High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#96
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#93
Pace66.9#213
Improvement+4.0#39

Offense
Total Offense+7.5#28
First Shot+5.9#45
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#92
Layup/Dunks+0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#90
Freethrows+3.7#19
Improvement+1.9#89

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#239
First Shot-1.0#209
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#303
Layups/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#196
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement+2.0#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 51.0% 52.2% 47.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 99.8% 100.0% 99.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round51.0% 52.2% 47.3%
Second Round6.0% 6.2% 5.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 76.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 36 - 37 - 4
Quad 418 - 226 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 93-51 98%     1 - 0 +21.0 +13.2 +7.2
  Nov 09, 2024 271   Jackson St. W 80-71 89%     2 - 0 +0.7 +3.7 -3.1
  Nov 12, 2024 310   NC Central W 76-60 93%     3 - 0 +4.8 +7.8 -0.4
  Nov 15, 2024 104   UAB W 68-65 63%     4 - 0 +4.6 -7.0 +11.7
  Nov 18, 2024 247   American W 80-73 87%     5 - 0 -0.4 +18.9 -17.9
  Nov 24, 2024 219   Missouri St. L 61-71 78%     5 - 1 -13.2 -8.1 -5.7
  Nov 25, 2024 286   Old Dominion W 73-67 87%     6 - 1 -0.9 +5.6 -5.8
  Nov 26, 2024 250   Hampton W 76-73 82%     7 - 1 -1.9 +14.7 -16.1
  Dec 03, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-72 57%     7 - 2 -0.9 +9.9 -11.5
  Dec 06, 2024 71   North Texas W 76-71 49%     8 - 2 +10.4 +8.5 +1.9
  Dec 14, 2024 141   Appalachian St. W 65-59 65%     9 - 2 +7.1 -4.7 +11.7
  Dec 21, 2024 179   @ Southern Illinois W 94-81 63%     10 - 2 +14.5 +20.2 -6.0
  Dec 29, 2024 181   Norfolk St. L 74-77 80%     10 - 3 -6.7 +6.8 -13.9
  Jan 02, 2025 177   Radford W 76-58 79%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +14.5 +13.9 +4.0
  Jan 04, 2025 184   @ UNC Asheville L 99-103 64%     11 - 4 1 - 1 -2.7 +14.9 -17.3
  Jan 08, 2025 285   @ Charleston Southern W 93-79 81%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +9.6 +19.8 -10.1
  Jan 11, 2025 257   Gardner-Webb W 96-55 88%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +33.2 +15.7 +16.5
  Jan 16, 2025 200   @ Longwood L 80-82 67%     13 - 5 3 - 2 -1.6 +6.6 -8.2
  Jan 18, 2025 270   Presbyterian W 77-66 89%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +2.7 +6.7 -2.9
  Jan 22, 2025 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 86-77 91%     15 - 5 5 - 2 -0.8 +10.5 -11.0
  Jan 25, 2025 196   Winthrop W 84-62 82%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +17.4 +9.2 +8.7
  Feb 01, 2025 270   @ Presbyterian W 84-72 78%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +8.8 +21.6 -11.0
  Feb 05, 2025 177   @ Radford W 78-75 63%     18 - 5 8 - 2 +4.6 +12.6 -7.6
  Feb 08, 2025 184   UNC Asheville W 104-100 OT 80%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +0.2 +8.3 -8.8
  Feb 13, 2025 200   Longwood W 83-72 82%     20 - 5 10 - 2 +6.3 +8.2 -1.7
  Feb 15, 2025 196   @ Winthrop W 88-66 67%     21 - 5 11 - 2 +22.5 +10.5 +11.1
  Feb 19, 2025 285   Charleston Southern W 83-60 91%     22 - 5 12 - 2 +13.5 +9.2 +5.1
  Feb 22, 2025 257   @ Gardner-Webb W 84-76 76%    
  Feb 26, 2025 345   South Carolina Upstate W 93-73 97%    
Projected Record 24 - 5 14 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.6 25.2 74.0 99.8 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.7 25.2 74.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 74.0    74.0
13-3 100.0% 25.2    19.6 5.6
12-4 77.0% 0.6    0.3 0.3
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 99.8% 99.8 93.9 5.9



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 74.0% 52.5% 52.5% 12.6 0.3 17.8 18.2 2.5 0.0 35.2
13-3 25.2% 47.1% 47.1% 13.0 0.0 2.7 6.2 2.9 0.1 13.3
12-4 0.7% 40.5% 40.5% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 51.0% 51.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.3 20.5 24.7 5.4 0.1 49.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 38.9% 100.0% 12.6 0.7 45.9 46.9 6.4 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 15.5%