IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-15.1	#361
Expected Predictive Rating	-16.4	#355

Pace	74.6	#53
Improvement	-1.6	#283

Offense
Total Offense	-8.2	#357

First Shot	-11.1	#363
After Offensive Rebound	+2.9	#34

Layup/Dunks	-3.6	#302
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.2	#301
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.0	#274
Freethrows	-2.3	#307

Improvement	-0.4	#209

Defense
Total Defense	-6.9	#352

First Shot	-4.3	#317
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.6	#340

Layups/Dunks	+1.7	#112
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.2	#5
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.8	#337
Freethrows	-4.5	#359

Improvement	-1.2	#277

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.8%	1.8%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.1%	4.7%	0.9%
.500 or above in Conference	21.0%	32.8%	20.1%
Conference Champion	0.5%	1.2%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	13.6%	7.8%	14.0%

First Four	0.8%	1.8%	0.7%
First Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Home) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 14	8 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 16, 2024	316	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-81	19%	0 - 1			-15.7	-13.9	-0.4
Nov 19, 2024	32	@ Georgia	L	45-93	1%	0 - 2			-32.5	-20.0	-11.4
Nov 22, 2024	247	South Carolina St.	L	70-82	24%	0 - 3			-19.8	-5.4	-14.4
Nov 23, 2024	268	Coastal Carolina	W	77-70	27%	1 - 3			-1.7	+1.8	-3.4
Nov 25, 2024	354	IU Indianapolis	L	83-88	53%	1 - 4			-20.8	+2.1	-22.9
Nov 30, 2024	107	Lipscomb	L	44-82	7%	1 - 5			-36.8	-29.4	-5.7
Dec 15, 2024	183	@ Chattanooga	L	63-85	7%	1 - 6			-20.1	-2.6	-20.4
Dec 18, 2024	129	@ UAB	L	67-96	4%	1 - 7			-24.1	-10.3	-12.1
Dec 21, 2024	112	Samford	L	75-91	7%
Dec 28, 2024	111	@ Georgia Tech	L	65-87	2%
Jan 04, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	86-81	68%
Jan 06, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	73-64	80%
Jan 11, 2025	342	@ Alcorn St.	L	70-77	26%
Jan 13, 2025	303	@ Jackson St.	L	68-78	17%
Jan 18, 2025	297	Alabama St.	L	74-79	33%
Jan 25, 2025	306	Texas Southern	L	74-78	35%
Jan 27, 2025	337	Prairie View	L	83-84	47%
Feb 01, 2025	357	@ Florida A&M	L	71-75	34%
Feb 03, 2025	262	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	67-80	13%
Feb 08, 2025	232	Southern	L	69-77	22%
Feb 10, 2025	308	Grambling St.	L	70-74	36%
Feb 15, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	70-67	60%
Feb 17, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	83-84	47%
Feb 22, 2025	262	Bethune-Cookman	L	70-77	28%
Feb 24, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	74-72	55%
Mar 01, 2025	297	@ Alabama St.	L	71-82	16%
Mar 06, 2025	308	@ Grambling St.	L	67-77	19%
Mar 08, 2025	232	@ Southern	L	66-80	10%
Projected Record						8 - 20	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.1	2nd
3rd											0.2	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0						2.0	3rd
4th										0.2	1.1	1.4	0.3	0.0							3.0	4th
5th									0.1	1.4	2.5	0.7	0.1								4.8	5th
6th								0.1	1.4	3.8	1.7	0.1									7.0	6th
7th							0.1	1.6	4.7	3.0	0.3	0.0									9.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.1	5.6	4.9	0.8	0.0										13.6	8th
9th					0.3	3.0	7.2	5.6	1.2	0.1											17.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	3.6	7.2	5.5	1.2	0.1												18.0	10th
11th		0.0	1.0	3.7	5.9	3.6	0.7	0.0													15.0	11th
12th	0.2	1.1	2.5	2.7	1.1	0.2	0.0														7.7	12th

Total	0.2	1.1	3.5	6.9	10.8	14.4	15.6	14.2	12.4	9.2	5.7	3.3	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0					Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	92.3%	0.0		0.0
15-3	88.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0
14-4	58.3%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	25.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
15-3	0.1%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
14-4	0.3%		16.5%	16.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
13-5	0.8%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
12-6	1.6%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																	0.1	1.5
11-7	3.3%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.1	3.2
10-8	5.7%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.1	5.6
9-9	9.2%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	9.0
8-10	12.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	12.2
7-11	14.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	14.1
6-12	15.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	15.6
5-13	14.4%																							14.4
4-14	10.8%																							10.8
3-15	6.9%																							6.9
2-16	3.5%																							3.5
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		0.8%	0.8%	0.0%	16.0																	0.8	99.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%