Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#293
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#258
Pace71.5#86
Improvement-4.7#340

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#321
First Shot-3.9#292
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#289
Layup/Dunks+3.0#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#328
Freethrows-1.5#277
Improvement+2.1#84

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#217
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#334
Layups/Dunks+1.5#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#236
Freethrows+0.2#177
Improvement-6.8#364
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 11.3% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 17.3% 23.4% 5.8%
.500 or above in Conference 98.6% 100.0% 95.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.4% 9.5% 9.2%
First Round5.4% 6.0% 4.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 414 - 815 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 10   @ Texas Tech L 61-94 1%     0 - 1 -12.0 -1.8 -11.1
  Nov 09, 2024 48   @ Nebraska L 58-63 4%     0 - 2 +8.6 -11.0 +19.8
  Nov 12, 2024 153   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-91 16%     0 - 3 -18.9 -8.2 -9.4
  Nov 16, 2024 210   South Carolina St. W 75-62 41%     1 - 3 +7.9 -0.5 +8.0
  Nov 19, 2024 144   @ Tulane L 57-72 16%     1 - 4 -11.4 -13.7 +2.1
  Nov 26, 2024 278   North Dakota W 79-67 47%     2 - 4 +5.5 -1.7 +7.1
  Nov 27, 2024 257   Gardner-Webb L 64-79 42%     2 - 5 -20.3 -16.5 -2.9
  Dec 01, 2024 76   @ Minnesota L 62-79 6%     2 - 6 -7.1 -0.5 -8.0
  Dec 12, 2024 93   @ Virginia L 41-59 9%     2 - 7 -10.3 -19.4 +5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 41   @ West Virginia L 61-84 3%     2 - 8 -8.4 -2.3 -5.8
  Dec 18, 2024 176   @ South Florida W 77-69 20%     3 - 8 +9.6 +9.4 +0.6
  Dec 21, 2024 129   @ Davidson L 63-76 14%     3 - 9 -8.7 -9.1 +0.1
  Dec 30, 2024 28   @ Mississippi St. L 73-87 2%     3 - 10 +3.3 +8.5 -5.3
  Jan 04, 2025 321   @ Florida A&M W 62-55 48%     4 - 10 1 - 0 +0.1 -8.1 +8.9
  Jan 11, 2025 327   @ Grambling St. W 65-59 51%     5 - 10 2 - 0 -1.6 -8.3 +6.8
  Jan 13, 2025 224   @ Southern L 53-69 27%     5 - 11 2 - 1 -16.8 -19.4 +3.5
  Jan 18, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 83-58 98%     6 - 11 3 - 1 -5.9 +0.5 -5.1
  Jan 20, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-64 91%     7 - 11 4 - 1 -13.3 -15.6 +1.8
  Jan 25, 2025 271   @ Jackson St. L 81-86 34%     7 - 12 4 - 2 -8.2 +5.3 -13.3
  Jan 27, 2025 307   @ Alcorn St. L 61-70 44%     7 - 13 4 - 3 -14.9 -9.3 -6.2
  Feb 01, 2025 311   Alabama St. W 67-64 65%     8 - 13 5 - 3 -8.3 -13.3 +5.0
  Feb 03, 2025 359   Alabama A&M W 89-75 82%     9 - 13 6 - 3 -3.2 +9.7 -12.8
  Feb 08, 2025 356   @ Prairie View W 85-82 65%     10 - 13 7 - 3 -8.2 +4.3 -12.6
  Feb 10, 2025 296   @ Texas Southern W 80-77 41%     11 - 13 8 - 3 -2.0 +9.5 -11.4
  Feb 15, 2025 307   Alcorn St. L 74-78 64%     11 - 14 8 - 4 -15.0 -1.8 -13.3
  Feb 17, 2025 271   Jackson St. L 71-84 54%     11 - 15 8 - 5 -21.3 -5.6 -15.5
  Feb 22, 2025 359   @ Alabama A&M W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 24, 2025 311   @ Alabama St. L 72-73 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 224   Southern L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 03, 2025 327   Grambling St. W 69-64 70%    
  Mar 08, 2025 321   Florida A&M W 75-70 68%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 3.1 4.9 8.1 2nd
3rd 4.0 17.3 2.4 23.7 3rd
4th 0.5 13.6 3.8 17.9 4th
5th 4.3 12.7 0.3 17.3 5th
6th 0.7 11.3 3.3 15.3 6th
7th 0.4 6.2 7.6 0.2 14.4 7th
8th 1.0 1.9 0.1 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.4 8.8 23.8 33.9 24.5 7.5 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 2.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 7.5% 15.1% 15.1% 15.8 0.2 0.9 6.4
12-6 24.5% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.1 3.1 21.3
11-7 33.9% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 3.6 30.4
10-8 23.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 2.0 21.9
9-9 8.8% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.8 8.0
8-10 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 10.4 89.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 15.8 18.4 81.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3%
Lose Out 1.1%