IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.7	#200
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.1	#63
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.8	#123

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#289

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.9%	17.2%	10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	13.7	14.5

.500 or above	60.6%	80.9%	54.9%
.500 or above in Conference	74.6%	85.6%	71.5%
Conference Champion	13.9%	21.8%	11.7%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.4%	1.5%

First Four	1.3%	0.8%	1.4%
First Round	11.4%	16.8%	9.8%
Second Round	1.0%	2.0%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 21.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 6	4 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 5	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2024	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	71-79	22%
Nov 13, 2024	195	@ Longwood	L	73-76	39%
Nov 19, 2024	128	@ Duquesne	L	70-77	27%
Nov 22, 2024	257	Portland St.	W	80-74	71%
Nov 23, 2024	153	Wofford	W	76-75	53%
Nov 24, 2024	201	St. Thomas	W	73-70	62%
Nov 27, 2024	71	@ Central Florida	L	70-83	14%
Nov 30, 2024	236	@ Southern Miss	L	75-76	46%
Dec 05, 2024	213	Cleveland St.	W	78-74	64%
Dec 11, 2024	310	@ Green Bay	W	73-70	61%
Dec 15, 2024	131	Akron	L	71-75	38%
Dec 29, 2024	360	IU Indianapolis	W	84-67	92%
Jan 02, 2025	146	@ Oakland	L	73-79	32%
Jan 04, 2025	342	@ Detroit Mercy	W	80-73	72%
Jan 08, 2025	180	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	78-82	37%
Jan 11, 2025	310	Green Bay	W	76-67	78%
Jan 17, 2025	198	Youngstown St.	W	79-76	60%
Jan 19, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	80-72	76%
Jan 22, 2025	196	@ Wright St.	L	83-86	40%
Jan 24, 2025	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	73-77	37%
Feb 02, 2025	180	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	81-79	56%
Feb 05, 2025	360	@ IU Indianapolis	W	81-70	81%
Feb 08, 2025	213	@ Cleveland St.	L	75-77	44%
Feb 14, 2025	196	Wright St.	W	86-83	60%
Feb 16, 2025	174	Northern Kentucky	W	76-74	56%
Feb 21, 2025	198	@ Youngstown St.	L	76-79	40%
Feb 23, 2025	295	@ Robert Morris	W	77-75	57%
Feb 27, 2025	146	Oakland	W	76-75	51%
Mar 01, 2025	342	Detroit Mercy	W	83-70	85%
Projected Record						15 - 14	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.7	2.3	3.7	3.4	2.3	1.1	0.3		13.9	1st
2nd													0.2	1.7	4.0	4.5	2.5	0.6	0.1				13.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.3	2.3	4.9	4.2	1.5	0.2	0.0					13.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.5	5.1	3.7	0.8	0.1							12.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.5	4.9	3.0	0.6	0.0								11.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.6	2.8	4.4	2.7	0.4	0.0									11.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.7	2.6	3.6	1.9	0.3	0.0										9.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.8	2.2	2.4	1.2	0.2	0.0											7.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	0.8	1.5	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0												4.6	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.3	10th
11th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.7	11th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.8	3.0	4.5	6.2	8.2	9.5	10.8	11.0	11.0	9.8	8.5	6.4	4.0	2.4	1.1	0.3			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	100.0%	1.1		1.0	0.0
18-2	96.2%	2.3		2.1	0.2
17-3	85.2%	3.4		2.6	0.8	0.0
16-4	57.5%	3.7		2.1	1.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	27.8%	2.3		0.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	7.3%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.7%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	13.9%	13.9		9.0	3.7	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		62.6%	61.6%	1.0%	11.1				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		2.7%
19-1	1.1%		54.1%	53.6%	0.5%	12.3							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		1.0%
18-2	2.4%		43.5%	43.2%	0.2%	12.9											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.4		0.4%
17-3	4.0%		34.9%	34.9%		13.4												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.6
16-4	6.4%		28.6%	28.6%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.0	4.6
15-5	8.5%		22.7%	22.7%		14.4													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.2	6.5
14-6	9.8%		16.5%	16.5%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	8.2
13-7	11.0%		11.4%	11.4%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	9.7
12-8	11.0%		8.5%	8.5%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	10.1
11-9	10.8%		5.5%	5.5%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	10.2
10-10	9.5%		3.3%	3.3%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.1
9-11	8.2%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.0
8-12	6.2%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.1	6.2
7-13	4.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
6-14	3.0%																							3.0
5-15	1.8%																							1.8
4-16	1.0%																							1.0
3-17	0.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	14.3				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	2.0	2.9	3.2	2.6	88.1		0.0%