Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#282
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#265
Pace71.3#104
Improvement+1.2#126

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#328
First Shot-6.3#338
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#175
Layup/Dunks-4.3#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#260
Freethrows-1.0#252
Improvement+1.5#87

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#201
First Shot-0.7#202
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#197
Layups/Dunks+1.5#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#345
Freethrows+2.5#37
Improvement-0.3#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% 15.4% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 13.9% 20.4% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 99.0% 99.7% 98.1%
Conference Champion 20.5% 28.1% 10.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.4% 13.2% 11.5%
First Round7.8% 8.9% 6.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 56.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 30 - 40 - 14
Quad 414 - 514 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 3   @ Houston L 40-97 1%     0 - 1 -32.9 -18.2 -16.7
  Nov 09, 2024 106   @ High Point L 71-80 11%     0 - 2 -2.8 -4.3 +1.6
  Nov 12, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 57-94 4%     0 - 3 -22.8 -9.9 -11.4
  Nov 16, 2024 51   @ Vanderbilt L 81-94 4%     0 - 4 +0.1 +10.2 -9.5
  Nov 20, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky L 62-79 15%     0 - 5 -12.6 -8.2 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 59-108 2%     0 - 6 -29.7 -17.2 -5.5
  Nov 24, 2024 93   @ Lipscomb L 53-77 8%     0 - 7 -15.3 -15.1 -0.5
  Dec 02, 2024 103   @ Saint Louis L 66-74 11%     0 - 8 -1.3 -1.0 -0.8
  Dec 05, 2024 97   @ Arkansas St. L 64-66 10%     0 - 9 +5.4 -8.1 +13.6
  Dec 08, 2024 4   @ Iowa St. L 58-100 1%     0 - 10 -18.6 -6.4 -9.6
  Dec 20, 2024 129   @ UTEP L 61-67 14%     0 - 11 -1.5 -7.2 +5.6
  Dec 21, 2024 108   Akron L 50-68 17%     0 - 12 -14.8 -22.4 +8.0
  Dec 28, 2024 173   @ California Baptist L 73-79 20%     0 - 13 -4.0 -6.3 +2.9
  Jan 04, 2025 328   @ Alcorn St. W 72-69 53%     1 - 13 1 - 0 -4.8 +2.0 -6.5
  Jan 11, 2025 300   Alabama St. W 77-70 63%     2 - 13 2 - 0 -3.4 -2.3 -1.1
  Jan 13, 2025 358   Alabama A&M W 103-93 3OT 83%     3 - 13 3 - 0 -7.2 -7.8 -2.5
  Jan 18, 2025 337   @ Prairie View W 79-70 58%     4 - 13 4 - 0 +0.1 -0.2 +0.2
  Jan 20, 2025 290   @ Texas Southern L 73-81 41%     4 - 14 4 - 1 -12.7 -0.6 -11.9
  Jan 25, 2025 264   Bethune-Cookman W 69-68 56%    
  Jan 27, 2025 357   Florida A&M W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 326   @ Grambling St. W 68-67 50%    
  Feb 03, 2025 218   @ Southern L 65-71 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 78-56 98%    
  Feb 10, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 86-72 90%    
  Feb 15, 2025 357   @ Florida A&M W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 17, 2025 264   @ Bethune-Cookman L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 328   Alcorn St. W 71-65 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 290   Texas Southern W 72-69 62%    
  Mar 03, 2025 337   Prairie View W 79-72 76%    
  Mar 06, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 77%    
  Mar 08, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 75-58 93%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.7 6.2 7.5 4.1 0.9 20.5 1st
2nd 0.2 3.2 10.8 11.8 4.1 0.4 30.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 8.9 8.4 2.0 0.0 21.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.9 5.5 1.2 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.4 2.8 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 6.1 12.6 18.7 22.1 20.0 11.7 4.5 0.9 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 90.9% 4.1    3.2 0.9 0.0
15-3 64.5% 7.5    4.4 2.8 0.3
14-4 30.8% 6.2    1.9 3.0 1.2 0.2
13-5 7.5% 1.7    0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
12-6 0.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.5% 20.5 10.5 7.2 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.9% 28.3% 28.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
16-2 4.5% 25.9% 25.9% 15.9 0.2 1.0 3.3
15-3 11.7% 21.4% 21.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5 9.2
14-4 20.0% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 3.6 16.4
13-5 22.1% 13.5% 13.5% 16.0 3.0 19.2
12-6 18.7% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 1.8 16.9
11-7 12.6% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.9 11.7
10-8 6.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.4 5.7
9-9 2.3% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.1 2.2
8-10 0.9% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.1 0.8
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 13.4 86.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 14.8 3.8 23.1 65.4 7.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%