Chattanooga
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#156
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#163
Pace67.1#225
Improvement+3.3#43

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#72
First Shot+4.7#61
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#223
Layup/Dunks+2.2#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#19
Freethrows-1.4#271
Improvement+4.1#16

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#280
First Shot-4.0#304
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#148
Layups/Dunks+1.3#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#336
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#323
Freethrows+1.2#100
Improvement-0.8#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 12.8% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.2
.500 or above 94.5% 98.2% 90.4%
.500 or above in Conference 93.4% 97.9% 88.6%
Conference Champion 10.5% 16.8% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round11.1% 12.8% 9.2%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Home) - 52.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 56 - 10
Quad 412 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 61   @ USC L 51-77 15%     0 - 1 -14.2 -13.3 -2.4
  Nov 07, 2024 35   @ St. Mary's L 74-86 9%     0 - 2 +3.4 +15.9 -13.7
  Nov 11, 2024 298   @ Austin Peay L 61-67 70%     0 - 3 -10.9 -6.8 -4.6
  Nov 14, 2024 259   Morehead St. W 76-62 80%     1 - 3 +5.8 +0.0 +5.5
  Nov 17, 2024 269   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 87-82 65%     2 - 3 +1.6 +3.4 -2.4
  Nov 25, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 85-78 85%     3 - 3 -3.6 +1.2 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2024 157   Bryant W 84-76 61%     4 - 3 +5.7 +12.6 -6.8
  Dec 03, 2024 91   Lipscomb L 62-80 39%     4 - 4 -14.6 -6.6 -8.8
  Dec 12, 2024 261   @ Evansville W 75-67 63%     5 - 4 +5.1 +8.7 -3.2
  Dec 15, 2024 358   Alabama A&M W 85-63 94%     6 - 4 +4.7 +17.3 -9.7
  Dec 21, 2024 56   @ Indiana L 65-74 13%     6 - 5 +3.7 +1.6 +1.8
  Jan 01, 2025 233   @ Mercer L 94-99 OT 57%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -6.3 +5.9 -11.3
  Jan 04, 2025 352   @ The Citadel W 81-68 84%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +2.8 +10.5 -6.8
  Jan 09, 2025 129   UNC Greensboro L 75-78 54%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -3.7 +11.0 -15.0
  Jan 12, 2025 327   VMI W 91-66 89%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +11.9 +21.6 -7.0
  Jan 15, 2025 130   Wofford W 83-81 OT 55%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +1.2 +8.3 -7.1
  Jan 18, 2025 151   @ Furman W 75-71 38%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +7.7 +7.0 +0.8
  Jan 22, 2025 115   Samford W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 146   @ East Tennessee St. L 73-76 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 342   @ Western Carolina W 80-71 81%    
  Feb 01, 2025 233   Mercer W 81-74 76%    
  Feb 05, 2025 130   @ Wofford L 72-76 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 151   Furman W 74-72 59%    
  Feb 12, 2025 115   @ Samford L 79-84 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 146   East Tennessee St. W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 19, 2025 342   Western Carolina W 83-68 92%    
  Feb 22, 2025 352   The Citadel W 79-63 93%    
  Feb 27, 2025 129   @ UNC Greensboro L 70-74 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 327   @ VMI W 79-71 76%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.9 4.6 2.4 0.3 10.5 1st
2nd 0.2 4.3 7.4 2.3 0.1 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.5 10.4 2.9 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 10.7 5.4 0.2 19.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 9.2 7.0 0.4 19.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 3.1 6.6 5.1 0.7 16.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.9 0.1 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.8 10.3 17.2 22.0 20.7 13.4 7.0 2.5 0.3 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 95.3% 2.4    1.9 0.6
14-4 65.9% 4.6    2.0 2.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.9% 2.9    0.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 4.5 4.0 1.4 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.3% 18.8% 18.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 2.5% 31.1% 31.1% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.8
14-4 7.0% 23.4% 23.4% 13.4 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.0 5.4
13-5 13.4% 18.4% 18.4% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.2 10.9
12-6 20.7% 11.4% 11.4% 14.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 18.3
11-7 22.0% 8.0% 8.0% 14.3 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 20.2
10-8 17.2% 7.7% 7.7% 14.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 15.9
9-9 10.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.0
8-10 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.3 0.2 0.1 4.5
7-11 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
6-12 0.4% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.9 2.6 0.3 88.9 0.0%