Murray St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#145
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#162
Pace63.0#315
Improvement-1.5#253

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#192
First Shot+0.6#150
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#249
Layup/Dunks-0.8#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+2.1#64
Improvement-2.7#304

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#129
First Shot+1.2#133
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks-2.0#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#9
Freethrows-0.3#207
Improvement+1.2#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 22 - 63 - 7
Quad 35 - 78 - 14
Quad 47 - 315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 60   @ Pittsburgh L 68-83 15%     0 - 1 -2.8 +0.8 -3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 118   @ Middle Tennessee W 88-67 32%     1 - 1 +26.7 +20.9 +6.5
  Nov 20, 2024 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-61 96%     2 - 1 -1.2 +3.1 -3.0
  Nov 22, 2024 115   Utah Valley L 75-77 52%     2 - 2 -1.5 +6.9 -8.5
  Nov 26, 2024 216   Texas Arlington W 79-66 65%     3 - 2 +10.0 +1.5 +8.2
  Dec 03, 2024 242   Evansville W 63-61 78%     4 - 2 1 - 0 -5.2 -5.0 +0.0
  Dec 08, 2024 212   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-53 74%     5 - 2 +14.3 +9.9 +7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 154   @ Western Kentucky L 76-81 OT 42%     5 - 3 -2.0 -5.4 +4.2
  Dec 18, 2024 196   @ Indiana St. L 74-84 50%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -9.1 -1.6 -7.4
  Dec 22, 2024 57   Nebraska L 49-66 20%     5 - 5 -7.0 -15.1 +7.0
  Dec 23, 2024 243   Charlotte L 90-94 2OT 70%     5 - 6 -8.5 +1.4 -9.4
  Dec 25, 2024 109   Loyola Chicago W 71-68 39%     6 - 6 +6.7 +6.2 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2025 136   Illinois St. L 68-74 59%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -7.3 -0.2 -7.8
  Jan 05, 2025 66   @ Drake W 66-59 17%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +18.0 +12.0 +7.4
  Jan 08, 2025 103   @ Northern Iowa W 71-68 29%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +9.8 +12.1 -1.9
  Jan 11, 2025 208   Valparaiso W 58-47 73%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +5.6 -11.7 +18.5
  Jan 15, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago L 93-97 2OT 46%     9 - 8 4 - 3 -1.9 +1.8 -2.9
  Jan 18, 2025 96   Bradley L 61-74 45%     9 - 9 4 - 4 -10.7 -6.8 -4.8
  Jan 22, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois W 74-64 50%     10 - 9 5 - 4 +10.9 +7.0 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2025 127   Belmont L 77-95 57%     10 - 10 5 - 5 -18.8 +5.6 -25.3
  Jan 29, 2025 242   @ Evansville L 74-78 60%     10 - 11 5 - 6 -5.7 +12.4 -18.6
  Feb 01, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. L 56-77 57%     10 - 12 5 - 7 -22.0 -14.0 -8.5
  Feb 04, 2025 66   Drake L 45-55 33%     10 - 13 5 - 8 -4.5 -5.4 -3.4
  Feb 08, 2025 208   @ Valparaiso W 74-56 53%     11 - 13 6 - 8 +18.1 +7.0 +12.7
  Feb 11, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago W 63-53 66%     12 - 13 7 - 8 +6.6 -1.3 +9.6
  Feb 17, 2025 103   Northern Iowa L 67-74 38%     12 - 14 7 - 9 -3.0 -2.1 -1.0
  Feb 19, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois W 62-60 50%     13 - 14 8 - 9 +2.9 -4.9 +8.0
  Feb 22, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 83-85 OT 25%     13 - 15 8 - 10 +5.9 +8.7 -2.7
  Feb 25, 2025 196   Indiana St. W 85-75 70%     14 - 15 9 - 10 +5.4 +8.8 -3.3
  Mar 02, 2025 127   @ Belmont L 60-70 36%     14 - 16 9 - 11 -5.3 -14.1 +9.0
  Mar 06, 2025 242   Evansville W 74-53 70%     15 - 16 +16.6 +9.9 +8.9
  Mar 07, 2025 96   Bradley L 62-70 34%     15 - 17 -2.9 -1.5 -2.3
Projected Record 15 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%