Barbara	W	79-76	38%	1 - 1			+7.2	+10.7	-3.4
Nov 25, 2024	189	San Jose St.	L	65-71	59%	1 - 2			-7.3	-8.9	+1.5
Nov 26, 2024	261	Long Beach St.	W	70-44	73%	2 - 2			+20.5	-3.6	+25.2
Nov 27, 2024	157	UNC Greensboro	W	64-58	54%	3 - 2			+5.9	+2.1	+4.7
Dec 07, 2024	170	Seattle	W	88-72	67%	4 - 2			+12.4	+14.2	-1.6
Dec 11, 2024	51	@ Louisville	L	74-77	13%	4 - 3			+10.2	+7.6	+2.6
Dec 16, 2024	286	Tarleton St.	W	67-62	84%	5 - 3			-4.8	-1.6	-2.7
Dec 20, 2024	303	Jackson St.	W	67-61	86%	6 - 3			-4.7	-6.8	+2.2
Dec 21, 2024	100	Yale	L	72-73	45%
Jan 02, 2025	101	Louisiana Tech	L	68-69	46%
Jan 04, 2025	127	Sam Houston St.	W	75-73	57%
Jan 11, 2025	201	New Mexico St.	W	72-66	70%
Jan 16, 2025	81	@ Liberty	L	62-71	20%
Jan 18, 2025	248	@ Florida International	W	73-70	60%
Jan 23, 2025	167	Jacksonville St.	W	72-67	66%
Jan 25, 2025	162	Kennesaw St.	W	79-75	65%
Jan 30, 2025	105	@ Western Kentucky	L	72-78	28%
Feb 01, 2025	131	@ Middle Tennessee	L	69-73	37%
Feb 08, 2025	201	@ New Mexico St.	L	69-70	49%
Feb 13, 2025	248	Florida International	W	76-67	79%
Feb 15, 2025	81	Liberty	L	65-68	39%
Feb 20, 2025	162	@ Kennesaw St.	L	76-78	44%
Feb 22, 2025	167	@ Jacksonville St.	L	69-70	45%
Feb 27, 2025	105	Western Kentucky	L	74-75	49%
Mar 01, 2025	131	Middle Tennessee	W	72-70	58%
Mar 06, 2025	127	@ Sam Houston St.	L	72-76	35%
Mar 08, 2025	101	@ Louisiana Tech	L	65-72	27%
Projected Record						15 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0		5.9	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	2.2	3.4	2.5	0.7	0.1	0.0				9.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.3	2.8	4.9	2.5	0.6	0.0						11.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	3.2	6.1	2.8	0.4	0.0							12.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.7	6.4	3.3	0.3	0.0								12.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.5	6.2	3.6	0.4	0.0									12.9	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	2.0	5.6	3.8	0.5	0.0										12.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.9	4.3	3.2	0.5	0.0											10.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	3.2	2.2	0.4	0.0												8.0	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0													4.6	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7	3.7	6.2	9.0	11.8	13.6	13.9	12.8	10.4	7.1	4.7	2.6	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	97.9%	0.4		0.4	0.0
15-3	89.8%	1.0		0.8	0.2	0.0
14-4	69.5%	1.8		1.1	0.6	0.1
13-5	35.0%	1.7		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-6	11.5%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.9%	5.9		3.2	1.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%											0.0	0.0					0.0						0.0
17-1	0.1%		32.7%	28.8%	3.8%	11.1										0.0		0.0	0.0					0.1		5.4%
16-2	0.4%		29.3%	29.3%		11.7												0.0	0.1	0.0				0.3
15-3	1.1%		24.2%	24.2%		11.9											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0				0.8
14-4	2.6%		21.3%	21.3%		12.2												0.0	0.4	0.2				2.0
13-5	4.7%		15.4%	15.4%		12.4												0.0	0.4	0.3	0.0			4.0
12-6	7.1%		12.3%	12.3%		12.6												0.0	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0		6.3
11-7	10.4%		10.1%	10.1%		12.8													0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0		9.4
10-8	12.8%		7.0%	7.0%		13.1												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0		11.9
9-9	13.9%		5.2%	5.2%		13.5													0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1		13.2
8-10	13.6%		3.6%	3.6%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2		13.1
7-11	11.8%		2.0%	2.0%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	11.6
6-12	9.0%		1.3%	1.3%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	8.9
5-13	6.2%		0.4%	0.4%		15.8																0.0	0.0	6.2
4-14	3.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
3-15	1.7%																							1.7
2-16	0.7%																							0.7
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		6.1%	6.1%	0.0%	13.0						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	2.0	2.3	1.1	0.4	0.1	93.9		0.0%