Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#259
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#268
Pace71.0#101
Improvement+3.2#55

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#331
First Shot-7.4#348
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#115
Layup/Dunks-1.8#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#316
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement+0.3#168

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#150
First Shot+1.8#118
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#275
Layups/Dunks+0.4#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#125
Freethrows-1.7#291
Improvement+2.9#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 8.4% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 23.0% 37.7% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 96.9% 100.0% 93.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.6% 4.4% 4.8%
First Round4.9% 6.1% 3.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 51.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 413 - 1115 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 162   @ Princeton L 80-81 23%     0 - 1 +1.5 +8.8 -7.3
  Nov 08, 2024 227   @ Hofstra L 76-90 34%     0 - 2 -15.0 +3.7 -18.1
  Nov 12, 2024 244   Delaware L 58-64 57%     0 - 3 -13.0 -21.2 +8.1
  Nov 15, 2024 230   Vermont W 62-59 53%     1 - 3 -3.2 -7.7 +4.6
  Nov 20, 2024 41   @ West Virginia L 43-86 4%     1 - 4 -28.4 -19.1 -9.8
  Nov 25, 2024 164   Cornell L 68-84 40%     1 - 5 -18.7 -14.8 -2.7
  Nov 29, 2024 273   Tarleton St. W 62-51 54%     2 - 5 +4.7 -2.1 +8.1
  Nov 30, 2024 203   Indiana St. L 80-83 38%     2 - 6 -5.2 +0.6 -5.7
  Dec 01, 2024 178   Rice L 66-70 33%     2 - 7 -4.9 -8.2 +3.2
  Dec 06, 2024 274   @ Sacred Heart L 59-83 44%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -27.8 -19.8 -6.9
  Dec 08, 2024 292   St. Peter's W 72-63 66%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -0.7 +2.3 -2.5
  Dec 22, 2024 239   @ Colgate W 79-73 36%     4 - 8 +4.3 +4.7 -0.3
  Dec 29, 2024 251   Harvard L 61-67 59%     4 - 9 -13.6 -11.9 -2.0
  Jan 03, 2025 223   Marist L 65-70 52%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -10.8 -10.6 +0.0
  Jan 05, 2025 228   @ Siena W 74-73 34%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -0.1 -6.1 +5.9
  Jan 10, 2025 328   @ Fairfield L 64-68 59%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -11.7 -12.2 +0.5
  Jan 12, 2025 189   Quinnipiac L 62-63 46%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -5.2 -11.6 +6.4
  Jan 16, 2025 354   Canisius W 82-61 84%     6 - 12 3 - 4 +4.9 +5.0 +1.6
  Jan 23, 2025 313   @ Rider W 73-67 54%     7 - 12 4 - 4 -0.5 -0.7 +0.4
  Jan 25, 2025 228   Siena W 72-68 53%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -2.2 -1.7 -0.4
  Jan 31, 2025 263   @ Manhattan L 55-76 41%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -23.9 -18.4 -7.0
  Feb 02, 2025 328   Fairfield W 87-64 76%     9 - 13 6 - 5 +10.2 +12.1 -0.6
  Feb 06, 2025 258   @ Mount St. Mary's W 70-67 OT 40%     10 - 13 7 - 5 +0.2 -6.8 +6.8
  Feb 08, 2025 223   @ Marist W 75-71 33%     11 - 13 8 - 5 +3.3 +11.6 -7.9
  Feb 14, 2025 313   Rider L 71-74 73%     11 - 14 8 - 6 -14.6 -5.6 -9.1
  Feb 16, 2025 189   @ Quinnipiac L 74-79 27%     11 - 15 8 - 7 -4.1 -3.2 -0.4
  Feb 21, 2025 263   Manhattan W 65-60 60%     12 - 15 9 - 7 -3.0 -12.3 +9.5
  Feb 23, 2025 214   Merrimack L 63-64 51%    
  Feb 28, 2025 319   @ Niagara W 69-68 54%    
  Mar 02, 2025 354   @ Canisius W 74-68 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 274   Sacred Heart W 77-73 66%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 6.4 10.4 16.9 3rd
4th 0.0 5.9 19.8 2.2 27.9 4th
5th 1.1 16.7 6.6 0.1 24.5 5th
6th 0.1 5.8 9.7 0.5 16.1 6th
7th 0.9 7.2 1.0 9.1 7th
8th 2.2 2.1 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 3.1 16.2 33.5 33.3 13.9 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 13.9% 11.2% 11.2% 15.7 0.5 1.1 12.3
12-8 33.3% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.1 2.8 30.4
11-9 33.5% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 1.9 31.5
10-10 16.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.7 15.6
9-11 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 3.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.6 6.5 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 15.7 30.1 69.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.9%
Lose Out 1.2%