Murray St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#153
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#164
Pace62.7#327
Improvement-3.8#329

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#136
First Shot+2.2#110
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#238
Layup/Dunks-0.2#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#148
Freethrows+2.6#46
Improvement-0.7#222

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#195
First Shot-0.5#192
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#211
Layups/Dunks-2.8#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#10
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement-3.1#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.3% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 45.4% 57.7% 28.1%
.500 or above in Conference 51.3% 64.4% 32.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round3.6% 4.2% 2.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 58.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 35 - 79 - 13
Quad 47 - 316 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 37   @ Pittsburgh L 68-83 10%     0 - 1 -0.3 +1.4 -1.9
  Nov 16, 2024 120   @ Middle Tennessee W 88-67 34%     1 - 1 +26.0 +21.4 +5.3
  Nov 20, 2024 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-61 95%     2 - 1 -0.4 +3.5 -2.5
  Nov 22, 2024 125   Utah Valley L 75-77 55%     2 - 2 -2.4 +7.1 -9.6
  Nov 26, 2024 192   Texas Arlington W 79-66 58%     3 - 2 +11.6 +2.1 +9.2
  Dec 03, 2024 237   Evansville W 63-61 77%     4 - 2 1 - 0 -5.1 -4.9 +0.0
  Dec 08, 2024 258   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-53 80%     5 - 2 +11.9 +7.8 +6.9
  Dec 14, 2024 128   @ Western Kentucky L 76-81 OT 36%     5 - 3 -0.5 -3.3 +3.5
  Dec 18, 2024 223   @ Indiana St. L 74-84 56%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -10.8 -1.3 -9.4
  Dec 22, 2024 53   Nebraska L 49-66 19%     5 - 5 -6.9 -14.3 +6.3
  Dec 23, 2024 215   Charlotte L 90-94 2OT 64%     5 - 6 -6.9 +3.9 -10.3
  Dec 25, 2024 134   Loyola Chicago W 71-68 47%     6 - 6 +4.6 +4.8 +0.0
  Jan 02, 2025 135   Illinois St. L 68-74 57%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -6.9 +0.3 -7.9
  Jan 05, 2025 81   @ Drake W 66-59 20%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +16.7 +11.2 +6.9
  Jan 08, 2025 109   @ Northern Iowa W 71-68 30%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +9.1 +10.5 -1.0
  Jan 11, 2025 226   Valparaiso W 58-47 74%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +4.9 -12.2 +18.3
  Jan 15, 2025 116   @ Illinois-Chicago L 93-97 2OT 33%     9 - 8 4 - 3 +1.2 +1.7 +0.4
  Jan 18, 2025 92   Bradley L 61-74 39%     9 - 9 4 - 4 -9.2 -4.9 -5.2
  Jan 22, 2025 181   @ Southern Illinois W 74-64 47%     10 - 9 5 - 4 +11.6 +8.3 +4.1
  Jan 25, 2025 130   Belmont L 77-95 55%     10 - 10 5 - 5 -18.6 +4.5 -24.1
  Jan 29, 2025 237   @ Evansville L 74-78 61%     10 - 11 5 - 6 -6.0 +12.3 -18.8
  Feb 01, 2025 235   @ Missouri St. W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 04, 2025 81   Drake L 60-64 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 226   @ Valparaiso W 73-71 54%    
  Feb 11, 2025 116   Illinois-Chicago W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 16, 2025 109   Northern Iowa L 68-69 51%    
  Feb 19, 2025 181   Southern Illinois W 72-68 67%    
  Feb 22, 2025 92   @ Bradley L 64-72 22%    
  Feb 25, 2025 223   Indiana St. W 80-73 75%    
  Mar 02, 2025 130   @ Belmont L 75-79 35%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.1 3.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 3.9 0.5 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 4.0 7.3 2.3 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.3 5.2 12.5 5.5 0.3 23.6 6th
7th 0.1 4.0 11.7 6.8 0.5 23.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 7.8 5.7 0.7 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 2.0 0.2 3.4 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.2 2.1 7.3 16.0 23.1 24.2 16.6 7.9 2.2 0.3 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 9.7% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.3% 16.1% 16.1% 12.0 0.1 0.3
13-7 2.2% 10.3% 10.3% 12.4 0.1 0.1 2.0
12-8 7.9% 10.2% 10.2% 12.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.1
11-9 16.6% 5.3% 5.3% 13.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 15.8
10-10 24.2% 2.7% 2.7% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 23.5
9-11 23.1% 2.3% 2.3% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 22.6
8-12 16.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.1 0.3 0.1 15.6
7-13 7.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.2
6-14 2.1% 2.1
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 13.5 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.2 96.4 0.0%