Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#321
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#245
Pace70.7#133
Improvement+0.1#157

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#317
First Shot-4.2#294
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks-3.4#290
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#234
Freethrows+1.1#130
Improvement+0.9#68

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#301
First Shot-6.6#353
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#31
Layups/Dunks+4.7#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-14.1#364
Freethrows+4.1#16
Improvement-0.8#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.1% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 16.0 15.9
.500 or above 11.3% 38.7% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 74.4% 95.5% 74.4%
Conference Champion 8.4% 9.0% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.0% 1.1%
First Four5.5% 8.1% 5.5%
First Round3.6% 0.0% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 41 - 12
Quad 411 - 812 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 3   @ Houston L 40-97 1%     0 - 1 -34.5 -19.5 -16.9
  Nov 09, 2024 124   @ High Point L 71-80 10%     0 - 2 -3.5 -3.3 -0.1
  Nov 12, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 57-94 2%     0 - 3 -22.4 -11.6 -9.3
  Nov 16, 2024 75   @ Vanderbilt L 81-94 5%     0 - 4 -2.4 +8.1 -9.9
  Nov 20, 2024 121   @ Western Kentucky L 62-79 9%     0 - 5 -11.2 -8.1 -2.3
  Nov 22, 2024 10   @ Kentucky L 65-94 0.3%   
  Nov 24, 2024 151   @ Lipscomb L 69-81 12%    
  Dec 02, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 68-85 6%    
  Dec 05, 2024 108   @ Arkansas St. L 64-80 7%    
  Dec 08, 2024 12   @ Iowa St. L 56-84 0.5%   
  Dec 20, 2024 172   @ UTEP L 67-78 16%    
  Dec 28, 2024 206   @ California Baptist L 66-76 20%    
  Jan 04, 2025 349   @ Alcorn St. W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 282   Alabama St. W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 13, 2025 345   Alabama A&M W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 347   @ Prairie View W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 20, 2025 261   @ Texas Southern L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 291   Bethune-Cookman W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 27, 2025 357   Florida A&M W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 240   @ Grambling St. L 65-73 23%    
  Feb 03, 2025 268   @ Southern L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 75-60 90%    
  Feb 10, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-73 82%    
  Feb 15, 2025 357   @ Florida A&M W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 17, 2025 291   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-74 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 349   Alcorn St. W 73-66 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 261   Texas Southern L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 347   Prairie View W 81-74 71%    
  Mar 06, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-76 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 72-63 77%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 8.4 1st
2nd 0.4 2.1 4.6 3.2 0.9 0.2 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.4 3.4 0.6 0.1 12.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.7 6.2 3.4 0.7 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 6.1 4.1 0.5 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.8 3.7 0.6 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.6 4.7 6.9 9.9 13.1 13.6 14.2 11.7 9.6 6.3 3.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.1
16-2 89.0% 1.4    1.1 0.2 0.0
15-3 74.0% 2.7    1.6 0.9 0.1
14-4 39.6% 2.5    0.9 1.0 0.6 0.0
13-5 10.3% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2
12-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 34.5% 34.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 29.2% 29.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
16-2 1.5% 24.9% 24.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1
15-3 3.6% 22.0% 22.0% 15.9 0.1 0.7 2.8
14-4 6.3% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0 5.4
13-5 9.6% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2 8.4
12-6 11.7% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.9 10.8
11-7 14.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.9 13.3
10-8 13.6% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 13.1
9-9 13.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.7
8-10 9.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.7
7-11 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
6-12 4.7% 4.7
5-13 2.6% 2.6
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.1 93.6 0.0%