Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#319
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#278
Pace71.5#96
Improvement+3.0#55

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#308
First Shot-5.3#320
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#171
Layup/Dunks-3.9#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.6#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.9#364
Freethrows-0.1#177
Improvement+1.9#77

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#298
First Shot-3.0#271
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#289
Layups/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#297
Freethrows-0.1#191
Improvement+1.1#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 5.8% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 23.9% 30.8% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 66.0% 76.7% 42.8%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.4% 5.2%
First Four4.5% 4.9% 3.8%
First Round2.6% 3.1% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 68.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 41 - 7
Quad 411 - 812 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 121   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 10%     0 - 1 -18.1 -11.8 -6.0
  Nov 09, 2024 219   @ Columbia L 62-83 20%     0 - 2 -21.6 -18.6 -1.6
  Nov 19, 2024 75   @ Providence L 48-78 5%     0 - 3 -19.9 -12.7 -12.1
  Nov 23, 2024 289   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-76 33%     0 - 4 -14.8 -1.4 -14.2
  Nov 29, 2024 35   @ Texas L 68-90 2%     0 - 5 -6.7 -1.6 -3.7
  Dec 03, 2024 227   @ Delaware L 80-93 21%     0 - 6 -14.1 -4.5 -8.2
  Dec 07, 2024 329   Loyola Maryland W 80-77 63%     1 - 6 -9.9 -3.1 -7.0
  Dec 11, 2024 338   NJIT W 71-59 67%     2 - 6 -2.0 -4.7 +2.8
  Dec 19, 2024 326   Grambling St. W 73-60 53%     3 - 6 +2.8 +3.6 +0.5
  Dec 20, 2024 311   Alabama St. W 83-80 47%     4 - 6 -5.7 +6.9 -12.6
  Dec 28, 2024 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 58-76 5%     4 - 7 -8.6 -11.7 +3.9
  Jan 04, 2025 292   @ Howard L 94-100 33%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -10.8 +6.4 -16.8
  Jan 06, 2025 176   Norfolk St. L 64-73 28%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -12.2 -14.7 +3.0
  Jan 11, 2025 249   @ South Carolina St. W 76-75 26%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -1.6 +8.6 -10.1
  Jan 13, 2025 301   @ NC Central L 72-75 34%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -8.3 -1.9 -6.5
  Jan 25, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-66 65%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -6.3 -3.4 -2.7
  Feb 01, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 03, 2025 332   Morgan St. W 82-78 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 292   Howard W 80-79 53%    
  Feb 17, 2025 176   @ Norfolk St. L 67-78 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 249   South Carolina St. L 73-75 45%    
  Feb 24, 2025 301   NC Central W 74-73 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 75-64 85%    
  Mar 03, 2025 332   @ Morgan St. L 79-80 43%    
  Mar 06, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-68 81%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.5 1.6 0.5 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 2.6 7.9 2.8 0.1 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.5 11.5 4.5 0.2 18.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 12.0 7.7 0.3 21.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 9.4 9.8 0.5 21.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 7.5 7.6 1.1 17.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.6 0.1 4.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.9 10.4 18.7 25.4 22.3 13.1 4.6 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 87.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
10-4 35.3% 1.6    0.2 1.0 0.4 0.0
9-5 3.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.6% 17.5% 17.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
10-4 4.6% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 4.0
9-5 13.1% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2 11.9
8-6 22.3% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 1.4 20.9
7-7 25.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 1.1 24.3
6-8 18.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 18.2
5-9 10.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.2
4-10 3.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.8
3-11 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.1 94.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%