IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.3	#125
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.2	#123
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.6	#57

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#253

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	30.6%	30.8%	17.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	13.5	14.7

.500 or above	89.7%	90.0%	65.8%
.500 or above in Conference	90.3%	90.5%	78.6%
Conference Champion	41.6%	41.8%	22.9%
Last Place in Conference	1.1%	1.1%	3.8%

First Four	1.3%	1.3%	3.6%
First Round	30.0%	30.2%	16.3%
Second Round	4.5%	4.6%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	1.3%	1.3%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 98.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 4	5 - 6
Quad 4	15 - 3	20 - 9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	363	Coppin St.	W	83-59	99%
Nov 09, 2024	319	Jackson St.	W	83-69	90%
Nov 12, 2024	256	NC Central	W	80-70	82%
Nov 15, 2024	88	UAB	L	77-79	45%
Nov 18, 2024	252	American	W	76-66	81%
Nov 24, 2024	207	Missouri St.	W	77-72	66%
Dec 03, 2024	188	@ UNC Greensboro	W	73-72	51%
Dec 06, 2024	86	North Texas	L	66-68	45%
Dec 14, 2024	139	Appalachian St.	W	74-73	53%
Dec 21, 2024	140	@ Southern Illinois	L	70-72	43%
Dec 29, 2024	251	Norfolk St.	W	79-69	79%
Jan 02, 2025	269	Radford	W	76-66	81%
Jan 04, 2025	186	@ UNC Asheville	W	78-77	51%
Jan 08, 2025	280	@ Charleston Southern	W	77-72	66%
Jan 11, 2025	246	Gardner-Webb	W	81-72	78%
Jan 15, 2025	195	@ Longwood	W	75-74	53%
Jan 18, 2025	303	Presbyterian	W	82-69	85%
Jan 22, 2025	330	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	78-69	78%
Jan 25, 2025	189	Winthrop	W	79-73	70%
Feb 01, 2025	303	@ Presbyterian	W	79-72	71%
Feb 05, 2025	269	@ Radford	W	73-69	65%
Feb 08, 2025	186	UNC Asheville	W	80-74	70%
Feb 12, 2025	195	Longwood	W	78-71	72%
Feb 15, 2025	189	@ Winthrop	W	77-76	51%
Feb 19, 2025	280	Charleston Southern	W	80-69	82%
Feb 22, 2025	246	@ Gardner-Webb	W	78-75	61%
Feb 26, 2025	330	South Carolina Upstate	W	81-66	89%
Projected Record						19 - 8	11 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.4	2.3	7.0	10.6	10.8	7.5	3.0		41.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	3.3	7.1	6.8	3.1	0.5				21.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	3.0	5.6	3.6	0.9	0.1					13.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	2.4	4.1	2.0	0.2	0.0						9.2	4th
5th						0.0	0.2	1.6	2.9	1.3	0.1								6.0	5th
6th					0.0	0.2	1.2	1.9	0.7	0.0									4.1	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.4	0.0										2.3	7th
8th		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0											1.3	8th
9th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0												0.5	9th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.7	4.3	6.5	8.9	11.4	13.3	14.6	13.7	11.4	7.5	3.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	3.0		3.0
15-1	100.0%	7.5		7.4	0.2
14-2	95.3%	10.8		9.5	1.3	0.0
13-3	77.2%	10.6		7.3	3.1	0.2	0.0
12-4	47.9%	7.0		3.1	3.0	0.8	0.1
11-5	17.0%	2.3		0.5	0.9	0.7	0.1	0.0
10-6	3.2%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	41.6%	41.6		30.8	8.6	1.9	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	3.0%		73.2%	71.3%	1.9%	10.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1			0.8		6.6%
15-1	7.5%		59.2%	58.8%	0.4%	12.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.9	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	3.1		0.9%
14-2	11.4%		51.2%	51.1%	0.1%	13.0											0.0	0.2	1.6	2.4	1.3	0.3	0.0	5.5		0.1%
13-3	13.7%		40.5%	40.5%		13.6												0.0	0.7	2.0	2.0	0.8	0.1	8.1
12-4	14.6%		33.1%	33.1%		14.1												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	1.4	0.3	9.8
11-5	13.3%		24.7%	24.7%		14.7													0.0	0.3	1.0	1.4	0.6	10.0
10-6	11.4%		19.3%	19.3%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.7	9.2
9-7	8.9%		12.8%	12.8%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	7.8
8-8	6.5%		9.8%	9.8%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.5	5.9
7-9	4.3%		7.5%	7.5%		15.9																0.0	0.3	3.9
6-10	2.7%		2.9%	2.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	2.7
5-11	1.4%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
4-12	0.7%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
3-13	0.3%																							0.3
2-14	0.1%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
1-15	0.0%																							0.0
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		30.6%	30.5%	0.1%	13.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.2	5.0	7.6	7.4	5.6	3.0	69.4		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.3%	100.0%	6.4	0.2	2.8	5.0	18.4	12.2	25.1	9.1	7.0	6.4	3.3	5.7	4.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	28.4%	9.4				1.5			7.5		6.0		6.0	7.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	27.0%	11.1											25.7	1.4