Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#244
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#262
Pace74.5#40
Improvement-1.4#259

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#132
First Shot+3.6#81
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#314
Layup/Dunks+2.1#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#78
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement+0.5#157

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#333
First Shot-6.9#352
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#87
Layups/Dunks-5.6#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#257
Freethrows-1.3#272
Improvement-1.9#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.8%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 57.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 93 - 11
Quad 49 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 232   Bucknell L 73-85 57%     0 - 1 -18.4 -9.2 -8.0
  Nov 07, 2024 173   Robert Morris W 81-77 45%     1 - 1 +0.9 +0.6 -0.1
  Nov 12, 2024 259   @ Iona W 64-58 43%     2 - 1 +3.2 -6.0 +9.2
  Nov 18, 2024 161   Bryant L 84-85 42%     2 - 2 -3.5 +1.3 -4.7
  Nov 23, 2024 230   Vermont L 71-75 47%     2 - 3 -7.6 +1.2 -8.9
  Nov 24, 2024 70   Yale W 100-94 12%     3 - 3 +14.1 +22.0 -8.4
  Nov 30, 2024 313   @ Rider W 72-66 58%     4 - 3 -0.5 +4.2 -4.0
  Dec 03, 2024 303   Delaware St. W 93-80 72%     5 - 3 +2.4 +5.8 -4.8
  Dec 06, 2024 132   @ Duquesne L 66-80 21%     5 - 4 -9.8 +1.7 -12.5
  Dec 20, 2024 292   @ St. Peter's L 64-72 51%     5 - 5 -12.6 +2.4 -16.3
  Dec 28, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 76-97 2%     5 - 6 -0.6 +13.6 -13.0
  Jan 02, 2025 212   @ Northeastern L 77-80 33%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -3.1 +4.7 -7.8
  Jan 04, 2025 255   Monmouth W 84-64 63%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +12.2 +9.8 +3.1
  Jan 09, 2025 316   @ N.C. A&T W 98-88 58%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +3.4 +7.2 -5.4
  Jan 11, 2025 250   @ Hampton L 77-83 42%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -8.3 +6.0 -14.6
  Jan 16, 2025 320   Stony Brook W 84-74 76%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -1.9 +3.2 -5.2
  Jan 18, 2025 175   Elon W 79-77 46%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -1.4 +2.0 -3.5
  Jan 23, 2025 227   @ Hofstra L 68-93 37%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -26.0 +2.7 -30.2
  Jan 25, 2025 195   @ Drexel L 54-67 31%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -12.4 -10.6 -3.2
  Jan 30, 2025 157   Towson L 66-76 41%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -12.1 -3.5 -9.0
  Feb 01, 2025 255   @ Monmouth L 83-92 43%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -11.7 +8.9 -20.7
  Feb 06, 2025 116   UNC Wilmington L 67-77 32%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -9.7 -3.8 -6.5
  Feb 08, 2025 216   William & Mary W 74-64 54%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +4.5 -9.9 +13.5
  Feb 13, 2025 157   @ Towson L 70-75 24%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -2.0 +3.5 -5.7
  Feb 15, 2025 183   Campbell L 91-96 47%     10 - 15 5 - 9 -8.8 +21.7 -30.6
  Feb 20, 2025 195   Drexel L 74-78 50%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -8.5 +2.0 -10.6
  Feb 22, 2025 227   Hofstra W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 27, 2025 143   @ College of Charleston L 79-87 20%    
  Mar 01, 2025 116   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-84 17%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 0.9 8th
9th 2.2 1.1 3.3 9th
10th 6.3 11.2 0.4 17.8 10th
11th 2.3 38.0 5.7 0.0 46.0 11th
12th 26.5 5.1 31.7 12th
13th 0.3 0.3 13th
14th 14th
Total 29.1 49.4 19.2 2.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 2.2% 3.6% 3.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 2.2
7-11 19.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 18.8
6-12 49.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.5 48.9
5-13 29.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 28.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 10.4%