Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#204
Expected Predictive Rating-11.7#317
Pace61.5#350
Improvement-0.4#225

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#139
First Shot-0.2#192
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#97
Layup/Dunks-5.5#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#11
Freethrows-5.9#357
Improvement-1.1#331

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#289
First Shot-3.0#274
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#210
Layups/Dunks+1.8#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#310
Freethrows-0.8#230
Improvement+0.7#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 10.2% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 37.8% 51.9% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.2% 71.2% 57.3%
Conference Champion 9.0% 12.5% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 2.1% 4.6%
First Four1.5% 1.2% 1.7%
First Round7.4% 9.7% 5.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Neutral) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 410 - 614 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 151   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 29%     0 - 1 -5.6 +5.8 -12.6
  Nov 13, 2024 281   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 54%     0 - 2 -6.1 -1.8 -4.6
  Nov 16, 2024 5   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -28.7 -23.3 -9.9
  Nov 22, 2024 163   St. Thomas L 69-71 43%    
  Nov 23, 2024 210   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-75 40%    
  Nov 24, 2024 218   Portland St. W 77-76 53%    
  Dec 01, 2024 187   North Alabama W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 04, 2024 222   Gardner-Webb W 73-69 64%    
  Dec 07, 2024 263   @ Elon L 71-72 50%    
  Dec 16, 2024 116   @ College of Charleston L 70-79 22%    
  Dec 18, 2024 101   @ Saint Louis L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 01, 2025 170   UNC Greensboro W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 188   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 08, 2025 258   Western Carolina W 70-64 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 135   @ Furman L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 15, 2025 168   @ Chattanooga L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 254   Mercer W 73-67 68%    
  Jan 22, 2025 309   The Citadel W 71-62 79%    
  Jan 25, 2025 127   @ Samford L 73-81 25%    
  Jan 29, 2025 347   VMI W 80-67 88%    
  Feb 01, 2025 170   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 05, 2025 168   Chattanooga W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 254   @ Mercer L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 309   @ The Citadel W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 127   Samford L 76-78 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 347   @ VMI W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 188   East Tennessee St. W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 258   @ Western Carolina L 67-68 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 135   Furman L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.7 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.7 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.6 1.2 0.1 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.9 4.7 1.1 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.6 3.4 0.8 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.8 6.9 9.3 11.2 13.0 12.6 11.7 9.7 7.1 4.7 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 96.9% 1.2    1.1 0.1
15-3 84.7% 2.3    1.7 0.6 0.0
14-4 56.7% 2.7    1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 24.9% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.3 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 57.9% 57.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 47.6% 47.6% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.3% 36.3% 36.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
15-3 2.7% 31.2% 31.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.9
14-4 4.7% 24.2% 24.2% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.6
13-5 7.1% 16.7% 16.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 5.9
12-6 9.7% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 8.4
11-7 11.7% 8.6% 8.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 10.7
10-8 12.6% 6.1% 6.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.8
9-9 13.0% 4.3% 4.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 12.4
8-10 11.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.9
7-11 9.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 9.2
6-12 6.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-13 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 2.2 2.4 92.0 0.0%