Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.4#361
Expected Predictive Rating-20.0#360
Pace68.3#190
Improvement-1.4#242

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#347
First Shot-5.7#328
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#299
Layup/Dunks-6.3#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#270
Freethrows-0.1#174
Improvement-2.3#303

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#354
First Shot-5.0#323
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#344
Layups/Dunks-3.4#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#185
Freethrows-0.4#216
Improvement+0.9#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.7% 11.5% 2.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 52.9% 37.6% 62.7%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 39.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 44 - 124 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 48   @ Vanderbilt L 63-102 1%     0 - 1 -25.5 -5.6 -18.9
  Nov 07, 2024 287   @ Penn L 84-87 15%     0 - 2 -7.4 +8.1 -15.5
  Nov 12, 2024 153   @ Miami (OH) L 70-88 5%     0 - 3 -14.5 +6.0 -22.4
  Nov 15, 2024 283   @ Old Dominion L 71-73 15%     0 - 4 -6.3 -3.9 -2.5
  Nov 20, 2024 142   @ Murray St. L 61-79 4%     0 - 5 -13.8 -4.9 -10.2
  Nov 23, 2024 9   @ Illinois L 40-87 0.3%    0 - 6 -25.6 -23.6 -0.2
  Nov 25, 2024 46   @ Arkansas L 35-109 1%     0 - 7 -60.2 -32.6 -21.8
  Nov 27, 2024 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 59-78 10%     0 - 8 -20.6 -9.7 -11.5
  Nov 30, 2024 24   @ Connecticut L 45-99 1%     0 - 9 -36.2 -22.7 -14.4
  Dec 05, 2024 199   @ Longwood L 76-80 7%     0 - 10 -2.9 +5.0 -8.0
  Dec 08, 2024 335   Wagner L 61-63 45%     0 - 11 -16.1 -5.1 -11.4
  Dec 28, 2024 25   @ Maryland L 66-81 1%     0 - 12 +2.5 +2.5 -0.1
  Jan 04, 2025 182   @ Norfolk St. L 59-81 6%     0 - 13 0 - 1 -20.1 -11.2 -9.8
  Jan 11, 2025 306   @ NC Central L 69-88 17%     0 - 14 0 - 2 -24.2 -5.6 -19.2
  Jan 13, 2025 243   @ South Carolina St. L 64-78 11%     0 - 15 0 - 3 -15.7 -8.6 -7.1
  Jan 25, 2025 321   Delaware St. L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 334   @ Morgan St. L 75-82 26%    
  Feb 03, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 71-67 67%    
  Feb 10, 2025 281   Howard L 74-80 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 182   Norfolk St. L 65-77 14%    
  Feb 17, 2025 281   @ Howard L 72-83 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 306   NC Central L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 24, 2025 243   South Carolina St. L 69-77 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 334   Morgan St. L 78-79 46%    
  Mar 03, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. L 68-69 45%    
  Mar 06, 2025 321   @ Delaware St. L 69-78 20%    
Projected Record 4 - 22 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 2.1 0.4 3.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 4.0 1.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.9 8.3 2.5 0.1 14.9 6th
7th 3.0 12.0 14.7 4.3 0.2 34.2 7th
8th 2.0 8.5 14.3 10.1 2.2 0.1 37.2 8th
Total 2.0 8.5 17.3 22.3 20.8 15.2 8.2 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
9-5 10.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
9-5 0.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
8-6 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
7-7 3.9% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 3.8
6-8 8.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.1
5-9 15.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.0
4-10 20.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 20.6
3-11 22.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.3
2-12 17.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.3
1-13 8.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.5
0-14 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%