Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#296
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#311
Pace66.8#260
Improvement-1.6#293

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#271
First Shot+1.7#133
After Offensive Rebound-5.5#363
Layup/Dunks-2.7#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#13
Freethrows-5.7#363
Improvement-1.2#283

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#290
First Shot-3.2#281
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#225
Layups/Dunks+3.7#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#348
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement-0.4#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 3.3% 12.1% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.7% 16.4% 8.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 40.7% 24.1% 41.2%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 92 - 15
Quad 47 - 89 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 316 @Bucknell L 70-78 43%     0 - 1 -13.6 -6.5 -7.1
  Tue, Nov 11 9 @BYU L 68-85 1%     0 - 2 +5.5 +15.1 -12.2
  Tue, Nov 18 326 St. Peter's W 81-70 69%     1 - 2 -1.7 +6.4 -7.7
  Sun, Nov 23 143 Southern Illinois L 59-79 21%     1 - 3 -18.8 -11.9 -7.5
  Tue, Nov 25 281 UNC Greensboro W 73-60 46%     2 - 3 +6.5 +2.5 +5.1
  Mon, Dec 1 176 Iona L 66-89 38%     2 - 4 -27.4 -9.5 -17.9
  Sat, Dec 6 351 @Delaware St. L 72-75 OT 59%     2 - 5 -12.8 -7.9 -4.6
  Wed, Dec 10 59 @George Washington L 69-89 3%    
  Sat, Dec 13 261 Cal St. Northridge W 77-76 53%    
  Tue, Dec 16 336 Rider W 73-67 71%    
  Mon, Dec 29 255 Missouri St. W 69-68 53%    
  Fri, Jan 2 239 Jacksonville St. L 65-66 50%    
  Sun, Jan 4 152 Kennesaw St. L 77-82 34%    
  Thu, Jan 8 126 @Sam Houston St. L 69-82 12%    
  Sat, Jan 10 193 @Louisiana Tech L 62-70 23%    
  Thu, Jan 15 241 UTEP W 67-66 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 127 New Mexico St. L 65-72 27%    
  Sat, Jan 24 94 @Liberty L 63-79 8%    
  Wed, Jan 28 127 @New Mexico St. L 62-75 13%    
  Sat, Jan 31 241 @UTEP L 64-70 30%    
  Wed, Feb 4 94 Liberty L 66-76 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 136 Middle Tennessee L 70-76 29%    
  Thu, Feb 12 189 @Florida International L 70-79 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 255 @Missouri St. L 66-71 32%    
  Wed, Feb 18 128 Western Kentucky L 73-80 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 136 @Middle Tennessee L 67-79 14%    
  Thu, Feb 26 239 @Jacksonville St. L 63-69 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 152 @Kennesaw St. L 74-85 18%    
  Thu, Mar 5 126 Sam Houston St. L 72-79 28%    
  Sat, Mar 7 193 Louisiana Tech L 65-67 42%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.5 1.7 0.2 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.0 6.3 3.5 0.6 0.0 15.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.9 6.0 6.9 3.9 0.7 0.0 21.0 11th
12th 1.0 3.6 6.8 8.6 6.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 29.9 12th
Total 1.0 3.6 7.3 11.6 13.6 14.4 13.6 11.4 8.6 6.1 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 47.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 22.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 14.7% 14.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.2% 2.9% 2.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.7% 7.0% 7.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-8 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-9 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.4
10-10 3.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
9-11 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.1
8-12 8.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
7-13 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
6-14 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-15 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.3
4-16 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.6
3-17 11.6% 11.6
2-18 7.3% 7.3
1-19 3.6% 3.6
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%