Preseason Rankings
Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#241
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.4#142
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#229
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 19.4% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.8 14.8
.500 or above 44.9% 77.2% 43.8%
.500 or above in Conference 64.1% 82.7% 63.5%
Conference Champion 10.6% 23.7% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.5% 3.9%
First Four1.5% 0.6% 1.5%
First Round8.8% 19.0% 8.5%
Second Round0.6% 1.7% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 413 - 716 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 23   @ UCLA L 57-76 3%    
  Nov 06, 2024 282   @ San Diego L 74-75 46%    
  Nov 09, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 73-62 85%    
  Nov 12, 2024 258   @ Navy L 67-69 42%    
  Nov 19, 2024 45   @ Iowa L 71-88 6%    
  Nov 23, 2024 268   @ Bucknell L 67-69 44%    
  Nov 27, 2024 37   @ Villanova L 57-75 6%    
  Nov 30, 2024 187   Delaware W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 04, 2024 237   @ Fairfield L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 06, 2024 212   Quinnipiac W 76-74 56%    
  Dec 14, 2024 260   Stony Brook W 73-69 63%    
  Dec 20, 2024 166   @ Penn L 68-75 28%    
  Dec 22, 2024 49   @ North Carolina St. L 64-81 8%    
  Jan 05, 2025 331   Manhattan W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 10, 2025 297   @ Canisius W 70-69 50%    
  Jan 12, 2025 308   @ Niagara W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 16, 2025 270   Mount St. Mary's W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 235   @ Marist L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 23, 2025 210   Iona W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 212   @ Quinnipiac L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 31, 2025 214   St. Peter's W 65-63 56%    
  Feb 02, 2025 243   Merrimack W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 06, 2025 334   @ Sacred Heart W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 339   Siena W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 14, 2025 210   @ Iona L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 16, 2025 214   @ St. Peter's L 62-66 36%    
  Feb 21, 2025 237   Fairfield W 74-71 58%    
  Feb 23, 2025 270   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 28, 2025 243   @ Merrimack L 66-69 40%    
  Mar 06, 2025 297   Canisius W 73-67 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 308   Niagara W 74-67 71%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.8 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.0 3.1 0.8 0.1 9.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.3 0.8 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.6 3.7 0.9 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.8 1.1 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.6 1.3 0.1 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.5 1.5 0.2 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.1 4.8 6.4 8.1 9.3 10.3 10.7 10.2 9.6 7.8 6.1 4.4 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 97.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
17-3 85.8% 2.4    1.9 0.5 0.0
16-4 65.0% 2.8    1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.3% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0
14-6 10.2% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.8 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 60.6% 60.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.6% 53.4% 53.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.5% 46.1% 46.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8
17-3 2.8% 37.1% 37.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.8
16-4 4.4% 29.0% 29.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 3.1
15-5 6.1% 22.8% 22.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 4.7
14-6 7.8% 18.0% 18.0% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 6.4
13-7 9.6% 13.0% 13.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 8.3
12-8 10.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 9.3
11-9 10.7% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.2
10-10 10.3% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
9-11 9.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.1
8-12 8.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.1
7-13 6.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.3
6-14 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.8
5-15 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-16 2.2% 2.2
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.0 2.9 90.4 0.0%