Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#143
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#183
Pace62.1#332
Improvement+1.4#125

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#101
First Shot+0.8#143
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#75
Layup/Dunks+2.0#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#60
Freethrows-3.1#344
Improvement-0.7#216

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#222
First Shot-2.9#268
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks-0.5#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#290
Freethrows-1.6#288
Improvement+2.1#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 25.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 n/a
.500 or above 28.2% 55.8% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round12.9% 25.6% 0.0%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 23 - 43 - 5
Quad 34 - 97 - 14
Quad 48 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 99   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 26%     0 - 1 -1.4 +8.4 -11.0
  Nov 13, 2024 239   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 60%     0 - 2 -4.6 +1.5 -6.5
  Nov 16, 2024 1   @ Duke L 35-86 1%     0 - 3 -22.4 -22.2 -4.7
  Nov 22, 2024 135   St. Thomas W 81-73 48%     1 - 3 +9.5 +7.5 +2.2
  Nov 23, 2024 136   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 38%     1 - 4 +2.0 +8.9 -7.0
  Nov 24, 2024 188   Portland St. L 74-79 60%     1 - 5 -6.7 +6.2 -13.0
  Dec 01, 2024 129   North Alabama W 74-54 58%     2 - 5 +19.0 +1.7 +18.0
  Dec 04, 2024 275   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 83%     3 - 5 +14.9 +15.6 +0.8
  Dec 07, 2024 200   @ Elon L 56-79 51%     3 - 6 -22.3 -13.4 -10.4
  Dec 16, 2024 141   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 39%     3 - 7 -6.2 +0.1 -6.9
  Dec 18, 2024 101   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 27%     4 - 7 +10.4 +12.9 -2.1
  Jan 01, 2025 144   UNC Greensboro L 66-68 61%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -3.8 -0.6 -3.5
  Jan 04, 2025 146   @ East Tennessee St. W 81-78 40%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +6.5 +14.4 -7.7
  Jan 08, 2025 338   Western Carolina W 77-69 92%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -6.4 +0.6 -6.8
  Jan 13, 2025 148   @ Furman W 81-62 41%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +22.3 +20.2 +4.6
  Jan 15, 2025 114   @ Chattanooga L 81-83 OT 32%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +3.7 +7.7 -4.0
  Jan 18, 2025 257   Mercer W 69-49 80%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +12.0 -0.1 +13.7
  Jan 22, 2025 357   The Citadel W 79-68 94%     9 - 9 5 - 2 -6.1 +7.5 -12.3
  Jan 25, 2025 115   @ Samford L 61-77 32%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -10.3 -1.9 -10.7
  Jan 29, 2025 311   VMI L 67-74 87%     9 - 11 5 - 4 -18.4 -4.5 -14.5
  Feb 01, 2025 144   @ UNC Greensboro W 74-62 40%     10 - 11 6 - 4 +15.6 +11.1 +5.9
  Feb 05, 2025 114   Chattanooga L 70-79 53%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -8.7 -0.3 -9.3
  Feb 08, 2025 257   @ Mercer W 77-66 63%     11 - 12 7 - 5 +8.5 +2.8 +5.3
  Feb 12, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 74-71 OT 88%     12 - 12 8 - 5 -8.7 +1.6 -10.1
  Feb 15, 2025 115   Samford L 68-76 53%     12 - 13 8 - 6 -7.7 -4.2 -3.8
  Feb 19, 2025 311   @ VMI W 82-43 75%     13 - 13 9 - 6 +33.1 +8.2 +25.3
  Feb 22, 2025 146   East Tennessee St. L 68-73 61%     13 - 14 9 - 7 -6.9 +3.5 -11.0
  Feb 26, 2025 338   @ Western Carolina W 90-67 83%     14 - 14 10 - 7 +14.0 +16.1 -1.6
  Mar 01, 2025 148   Furman L 75-78 62%     14 - 15 10 - 8 -5.1 +3.9 -9.1
  Mar 08, 2025 146   East Tennessee St. W 69-68 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 12.9% 12.9% 14.6 0.4 4.3 8.3 0.0 87.1
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.4 4.3 8.3 0.0 87.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 12.9% 100.0% 14.6 2.9 33.0 63.9 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.3%
Lose Out 49.5%