Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#262
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Pace72.5#86
Improvement+0.3#169

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#327
First Shot-3.0#263
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#316
Layup/Dunks+3.9#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#327
Freethrows-1.3#256
Improvement+1.0#108

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#160
First Shot+2.7#96
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#343
Layups/Dunks+1.9#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#198
Freethrows+1.1#105
Improvement-0.7#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 25.5% 18.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 48.0% 76.6% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 96.1% 90.6%
Conference Champion 22.0% 34.4% 21.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four11.1% 5.9% 11.2%
First Round12.8% 22.6% 12.6%
Second Round0.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 415 - 716 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 20   @ Texas Tech L 61-94 3%     0 - 1 -15.2 -2.8 -13.2
  Nov 09, 2024 53   @ Nebraska L 58-63 5%     0 - 2 +8.0 -10.5 +18.7
  Nov 12, 2024 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-91 20%     0 - 3 -18.6 -9.2 -8.1
  Nov 16, 2024 253   South Carolina St. W 75-62 60%     1 - 3 +5.0 -2.5 +7.1
  Nov 19, 2024 202   @ Tulane L 57-72 27%     1 - 4 -13.9 -14.8 +0.7
  Nov 26, 2024 278   North Dakota W 79-67 54%     2 - 4 +5.7 -0.3 +5.8
  Nov 27, 2024 231   Gardner-Webb L 64-79 43%     2 - 5 -18.6 -15.4 -2.3
  Dec 01, 2024 113   @ Minnesota L 62-79 14%     2 - 6 -10.8 -0.7 -11.5
  Dec 12, 2024 90   @ Virginia L 41-59 9%     2 - 7 -8.7 -14.3 +1.6
  Dec 14, 2024 38   @ West Virginia L 61-84 4%     2 - 8 -8.0 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 18, 2024 166   @ South Florida W 77-69 22%     3 - 8 +10.6 +8.0 +2.9
  Dec 21, 2024 121   @ Davidson L 63-76 15%     3 - 9 -7.5 -7.6 -0.1
  Dec 30, 2024 23   @ Mississippi St. L 61-84 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 357   @ Florida A&M W 72-67 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 307   @ Grambling St. L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 13, 2025 233   @ Southern L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 76-56 97%    
  Jan 20, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 87-72 92%    
  Jan 25, 2025 310   @ Jackson St. L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 27, 2025 338   @ Alcorn St. W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 293   Alabama St. W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 03, 2025 360   Alabama A&M W 80-68 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 337   @ Prairie View W 82-79 60%    
  Feb 10, 2025 301   @ Texas Southern L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 338   Alcorn St. W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 17, 2025 310   Jackson St. W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 22, 2025 360   @ Alabama A&M W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 24, 2025 293   @ Alabama St. L 73-74 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 233   Southern W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 03, 2025 307   Grambling St. W 72-66 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 357   Florida A&M W 75-64 84%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.5 6.5 4.0 1.5 0.2 22.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 4.2 7.8 5.0 1.3 0.1 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.6 7.1 3.7 0.6 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 6.3 3.6 0.4 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.0 3.6 0.4 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.7 0.6 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.9 8.2 11.6 14.6 15.8 14.9 12.1 7.8 4.1 1.5 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.5    1.4 0.0
16-2 97.9% 4.0    3.6 0.4 0.0
15-3 82.9% 6.5    4.6 1.7 0.1
14-4 53.7% 6.5    2.9 2.8 0.7 0.0
13-5 19.8% 2.9    0.6 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.0% 22.0 13.4 6.3 1.9 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 55.4% 55.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.5% 46.6% 46.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.8
16-2 4.1% 37.1% 37.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 2.6
15-3 7.8% 32.1% 32.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 5.3
14-4 12.1% 27.1% 27.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.8 8.8
13-5 14.9% 21.8% 21.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.1 11.6
12-6 15.8% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8 13.0
11-7 14.6% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 2.1 12.5
10-8 11.6% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 1.3 10.4
9-9 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.7 7.5
8-10 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.2 4.7
7-11 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-12 1.2% 1.2
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 15.3 81.6 0.0%