Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#240
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#154
Pace64.0#312
Improvement-0.2#206

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#256
First Shot-7.8#350
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#14
Layup/Dunks-6.5#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#349
Freethrows+0.9#139
Improvement-1.7#309

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#212
First Shot-1.2#214
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#189
Layups/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#296
Freethrows+3.2#30
Improvement+1.4#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 12.7% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 66.1% 77.3% 56.1%
.500 or above in Conference 72.4% 83.0% 62.9%
Conference Champion 13.1% 18.9% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.8% 3.8%
First Four2.1% 2.0% 2.3%
First Round9.3% 11.6% 7.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Away) - 47.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 416 - 818 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 19   @ UCLA L 50-85 3%     0 - 1 -17.3 -7.3 -13.1
  Nov 06, 2024 300   @ San Diego W 68-67 50%     1 - 1 -3.3 -4.1 +0.9
  Nov 09, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 88%     2 - 1 -6.0 -12.5 +6.7
  Nov 12, 2024 301   @ Navy W 90-79 50%     3 - 1 +6.7 +15.7 -8.9
  Nov 19, 2024 48   @ Iowa L 58-83 6%     3 - 2 -11.3 -10.9 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2024 254   @ Bucknell W 57-53 41%     4 - 2 +1.9 -6.8 +9.3
  Nov 27, 2024 63   @ Villanova L 48-72 8%     4 - 3 -12.3 -12.1 -4.6
  Nov 30, 2024 186   Delaware L 66-72 50%     4 - 4 -10.2 -2.3 -8.6
  Dec 04, 2024 281   @ Fairfield L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 06, 2024 256   Quinnipiac W 73-69 64%    
  Dec 14, 2024 326   Stony Brook W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 20, 2024 280   @ Penn L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 22, 2024 67   @ North Carolina St. L 60-76 7%    
  Jan 05, 2025 325   Manhattan W 74-66 77%    
  Jan 10, 2025 346   @ Canisius W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 12, 2025 304   @ Niagara W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 259   Mount St. Mary's W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 241   @ Marist L 63-66 40%    
  Jan 23, 2025 248   Iona W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 256   @ Quinnipiac L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 31, 2025 202   St. Peter's W 63-62 52%    
  Feb 02, 2025 231   Merrimack W 64-62 58%    
  Feb 06, 2025 313   @ Sacred Heart W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 309   Siena W 67-61 72%    
  Feb 14, 2025 248   @ Iona L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 16, 2025 202   @ St. Peter's L 60-65 32%    
  Feb 21, 2025 281   Fairfield W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 23, 2025 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 28, 2025 231   @ Merrimack L 61-65 38%    
  Mar 06, 2025 346   Canisius W 75-64 84%    
  Mar 08, 2025 304   Niagara W 69-63 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.6 3.3 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 13.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.3 4.6 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 1.3 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 1.8 0.3 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.7 3.0 5.0 7.1 9.6 11.7 12.7 12.4 11.5 9.2 6.8 4.4 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 97.3% 0.9    0.8 0.0
17-3 90.3% 2.3    2.0 0.3 0.0
16-4 76.6% 3.3    2.3 0.9 0.1
15-5 52.4% 3.6    1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0
14-6 23.8% 2.2    0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.7% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.1% 13.1 7.8 3.7 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 48.9% 48.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.9% 28.7% 28.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.5% 28.1% 28.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.8
16-4 4.4% 28.0% 28.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 3.1
15-5 6.8% 22.0% 22.0% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 5.3
14-6 9.2% 18.4% 18.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.7 7.5
13-7 11.5% 14.5% 14.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 9.8
12-8 12.4% 10.4% 10.4% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 11.1
11-9 12.7% 7.2% 7.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 11.8
10-10 11.7% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 11.2
9-11 9.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.3
8-12 7.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 6.9
7-13 5.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 4.9
6-14 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-15 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.9 4.7 89.6 0.0%