Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#252
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#287
Pace71.5#98
Improvement+1.8#104

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#322
First Shot-7.1#343
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#111
Layup/Dunks-1.6#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#313
Freethrows-1.9#291
Improvement-1.3#266

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#151
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#277
Layups/Dunks+0.4#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#127
Freethrows-1.7#301
Improvement+3.0#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.9% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 15.1% 23.4% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 59.8% 73.6% 47.4%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.8% 3.5%
First Four4.3% 5.1% 3.7%
First Round4.4% 5.7% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Away) - 47.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 412 - 1214 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 125   @ Princeton L 80-81 17%     0 - 1 +3.9 +8.9 -5.0
  Nov 08, 2024 176   @ Hofstra L 76-90 24%     0 - 2 -12.1 +6.5 -18.0
  Nov 12, 2024 195   Delaware L 58-64 46%     0 - 3 -10.2 -19.4 +9.1
  Nov 15, 2024 213   Vermont W 62-59 50%     1 - 3 -2.4 -7.4 +5.1
  Nov 20, 2024 38   @ West Virginia L 43-86 4%     1 - 4 -28.3 -19.9 -9.0
  Nov 25, 2024 143   Cornell L 68-84 35%     1 - 5 -17.2 -14.8 -1.2
  Nov 29, 2024 260   Tarleton St. W 62-51 51%     2 - 5 +5.3 -2.9 +9.6
  Nov 30, 2024 210   Indiana St. L 80-83 39%     2 - 6 -5.6 +0.2 -5.7
  Dec 01, 2024 191   Rice L 66-70 35%     2 - 7 -5.3 -6.6 +1.2
  Dec 06, 2024 298   @ Sacred Heart L 59-83 49%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -29.1 -20.1 -8.0
  Dec 08, 2024 231   St. Peter's W 72-63 55%     3 - 8 1 - 1 +2.3 +4.6 -1.7
  Dec 22, 2024 197   @ Colgate W 79-73 28%     4 - 8 +6.8 +8.2 -1.3
  Dec 29, 2024 237   Harvard L 61-67 56%     4 - 9 -12.9 -11.1 -2.1
  Jan 03, 2025 217   Marist L 65-70 52%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -10.8 -9.6 -1.0
  Jan 05, 2025 273   @ Siena W 74-73 43%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -2.6 -6.4 +3.7
  Jan 10, 2025 318   @ Fairfield L 64-68 54%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -10.4 -12.9 +2.4
  Jan 12, 2025 186   Quinnipiac L 62-63 44%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -4.7 -11.3 +6.6
  Jan 16, 2025 345   Canisius W 82-61 81%     6 - 12 3 - 4 +6.5 +6.0 +2.2
  Jan 23, 2025 294   @ Rider L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 273   Siena W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 31, 2025 296   @ Manhattan L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 02, 2025 318   Fairfield W 74-68 73%    
  Feb 06, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 68-70 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 217   @ Marist L 62-67 31%    
  Feb 14, 2025 294   Rider W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 16, 2025 186   @ Quinnipiac L 68-75 25%    
  Feb 21, 2025 296   Manhattan W 77-72 69%    
  Feb 23, 2025 204   Merrimack L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 28, 2025 312   @ Niagara W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 02, 2025 345   @ Canisius W 73-69 63%    
  Mar 08, 2025 298   Sacred Heart W 76-71 68%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.5 1.4 0.1 8.8 3rd
4th 1.2 6.5 6.5 2.4 0.2 16.8 4th
5th 0.6 5.9 7.4 2.0 0.2 15.9 5th
6th 0.1 3.6 8.4 2.5 0.1 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.1 3.5 0.2 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 3.8 4.4 0.4 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.7 1.2 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.4 2.9 2.1 0.1 5.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.5 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.1 6.7 12.3 17.0 19.4 17.5 11.9 7.2 3.1 0.8 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 63.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 33.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.8% 20.0% 20.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-6 3.1% 22.3% 22.3% 15.6 0.3 0.4 2.4
13-7 7.2% 13.3% 13.3% 15.9 0.1 0.9 6.2
12-8 11.9% 9.9% 9.9% 15.9 0.1 1.1 10.7
11-9 17.5% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 1.3 16.2
10-10 19.4% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 1.0 18.4
9-11 17.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.6 16.4
8-12 12.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.1
7-13 6.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.6
6-14 3.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-15 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.6 5.6 93.8 0.0%