Longwood
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#179
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#104
Pace66.7#263
Improvement-0.9#293

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#261
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#126
Layup/Dunks-0.1#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#342
Freethrows+4.2#20
Improvement+0.2#135

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#117
First Shot+3.0#96
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#251
Layups/Dunks-7.5#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#4
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#134
Freethrows+4.5#13
Improvement-1.2#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.2% 19.6% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 84.9% 93.7% 81.2%
.500 or above in Conference 75.4% 82.3% 72.4%
Conference Champion 19.0% 24.7% 16.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 2.2% 4.4%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round15.0% 19.4% 13.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Neutral) - 30.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 414 - 418 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 84-66 87%     1 - 0 +4.6 +0.2 +3.7
  Nov 13, 2024 210   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-62 67%     2 - 0 +8.6 -11.7 +18.4
  Nov 16, 2024 302   Tennessee Martin W 64-62 82%     3 - 0 -8.5 -10.8 +2.4
  Nov 19, 2024 329   @ Binghamton W 66-60 71%     4 - 0 -0.6 -0.7 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2024 103   UAB L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 05, 2024 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-59 93%    
  Dec 14, 2024 267   NC Central W 71-64 75%    
  Dec 18, 2024 257   @ Campbell W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 20, 2024 267   @ NC Central W 68-67 55%    
  Dec 29, 2024 68   @ SMU L 68-80 13%    
  Jan 02, 2025 281   @ Presbyterian W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 04, 2025 312   Charleston Southern W 73-63 83%    
  Jan 08, 2025 177   UNC Asheville W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 193   @ Winthrop L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 15, 2025 125   High Point L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 22, 2025 227   @ Radford L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 314   South Carolina Upstate W 77-67 82%    
  Jan 29, 2025 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 01, 2025 312   @ Charleston Southern W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 227   Radford W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 12, 2025 125   @ High Point L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 281   Presbyterian W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 19, 2025 222   Gardner-Webb W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 22, 2025 177   @ UNC Asheville L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 193   Winthrop W 73-69 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 314   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-70 64%    
Projected Record 17 - 9 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.1 5.5 3.6 1.5 0.4 19.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.4 7.2 4.5 1.5 0.2 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.0 6.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.7 6.4 2.1 0.2 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.1 1.6 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.0 1.2 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.8 0.9 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.3 6.9 9.4 11.9 14.0 14.0 12.8 10.0 7.0 3.8 1.5 0.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5 0.0
14-2 95.1% 3.6    3.2 0.4
13-3 78.3% 5.5    3.9 1.5 0.1
12-4 50.8% 5.1    2.4 2.2 0.5 0.0
11-5 19.1% 2.4    0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 19.0% 19.0 11.9 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 57.3% 56.6% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6%
15-1 1.5% 48.4% 48.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-2 3.8% 40.3% 40.3% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.3
13-3 7.0% 32.9% 32.9% 13.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.7
12-4 10.0% 26.8% 26.8% 13.8 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.0 7.3
11-5 12.8% 19.6% 19.6% 14.2 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.1 10.3
10-6 14.0% 14.4% 14.4% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.2 12.0
9-7 14.0% 10.3% 10.3% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 12.5
8-8 11.9% 8.4% 8.4% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 10.9
7-9 9.4% 5.5% 5.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.9
6-10 6.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.7
5-11 4.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.2
4-12 2.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-13 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-14 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.2% 15.2% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.6 4.7 4.0 1.6 84.8 0.0%