Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#157
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#188
Pace61.4#343
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#97
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#71
Layup/Dunks+2.1#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#59
Freethrows-3.1#344
Improvement-0.4#202

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#257
First Shot-3.8#293
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#93
Layups/Dunks-0.8#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#300
Freethrows-1.8#298
Improvement+0.5#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 14.5% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 57.1% 77.3% 45.8%
.500 or above in Conference 89.5% 97.4% 85.0%
Conference Champion 5.3% 12.0% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round11.2% 14.4% 9.4%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Away) - 35.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 5
Quad 36 - 78 - 12
Quad 48 - 316 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 97   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 24%     0 - 1 -1.2 +9.4 -11.8
  Nov 13, 2024 278   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 67%     0 - 2 -7.1 -0.8 -6.7
  Nov 16, 2024 3   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -25.6 -21.6 -8.6
  Nov 22, 2024 132   St. Thomas W 81-73 44%     1 - 3 +9.7 +7.7 +2.2
  Nov 23, 2024 131   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 34%     1 - 4 +2.4 +8.9 -6.6
  Nov 24, 2024 208   Portland St. L 74-79 61%     1 - 5 -7.6 +5.0 -12.8
  Dec 01, 2024 164   North Alabama W 74-54 61%     2 - 5 +17.5 +1.4 +16.9
  Dec 04, 2024 237   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 76%     3 - 5 +16.9 +17.0 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 171   @ Elon L 56-79 42%     3 - 6 -20.7 -12.7 -9.4
  Dec 16, 2024 116   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 31%     3 - 7 -4.7 +0.4 -5.6
  Dec 18, 2024 100   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 25%     4 - 7 +10.2 +12.2 -1.7
  Jan 01, 2025 146   UNC Greensboro L 66-68 57%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -3.4 -0.5 -3.1
  Jan 04, 2025 152   @ East Tennessee St. W 81-78 38%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +6.3 +13.2 -6.7
  Jan 08, 2025 348   Western Carolina W 77-69 92%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -7.1 +1.5 -8.4
  Jan 13, 2025 161   @ Furman W 81-62 41%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +21.7 +19.7 +4.6
  Jan 15, 2025 144   @ Chattanooga L 81-83 OT 36%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +1.8 +9.0 -7.2
  Jan 18, 2025 221   Mercer W 69-49 72%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +14.2 +0.0 +15.8
  Jan 22, 2025 356   The Citadel W 79-68 93%     9 - 9 5 - 2 -5.3 +8.8 -12.8
  Jan 25, 2025 109   @ Samford L 61-77 28%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -9.8 -1.6 -10.5
  Jan 29, 2025 304   VMI L 67-74 85%     9 - 11 5 - 4 -17.7 -5.0 -13.3
  Feb 01, 2025 146   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-69 36%    
  Feb 05, 2025 144   Chattanooga W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 221   @ Mercer W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 12, 2025 356   @ The Citadel W 73-62 85%    
  Feb 15, 2025 109   Samford L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 19, 2025 304   @ VMI W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 152   East Tennessee St. W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 26, 2025 348   @ Western Carolina W 77-67 82%    
  Mar 01, 2025 161   Furman W 71-68 61%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.7 3.1 1.5 5.3 1st
2nd 0.8 6.8 4.0 0.2 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 7.3 8.7 0.6 16.9 3rd
4th 0.3 6.0 12.3 1.5 0.0 20.1 4th
5th 0.2 4.1 12.1 3.7 0.0 20.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.1 8.9 4.4 0.1 16.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.7 1.8 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.5 7.5 15.1 23.1 24.2 17.8 7.7 1.6 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 89.6% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1
13-5 40.2% 3.1    0.5 1.5 1.0 0.1
12-6 4.1% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 1.4 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.6% 22.1% 22.1% 12.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.3
13-5 7.7% 20.7% 20.7% 13.5 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 6.1
12-6 17.8% 17.4% 17.4% 13.9 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.6 0.0 14.7
11-7 24.2% 11.9% 11.9% 14.5 0.1 1.3 1.4 0.1 21.3
10-8 23.1% 9.2% 9.2% 14.9 0.4 1.7 0.1 20.9
9-9 15.1% 5.9% 5.9% 15.4 0.5 0.4 14.2
8-10 7.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.2
7-11 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 2.4
6-12 0.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 14.3 0.3 1.9 4.0 4.3 0.9 88.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 12.5 55.6 41.7 2.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%