IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.4	#345
Expected Predictive Rating	-13.6	#330

Pace	74.8	#60
Improvement	-0.6	#257

Offense
Total Offense	-9.0	#361

First Shot	-10.1	#361
After Offensive Rebound	+1.1	#112

Layup/Dunks	+0.6	#158
2 Pt Jumpshots	-6.7	#364
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.4	#225
Freethrows	-2.6	#305

Improvement	-0.5	#256

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#287

First Shot	-1.5	#232
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.9	#300

Layups/Dunks	+0.6	#153
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.2	#193
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.9	#221
Freethrows	-1.4	#260

Improvement	-0.1	#210

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	3.4%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	13.8%	21.2%	7.4%
.500 or above in Conference	40.1%	47.8%	33.5%
Conference Champion	2.2%	3.2%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	8.0%	5.5%	10.1%

First Four	2.3%	3.0%	1.6%
First Round	1.1%	1.7%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 46.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 4	10 - 12	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 16, 2024	296	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-81	22%	0 - 1			-14.2	-13.3	+0.5
Nov 19, 2024	54	@ Georgia	L	45-93	2%	0 - 2			-35.7	-22.9	-11.8
Nov 22, 2024	314	South Carolina St.	L	71-72	46%
Nov 23, 2024	295	Coastal Carolina	L	67-69	41%
Nov 25, 2024	361	IU Indianapolis	W	74-69	69%
Nov 30, 2024	152	Lipscomb	L	69-79	18%
Dec 15, 2024	169	@ Chattanooga	L	65-80	9%
Dec 18, 2024	103	@ UAB	L	63-83	3%
Dec 21, 2024	127	Samford	L	74-86	15%
Dec 28, 2024	105	@ Georgia Tech	L	67-87	4%
Jan 04, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	82-75	73%
Jan 06, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	72-61	84%
Jan 11, 2025	349	@ Alcorn St.	L	68-71	41%
Jan 13, 2025	319	@ Jackson St.	L	69-75	28%
Jan 18, 2025	282	Alabama St.	L	68-71	39%
Jan 25, 2025	261	Texas Southern	L	69-73	36%
Jan 27, 2025	348	Prairie View	W	79-76	61%
Feb 01, 2025	356	@ Florida A&M	L	70-71	45%
Feb 03, 2025	287	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	67-76	22%
Feb 08, 2025	266	Southern	L	68-72	37%
Feb 10, 2025	234	Grambling St.	L	64-70	31%
Feb 15, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	69-64	68%
Feb 17, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	79-78	53%
Feb 22, 2025	287	Bethune-Cookman	L	70-73	40%
Feb 24, 2025	356	Florida A&M	W	73-68	65%
Mar 01, 2025	282	@ Alabama St.	L	65-74	22%
Mar 06, 2025	234	@ Grambling St.	L	61-73	16%
Mar 08, 2025	266	@ Southern	L	65-75	20%
Projected Record						10 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0				4.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.5	2.4	1.1	0.1						5.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.0	3.1	1.4	0.2	0.0						7.1	4th
5th									0.2	2.1	4.1	2.1	0.2	0.0							8.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.1	4.8	2.9	0.3	0.0								10.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.3	5.6	3.6	0.5	0.0									12.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.5	5.7	3.9	0.8	0.0										13.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.4	5.4	3.8	0.8	0.0											12.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.3	4.5	3.0	0.7	0.0												11.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.5	2.3	3.3	2.0	0.4	0.0													8.6	11th
12th	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.5	0.7	0.1	0.0														4.4	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.9	4.2	6.6	9.3	11.6	12.8	12.7	11.6	9.8	7.3	5.3	3.4	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.1%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	77.3%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	42.6%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.9%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.2%	2.2		1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		28.6%	28.6%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.3%		28.4%	28.4%		15.8																0.0	0.1	0.2
15-3	0.8%		22.7%	22.7%		15.9																0.0	0.2	0.6
14-4	1.7%		14.7%	14.7%		16.0																0.0	0.2	1.5
13-5	3.4%		11.8%	11.8%		16.0																0.0	0.4	3.0
12-6	5.3%		7.6%	7.6%		16.0																	0.4	4.9
11-7	7.3%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																	0.4	6.9
10-8	9.8%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																	0.4	9.4
9-9	11.6%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.3	11.3
8-10	12.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.6
7-11	12.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
6-12	11.6%																							11.6
5-13	9.3%																							9.3
4-14	6.6%																							6.6
3-15	4.2%																							4.2
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.5%	2.5%	0.0%	16.0														0.0		0.0	2.4	97.5		0.0%