IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#298
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.5	#71
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#283

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#288

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.9%	25.6%	10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.8	15.7

.500 or above	26.4%	66.9%	25.7%
.500 or above in Conference	69.3%	89.2%	69.0%
Conference Champion	11.6%	31.1%	11.3%
Last Place in Conference	2.2%	0.1%	2.2%

First Four	6.2%	6.0%	6.2%
First Round	7.9%	22.5%	7.6%
Second Round	0.2%	1.9%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.7%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 11
Quad 4	12 - 8	13 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	21	@ Texas Tech	L	61-84	2%
Nov 09, 2024	51	@ Nebraska	L	65-85	3%
Nov 12, 2024	180	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	72-81	20%
Nov 16, 2024	307	South Carolina St.	W	76-72	63%
Nov 19, 2024	175	@ Tulane	L	76-85	20%
Nov 26, 2024	263	North Dakota	L	72-74	43%
Dec 01, 2024	76	@ Minnesota	L	64-81	6%
Dec 12, 2024	57	@ Virginia	L	53-72	5%
Dec 14, 2024	65	@ West Virginia	L	65-84	5%
Dec 18, 2024	102	@ South Florida	L	66-81	9%
Dec 21, 2024	135	@ Davidson	L	64-76	15%
Dec 30, 2024	33	@ Mississippi St.	L	62-83	3%
Jan 04, 2025	353	@ Florida A&M	W	73-70	60%
Jan 11, 2025	273	@ Grambling St.	L	66-71	35%
Jan 13, 2025	248	@ Southern	L	68-74	31%
Jan 18, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	75-59	91%
Jan 20, 2025	358	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	84-74	80%
Jan 25, 2025	319	@ Jackson St.	L	73-74	45%
Jan 27, 2025	324	@ Alcorn St.	L	73-74	48%
Feb 01, 2025	293	Alabama St.	W	72-69	59%
Feb 03, 2025	338	Alabama A&M	W	78-71	71%
Feb 08, 2025	344	@ Prairie View	W	77-75	55%
Feb 10, 2025	261	@ Texas Southern	L	69-74	34%
Feb 15, 2025	324	Alcorn St.	W	76-71	67%
Feb 17, 2025	319	Jackson St.	W	76-71	65%
Feb 22, 2025	338	@ Alabama A&M	W	75-74	53%
Feb 24, 2025	293	@ Alabama St.	L	69-72	39%
Mar 01, 2025	248	Southern	W	71-70	50%
Mar 03, 2025	273	Grambling St.	W	69-68	55%
Mar 08, 2025	353	Florida A&M	W	76-67	77%
Projected Record						12 - 18	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.2	2.9	3.3	2.5	1.2	0.3		11.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.3	4.4	3.2	1.3	0.2	0.0			11.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.8	4.9	3.0	0.7	0.0					11.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.4	5.0	2.8	0.4	0.0						11.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.3	5.2	3.0	0.4	0.0							11.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.7	4.5	2.9	0.5	0.0								9.8	6th
7th							0.1	1.2	4.0	3.0	0.6	0.0									8.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.1	3.1	2.9	0.6	0.0										7.9	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	0.9	2.5	2.5	0.7	0.0											6.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.9	1.8	1.6	0.5	0.0												5.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	0.8	0.3	0.0													3.1	11th
12th	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0														1.1	12th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.2	2.4	3.7	5.7	7.5	9.5	10.8	11.5	11.8	10.7	9.0	6.8	4.6	2.7	1.2	0.3			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	99.4%	1.2		1.1	0.0
16-2	93.2%	2.5		2.1	0.4	0.0
15-3	72.2%	3.3		2.1	1.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	42.5%	2.9		1.2	1.3	0.4	0.0	0.0
13-5	13.2%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	11.6%	11.6		7.0	3.3	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		57.1%	57.1%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.2%		50.5%	50.5%		14.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.6
16-2	2.7%		42.1%	42.1%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.4	1.5
15-3	4.6%		31.4%	31.4%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	3.2
14-4	6.8%		25.6%	25.6%		15.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	5.0
13-5	9.0%		19.1%	19.1%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.5	7.3
12-6	10.7%		14.0%	14.0%		16.0																0.1	1.4	9.2
11-7	11.8%		10.1%	10.1%		16.0																0.0	1.2	10.6
10-8	11.5%		6.4%	6.4%		16.0																	0.7	10.8
9-9	10.8%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.4	10.4
8-10	9.5%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	9.2
7-11	7.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
6-12	5.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
5-13	3.7%																							3.7
4-14	2.4%																							2.4
3-15	1.2%																							1.2
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.8	8.2	89.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%