Furman
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#135
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#28
Pace70.9#125
Improvement+0.7#96

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#129
First Shot+3.1#88
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#269
Layup/Dunks-6.7#342
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.9#3
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement+0.6#97

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#163
First Shot+0.6#163
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#209
Layups/Dunks-8.2#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.5#3
Freethrows-1.5#262
Improvement+0.1#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.3% 23.3% 15.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.9 13.4
.500 or above 90.3% 93.9% 79.8%
.500 or above in Conference 87.5% 89.8% 80.6%
Conference Champion 28.7% 31.6% 20.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round21.2% 23.3% 15.0%
Second Round2.7% 3.2% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Away) - 74.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 36 - 56 - 7
Quad 414 - 320 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 141   @ Belmont W 76-74 39%     1 - 0 +6.4 +3.7 +2.7
  Nov 11, 2024 226   Jacksonville W 78-69 77%     2 - 0 +2.8 +0.4 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2024 146   Tulane W 75-67 64%     3 - 0 +5.9 +5.0 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2024 312   @ Charleston Southern W 77-70 75%    
  Nov 26, 2024 136   Seattle W 73-72 50%    
  Nov 30, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 66-86 3%    
  Dec 04, 2024 216   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 69-68 55%    
  Dec 07, 2024 110   Princeton W 74-73 52%    
  Dec 14, 2024 321   South Carolina St. W 80-67 88%    
  Dec 21, 2024 243   @ Harvard W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 01, 2025 258   @ Western Carolina W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 04, 2025 170   @ UNC Greensboro L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 08, 2025 309   @ The Citadel W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 204   Wofford W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 15, 2025 188   East Tennessee St. W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 168   Chattanooga W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 22, 2025 347   @ VMI W 83-72 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 254   @ Mercer W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 29, 2025 127   Samford W 83-81 58%    
  Feb 01, 2025 188   @ East Tennessee St. L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 05, 2025 258   Western Carolina W 76-66 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 168   @ Chattanooga L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 254   Mercer W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 15, 2025 170   UNC Greensboro W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 19, 2025 127   @ Samford L 80-84 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 347   VMI W 86-69 93%    
  Feb 26, 2025 309   The Citadel W 76-63 86%    
  Mar 01, 2025 204   @ Wofford W 72-71 53%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.6 6.9 7.9 5.7 2.8 0.8 28.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.0 7.1 4.6 1.5 0.2 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.0 6.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.4 1.4 0.1 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.6 0.9 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.5 0.7 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.4 5.4 7.8 10.4 11.8 13.5 13.2 11.9 9.4 5.9 2.8 0.8 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 100.0% 2.8    2.8 0.0
16-2 97.2% 5.7    5.2 0.5 0.0
15-3 84.3% 7.9    6.1 1.8 0.1
14-4 58.1% 6.9    3.7 2.8 0.5 0.0
13-5 27.4% 3.6    1.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.7% 28.7 19.8 7.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 64.6% 60.5% 4.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 10.3%
17-1 2.8% 53.8% 52.5% 1.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.3 2.6%
16-2 5.9% 46.6% 46.4% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 0.4%
15-3 9.4% 38.8% 38.8% 12.6 0.1 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.8
14-4 11.9% 30.9% 30.9% 12.9 0.0 1.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 8.2
13-5 13.2% 24.2% 24.2% 13.3 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 10.0
12-6 13.5% 17.2% 17.2% 13.6 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 11.1
11-7 11.8% 13.1% 13.1% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 10.3
10-8 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 9.3
9-9 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 7.2
8-10 5.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.1
7-11 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.3
6-12 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.0
5-13 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 21.3% 21.2% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 6.2 7.3 4.6 1.6 0.3 78.7 0.1%