Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#161
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#152
Pace72.7#77
Improvement-0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#176
First Shot-3.0#268
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#25
Layup/Dunks+2.4#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#340
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-2.3#302

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#165
First Shot+1.8#122
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#304
Layups/Dunks-0.5#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#92
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement+2.2#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 19.6% 15.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.2
.500 or above 96.8% 99.2% 95.0%
.500 or above in Conference 95.9% 98.9% 93.6%
Conference Champion 14.2% 22.0% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round17.0% 19.6% 15.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.6% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Away) - 42.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 67 - 9
Quad 412 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 113   @ Northern Iowa L 68-87 30%     0 - 1 -13.3 -1.6 -12.3
  Nov 13, 2024 199   @ Longwood L 62-76 47%     0 - 2 -12.9 -18.5 +7.4
  Nov 19, 2024 116   @ Duquesne W 80-74 30%     1 - 2 +11.6 +12.3 -0.6
  Nov 22, 2024 227   Portland St. W 91-74 74%     2 - 2 +10.5 +16.3 -5.8
  Nov 23, 2024 130   Wofford W 76-74 54%     3 - 2 +1.2 +6.1 -4.8
  Nov 24, 2024 125   St. Thomas W 69-65 52%     4 - 2 +3.7 -6.3 +10.0
  Nov 27, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 76-84 17%     4 - 3 +2.5 +5.5 -2.7
  Nov 30, 2024 258   @ Southern Miss L 65-66 61%     4 - 4 -3.7 -2.0 -1.8
  Dec 05, 2024 173   Cleveland St. W 79-67 63%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +8.8 +11.7 -1.9
  Dec 11, 2024 333   @ Green Bay W 88-67 80%     6 - 4 2 - 0 +12.5 +10.0 +2.6
  Dec 15, 2024 124   Akron W 100-81 41%     7 - 4 +21.5 +10.4 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2024 326   IU Indianapolis W 88-81 89%     8 - 4 3 - 0 -6.0 +8.3 -14.1
  Jan 02, 2025 178   @ Oakland L 49-65 44%     8 - 5 3 - 1 -14.1 -16.3 -0.1
  Jan 04, 2025 331   @ Detroit Mercy W 64-56 78%     9 - 5 4 - 1 +0.1 -11.0 +11.1
  Jan 08, 2025 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-78 36%     9 - 6 4 - 2 -0.9 -8.7 +8.3
  Jan 11, 2025 333   Green Bay W 70-59 90%     10 - 6 5 - 2 -3.0 -8.8 +6.2
  Jan 17, 2025 208   Youngstown St. W 79-64 70%     11 - 6 6 - 2 +9.9 +6.8 +3.1
  Jan 19, 2025 216   Robert Morris L 79-81 72%     11 - 7 6 - 3 -7.8 +2.2 -10.0
  Jan 22, 2025 177   @ Wright St. L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 24, 2025 235   @ Northern Kentucky W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 02, 2025 145   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-79 57%    
  Feb 05, 2025 326   @ IU Indianapolis W 78-70 76%    
  Feb 08, 2025 173   @ Cleveland St. L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 14, 2025 177   Wright St. W 80-76 64%    
  Feb 16, 2025 235   Northern Kentucky W 72-65 75%    
  Feb 21, 2025 208   @ Youngstown St. L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 23, 2025 216   @ Robert Morris W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 178   Oakland W 71-67 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 331   Detroit Mercy W 79-65 90%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.4 3.3 5.8 3.8 0.8 14.2 1st
2nd 0.3 5.2 9.8 4.3 0.5 0.0 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.2 11.1 4.1 0.4 0.0 19.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 9.1 4.5 0.2 16.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.5 5.7 0.4 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.9 0.8 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 1.3 6.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.1 7.4 13.9 20.0 21.6 17.4 10.4 4.4 0.8 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 98.8% 0.8    0.8 0.1
16-4 87.6% 3.8    2.9 0.9 0.0
15-5 55.6% 5.8    2.3 2.6 0.9 0.0
14-6 19.1% 3.3    0.3 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 6.3 4.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.8% 26.2% 26.2% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6
16-4 4.4% 34.9% 34.9% 13.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.8
15-5 10.4% 25.8% 25.8% 13.6 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.2 7.7
14-6 17.4% 22.5% 22.5% 14.0 0.0 0.9 2.2 0.8 13.5
13-7 21.6% 16.4% 16.4% 14.2 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.0 0.1 18.0
12-8 20.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.4 0.1 1.3 1.3 0.0 17.2
11-9 13.9% 10.4% 10.4% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 12.5
10-10 7.4% 8.8% 8.8% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 6.7
9-11 3.1% 4.8% 4.8% 15.3 0.1 0.1 3.0
8-12 0.9% 7.0% 7.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.8
7-13 0.2% 0.2
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.7 3.3 7.8 4.9 0.3 83.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 12.0 4.5 86.4 9.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%