Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.1#359
Expected Predictive Rating-17.4#357
Pace68.2#204
Improvement+1.0#119

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#347
First Shot-4.1#298
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#328
Layup/Dunks-6.4#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#259
Freethrows+1.2#108
Improvement-0.5#232

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#353
First Shot-4.8#328
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#333
Layups/Dunks-2.5#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#208
Freethrows-0.6#227
Improvement+1.5#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 0.0% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.1% 30.6% 15.1%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 27.0% 18.4% 27.0%
First Four1.0% 0.0% 1.0%
First Round0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 45 - 125 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 50   @ Vanderbilt L 63-102 1%     0 - 1 -25.7 -6.6 -18.1
  Nov 07, 2024 274   @ Penn L 84-87 15%     0 - 2 -6.2 +8.1 -14.3
  Nov 12, 2024 209   @ Miami (OH) L 70-88 9%     0 - 3 -17.3 +6.0 -25.2
  Nov 15, 2024 315   @ Old Dominion L 71-73 21%     0 - 4 -7.7 -5.1 -2.5
  Nov 20, 2024 124   @ Murray St. L 61-79 5%     0 - 5 -12.6 -4.6 -9.3
  Nov 23, 2024 16   @ Illinois L 40-87 1%     0 - 6 -28.8 -25.4 -1.6
  Nov 25, 2024 29   @ Arkansas L 35-109 1%     0 - 7 -58.2 -32.4 -20.0
  Nov 27, 2024 243   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 59-78 13%     0 - 8 -20.7 -9.6 -11.6
  Nov 30, 2024 11   @ Connecticut L 45-99 0.5%    0 - 9 -34.0 -21.9 -13.1
  Dec 05, 2024 172   @ Longwood L 76-80 7%     0 - 10 -1.7 +6.5 -8.3
  Dec 08, 2024 309   Wagner L 61-63 39%     0 - 11 -13.2 -2.9 -10.7
  Dec 28, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 58-90 0.1%   
  Jan 04, 2025 181   @ Norfolk St. L 63-79 7%    
  Jan 06, 2025 255   Howard L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 276   @ NC Central L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 13, 2025 247   @ South Carolina St. L 66-78 13%    
  Jan 25, 2025 326   Delaware St. L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 01, 2025 348   @ Morgan St. L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 03, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 181   Norfolk St. L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 17, 2025 255   @ Howard L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 276   NC Central L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 24, 2025 247   South Carolina St. L 69-75 28%    
  Mar 01, 2025 348   Morgan St. W 77-76 54%    
  Mar 03, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-67 54%    
  Mar 06, 2025 326   @ Delaware St. L 69-77 25%    
Projected Record 4 - 22 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.0 0.8 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.7 0.1 7.8 4th
5th 0.5 3.9 7.0 2.9 0.1 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 8.2 10.5 3.8 0.2 24.5 6th
7th 0.4 4.8 11.9 10.4 3.2 0.2 0.0 30.8 7th
8th 1.0 4.5 6.6 3.5 0.7 0.0 16.4 8th
Total 1.0 4.9 11.5 16.9 19.9 17.8 12.9 8.2 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-3 64.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 35.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.1% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-4 0.7% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.1 0.6
9-5 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.1 1.8
8-6 4.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 4.1
7-7 8.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 8.0
6-8 12.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.7
5-9 17.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 17.6
4-10 19.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 19.7
3-11 16.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.9
2-12 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
1-13 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.9
0-14 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%