Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#310
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#313
Pace70.7#127
Improvement+1.6#93

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#355
First Shot-7.7#351
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#201
Layup/Dunks-4.8#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#266
Freethrows-1.9#289
Improvement-2.1#316

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#180
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks+1.6#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#355
Freethrows+4.1#5
Improvement+3.7#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 11.6% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 6.8% 16.3% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 83.1% 88.4% 82.2%
Conference Champion 12.0% 16.6% 11.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four8.4% 9.9% 8.2%
First Round4.8% 6.9% 4.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California Baptist (Away) - 14.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 30 - 40 - 13
Quad 412 - 712 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 6   @ Houston L 40-97 1%     0 - 1 -34.4 -19.0 -17.3
  Nov 09, 2024 125   @ High Point L 71-80 11%     0 - 2 -3.7 -3.8 +0.1
  Nov 12, 2024 50   @ Xavier L 57-94 3%     0 - 3 -23.6 -11.7 -10.5
  Nov 16, 2024 49   @ Vanderbilt L 81-94 3%     0 - 4 +0.4 +9.8 -8.9
  Nov 20, 2024 109   @ Western Kentucky L 62-79 8%     0 - 5 -9.8 -7.8 -1.3
  Nov 22, 2024 15   @ Kentucky L 59-108 2%     0 - 6 -30.5 -15.8 -7.7
  Nov 24, 2024 110   @ Lipscomb L 53-77 8%     0 - 7 -16.8 -15.0 -2.1
  Dec 02, 2024 143   @ Saint Louis L 66-74 13%     0 - 8 -4.2 -4.5 -0.2
  Dec 05, 2024 107   @ Arkansas St. L 64-66 8%     0 - 9 +5.4 -7.4 +12.9
  Dec 08, 2024 5   @ Iowa St. L 58-100 1%     0 - 10 -19.4 -8.3 -8.5
  Dec 20, 2024 138   @ UTEP L 61-67 12%     0 - 11 -1.7 -6.3 +4.4
  Dec 21, 2024 147   Akron L 50-68 21%     0 - 12 -17.7 -23.6 +6.3
  Dec 28, 2024 156   @ California Baptist L 64-75 15%    
  Jan 04, 2025 338   @ Alcorn St. L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 293   Alabama St. W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 13, 2025 360   Alabama A&M W 77-68 80%    
  Jan 18, 2025 337   @ Prairie View L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 20, 2025 301   @ Texas Southern L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 262   Bethune-Cookman W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 27, 2025 357   Florida A&M W 72-64 78%    
  Feb 01, 2025 307   @ Grambling St. L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 03, 2025 233   @ Southern L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 08, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 73-55 94%    
  Feb 10, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 87%    
  Feb 15, 2025 357   @ Florida A&M W 69-67 59%    
  Feb 17, 2025 262   @ Bethune-Cookman L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 338   Alcorn St. W 72-66 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 301   Texas Southern W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 03, 2025 337   Prairie View W 81-75 70%    
  Mar 06, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-74 71%    
  Mar 08, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-58 85%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.9 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 12.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.1 3.7 0.9 0.1 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.9 6.9 3.4 0.5 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 6.9 3.7 0.4 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 6.0 3.9 0.5 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.6 4.2 0.7 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.8 0.7 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.7 1.0 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.9 7.9 11.5 14.0 15.9 15.0 11.9 8.1 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 92.6% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.2% 3.4    2.3 1.1 0.1
14-4 48.5% 3.9    1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0
13-5 17.1% 2.0    0.4 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.0% 12.0 6.4 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 57.6% 57.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 27.3% 27.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-2 1.8% 24.6% 24.6% 15.9 0.1 0.4 1.3
15-3 4.3% 23.2% 23.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.3
14-4 8.1% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4 6.6
13-5 11.9% 14.0% 14.0% 16.0 1.7 10.3
12-6 15.0% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 1.6 13.4
11-7 15.9% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 1.2 14.7
10-8 14.0% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.9 13.1
9-9 11.5% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.5 11.1
8-10 7.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.8
7-11 4.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.9
6-12 2.4% 2.4
5-13 1.1% 1.1
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.9 91.0 0.0%