Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#305
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#309
Pace62.9#325
Improvement-3.8#336

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#262
First Shot-8.3#355
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#6
Layup/Dunks-5.5#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.9#360
Freethrows-0.8#230
Improvement-0.6#214

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#316
First Shot-3.5#293
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#280
Layups/Dunks-1.9#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#333
Freethrows+2.3#45
Improvement-3.2#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.1% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 5.7% 8.2% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.6% 23.8% 8.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.8% 7.4% 30.3%
First Four1.3% 1.6% 1.0%
First Round1.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 59.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 1212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 27   @ UCLA L 50-85 2%     0 - 1 -18.2 -6.9 -14.4
  Nov 06, 2024 296   @ San Diego W 68-67 36%     1 - 1 -3.3 -4.6 +1.2
  Nov 09, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 71%     2 - 1 -2.6 -9.6 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2024 300   @ Navy W 90-79 37%     3 - 1 +6.3 +15.9 -9.4
  Nov 19, 2024 47   @ Iowa L 58-83 3%     3 - 2 -11.0 -13.8 +3.5
  Nov 23, 2024 253   @ Bucknell W 57-53 29%     4 - 2 +1.8 -3.9 +6.3
  Nov 27, 2024 36   @ Villanova L 48-72 3%     4 - 3 -8.6 -12.9 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2024 194   Delaware L 66-72 37%     4 - 4 -10.5 -4.2 -7.0
  Dec 04, 2024 302   @ Fairfield L 75-78 38%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -7.8 +1.8 -9.7
  Dec 06, 2024 218   Quinnipiac L 67-72 44%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -11.3 -0.5 -11.3
  Dec 14, 2024 324   Stony Brook L 55-72 68%     4 - 7 -29.8 -15.7 -17.2
  Dec 20, 2024 292   @ Penn L 66-79 35%     4 - 8 -17.1 -1.6 -17.2
  Dec 22, 2024 84   @ North Carolina St. L 63-89 6%     4 - 9 -16.5 -3.3 -14.4
  Jan 05, 2025 293   Manhattan L 79-80 58%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -11.2 +0.0 -11.2
  Jan 10, 2025 353   @ Canisius W 72-70 59%    
  Jan 12, 2025 308   @ Niagara L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 16, 2025 229   Mount St. Mary's L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 213   @ Marist L 60-68 22%    
  Jan 23, 2025 256   Iona W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 218   @ Quinnipiac L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 31, 2025 219   St. Peter's L 61-63 44%    
  Feb 02, 2025 198   Merrimack L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 06, 2025 288   @ Sacred Heart L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 283   Siena W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 14, 2025 256   @ Iona L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 16, 2025 219   @ St. Peter's L 58-66 24%    
  Feb 21, 2025 302   Fairfield W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 23, 2025 229   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 28, 2025 198   @ Merrimack L 60-69 20%    
  Mar 06, 2025 353   Canisius W 75-67 78%    
  Mar 08, 2025 308   Niagara W 69-66 62%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.2 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.7 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.4 0.1 5.1 6th
7th 0.4 3.4 2.8 0.3 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.7 4.4 1.1 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 5.6 2.8 0.1 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.1 4.3 0.5 13.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.6 7.1 5.4 1.3 0.0 16.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.3 7.0 5.2 1.3 0.1 19.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.6 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.0 10.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.9 7.8 11.3 15.4 15.2 14.4 12.2 8.2 5.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 80.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-6 26.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 6.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 45.0% 45.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.1
14-6 0.4% 20.6% 20.6% 15.4 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-7 1.1% 13.0% 13.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
12-8 2.6% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.4
11-9 5.1% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.9
10-10 8.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.9
9-11 12.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.9
8-12 14.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 14.1
7-13 15.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.1
6-14 15.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 15.3
5-15 11.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.3
4-16 7.8% 7.8
3-17 3.9% 3.9
2-18 1.8% 1.8
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 98.2 0.0%