Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#297
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#265
Pace69.8#148
Improvement-0.3#199

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#192
First Shot+2.1#115
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#317
Layup/Dunks-2.6#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#67
Freethrows-0.2#185
Improvement+0.7#133

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#350
First Shot-3.0#268
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#362
Layups/Dunks-4.2#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#103
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement-1.1#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.3% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 33.5% 40.8% 19.2%
.500 or above in Conference 40.2% 48.9% 23.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 4.1% 12.9%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.5%
First Round2.0% 2.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 66.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 4
Quad 413 - 1214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 25   @ Maryland L 49-79 2%     0 - 1 -12.5 -16.0 +4.1
  Nov 15, 2024 221   Fordham W 78-76 44%     1 - 1 -4.1 -2.0 -2.2
  Nov 17, 2024 328   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 82-85 50%     1 - 2 -10.7 +5.5 -16.2
  Nov 22, 2024 305   Army W 80-79 62%     2 - 2 -9.7 +0.0 -9.7
  Nov 26, 2024 107   @ Virginia L 65-74 10%     2 - 3 -2.8 +6.5 -10.5
  Nov 29, 2024 350   Le Moyne L 77-81 77%     2 - 4 -19.4 -7.9 -11.3
  Dec 06, 2024 232   @ St. Peter's W 70-67 27%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +1.8 +3.0 -1.1
  Dec 08, 2024 218   Marist L 75-82 43%     3 - 5 1 - 1 -12.9 +5.7 -18.8
  Dec 18, 2024 335   @ Wagner W 80-66 54%     4 - 5 +5.4 +15.5 -8.7
  Dec 21, 2024 273   @ Presbyterian W 86-81 OT 35%     5 - 5 +1.3 +6.6 -5.5
  Jan 03, 2025 270   @ Siena L 95-103 2OT 34%     5 - 6 1 - 2 -11.4 +2.5 -12.3
  Jan 05, 2025 294   @ Rider W 80-79 39%     6 - 6 2 - 2 -3.9 +7.2 -11.1
  Jan 10, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's L 66-75 54%     6 - 7 2 - 3 -17.7 -4.2 -14.0
  Jan 12, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 62-69 22%     6 - 8 2 - 4 -6.4 -2.2 -4.8
  Jan 18, 2025 310   Niagara W 72-65 64%     7 - 8 3 - 4 -4.3 +5.3 -8.4
  Jan 23, 2025 318   Fairfield W 78-74 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 73-77 32%    
  Jan 31, 2025 253   Iona W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 02, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart L 78-81 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 232   St. Peter's L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 14, 2025 206   Merrimack L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 16, 2025 318   @ Fairfield L 76-77 44%    
  Feb 21, 2025 253   @ Iona L 72-77 31%    
  Feb 23, 2025 184   Quinnipiac L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 28, 2025 346   @ Canisius W 78-76 55%    
  Mar 02, 2025 310   @ Niagara L 72-74 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 295   Sacred Heart W 81-78 61%    
  Mar 08, 2025 270   Siena W 74-73 55%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.9 1.2 0.2 10.2 4th
5th 0.6 4.8 5.4 1.4 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.2 3.4 6.8 1.9 0.1 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 7.1 3.0 0.2 11.7 7th
8th 0.4 5.2 5.4 0.5 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 6.5 1.4 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.3 2.8 0.1 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.9 0.4 7.7 11th
12th 0.3 1.5 3.0 0.9 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.9 13th
Total 0.1 1.1 3.2 7.8 13.2 16.4 18.0 16.1 11.8 7.1 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 27.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.2% 4.5% 4.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 1.5% 17.8% 17.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2
13-7 3.6% 8.1% 8.1% 15.8 0.1 0.2 3.3
12-8 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 15.8 0.1 0.4 6.6
11-9 11.8% 6.1% 6.1% 15.9 0.1 0.7 11.0
10-10 16.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.6 15.5
9-11 18.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 17.7
8-12 16.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 16.2
7-13 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-14 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.8
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.6 97.1 0.0%