Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#345
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#289
Pace71.3#114
Improvement-0.4#223

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#357
First Shot-7.6#352
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#238
Layup/Dunks-4.7#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.4#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-12.1#363
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+0.2#143

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#295
First Shot-4.8#313
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#110
Layups/Dunks-1.7#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#343
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement-0.5#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 5.5% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 8.6% 20.5% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 49.7% 35.1%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.8% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 14.5% 9.0% 15.6%
First Four2.8% 4.6% 2.4%
First Round1.4% 3.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 17.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 108 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 95   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 4%     0 - 1 -14.5 -9.0 -5.2
  Nov 09, 2024 192   @ Columbia L 62-83 10%     0 - 2 -19.5 -17.9 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2024 77   @ Providence L 48-78 3%     0 - 3 -19.7 -9.4 -15.2
  Nov 23, 2024 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-75 17%    
  Nov 29, 2024 31   @ Texas L 57-85 0.5%   
  Dec 03, 2024 213   @ Delaware L 66-79 12%    
  Dec 07, 2024 334   Loyola Maryland W 68-67 54%    
  Dec 11, 2024 360   NJIT W 69-64 69%    
  Dec 19, 2024 235   Grambling St. L 62-71 22%    
  Dec 20, 2024 282   Alabama St. L 65-71 30%    
  Dec 28, 2024 100   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-81 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 232   @ Howard L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 06, 2025 206   Norfolk St. L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 321   South Carolina St. L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 13, 2025 267   @ NC Central L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 03, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 232   Howard L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 17, 2025 206   @ Norfolk St. L 63-76 13%    
  Feb 22, 2025 321   South Carolina St. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 24, 2025 267   NC Central L 68-72 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 71-61 80%    
  Mar 03, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. L 72-77 34%    
  Mar 06, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-67 65%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.6 2.1 0.7 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.2 7.3 4.7 0.6 0.0 16.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.7 8.6 4.5 0.6 19.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 6.4 8.4 3.7 0.3 20.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 6.3 6.0 2.1 0.2 17.0 7th
8th 0.4 2.1 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.0 8th
Total 0.4 2.3 5.4 9.6 13.5 15.5 15.7 13.7 10.8 6.8 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
12-2 93.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
11-3 62.1% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1
10-4 25.1% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0
9-5 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 36.1% 36.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.7% 21.4% 21.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
11-3 1.8% 17.4% 17.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5
10-4 3.7% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.3
9-5 6.8% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.5 6.3
8-6 10.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 10.3
7-7 13.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 13.3
6-8 15.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 15.4
5-9 15.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.3
4-10 13.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.4
3-11 9.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.6
2-12 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
1-13 2.3% 2.3
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.9 97.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%