Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#154
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#193
Pace62.2#343
Improvement+1.2#111

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#116
First Shot+1.2#137
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#111
Layup/Dunks+2.2#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#68
Freethrows-2.9#337
Improvement-0.9#257

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#239
First Shot-3.4#289
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks-0.6#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#305
Freethrows-1.6#288
Improvement+2.1#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 13.2% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 60.1% 70.5% 43.3%
.500 or above in Conference 82.8% 89.8% 71.6%
Conference Champion 13.1% 17.8% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.1%
First Round11.4% 13.0% 8.8%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Home) - 61.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 410 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 108   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 26%     0 - 1 -2.1 +9.6 -12.9
  Nov 13, 2024 266   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 61%     0 - 2 -5.8 +0.5 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -26.3 -21.6 -9.2
  Nov 22, 2024 124   St. Thomas W 81-73 43%     1 - 3 +10.0 +9.9 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2024 141   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 36%     1 - 4 +1.9 +6.5 -4.7
  Nov 24, 2024 254   Portland St. L 74-79 69%     1 - 5 -9.9 +1.9 -12.0
  Dec 01, 2024 196   North Alabama W 74-54 68%     2 - 5 +15.2 +0.9 +15.1
  Dec 04, 2024 230   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 74%     3 - 5 +17.3 +16.2 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 167   @ Elon L 56-79 41%     3 - 6 -20.4 -12.1 -9.8
  Dec 16, 2024 117   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 29%     3 - 7 -4.1 +1.3 -6.0
  Dec 18, 2024 136   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 34%     4 - 7 +7.3 +7.6 +0.0
  Jan 01, 2025 159   UNC Greensboro W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 04, 2025 139   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 08, 2025 317   Western Carolina W 77-65 86%    
  Jan 11, 2025 112   @ Furman L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 15, 2025 172   @ Chattanooga L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 231   Mercer W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 22, 2025 352   The Citadel W 76-60 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 118   @ Samford L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 29, 2025 345   VMI W 79-64 91%    
  Feb 01, 2025 159   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 05, 2025 172   Chattanooga W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 231   @ Mercer W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 12, 2025 352   @ The Citadel W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 118   Samford W 80-79 51%    
  Feb 19, 2025 345   @ VMI W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 22, 2025 139   East Tennessee St. W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 317   @ Western Carolina W 74-68 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 112   Furman L 68-69 49%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 2.6 4.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 13.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.9 3.3 0.6 0.1 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.8 7.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 5.5 7.6 2.6 0.1 16.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.5 6.4 2.4 0.1 14.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.2 4.0 5.0 1.8 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.1 2.7 2.9 1.1 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.9 8.2 11.5 14.8 15.7 15.3 11.3 8.0 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 96.4% 1.5    1.4 0.1
15-3 85.1% 3.5    2.6 0.9 0.0
14-4 55.7% 4.5    2.0 2.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 22.8% 2.6    0.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.1% 13.1 7.1 4.5 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 44.4% 44.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 31.5% 31.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.6% 34.1% 34.1% 12.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-3 4.1% 30.0% 30.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.9
14-4 8.0% 21.4% 21.4% 13.4 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 6.3
13-5 11.3% 20.1% 20.1% 13.8 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.4 9.0
12-6 15.3% 14.3% 14.3% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.0 13.1
11-7 15.7% 8.1% 8.1% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.0 14.5
10-8 14.8% 7.8% 7.8% 15.1 0.1 0.9 0.1 13.6
9-9 11.5% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.2 0.4 10.9
8-10 8.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.9
7-11 4.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-12 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.1 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.8 3.1 1.1 88.3 0.0%