Colgate
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#189
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#271
Pace65.7#280
Improvement-0.1#185

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#260
First Shot-0.1#184
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#317
Layup/Dunks+0.8#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows-5.3#348
Improvement-1.0#320

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#129
First Shot-2.3#251
After Offensive Rebounds+3.7#22
Layups/Dunks+6.6#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#342
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement+0.9#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.7% 30.6% 22.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 63.0% 74.9% 51.5%
.500 or above in Conference 88.4% 91.9% 85.0%
Conference Champion 38.1% 44.5% 31.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.8% 2.0%
First Four5.9% 4.8% 7.0%
First Round24.3% 28.7% 20.1%
Second Round1.2% 1.7% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Away) - 49.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 415 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 144   @ Drexel L 56-73 30%     0 - 1 -13.0 -10.3 -3.7
  Nov 12, 2024 92   @ Syracuse L 72-74 18%     0 - 2 +6.6 +1.5 +5.1
  Nov 18, 2024 52   @ North Carolina St. L 49-72 11%     0 - 3 -10.7 -19.2 +9.2
  Nov 22, 2024 243   @ Harvard L 67-68 49%    
  Nov 27, 2024 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 67-72 32%    
  Nov 29, 2024 200   Appalachian St. W 65-64 52%    
  Nov 30, 2024 115   Sam Houston St. L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 04, 2024 167   Cornell W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 08, 2024 148   @ Northeastern L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 11, 2024 10   @ Kentucky L 64-85 3%    
  Dec 15, 2024 149   Vermont W 62-61 54%    
  Dec 22, 2024 217   Iona W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 02, 2025 303   Army W 67-58 79%    
  Jan 05, 2025 233   @ Bucknell L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 08, 2025 283   Lehigh W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 11, 2025 284   Boston University W 70-62 76%    
  Jan 15, 2025 313   @ Navy W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 237   @ Lafayette L 63-64 48%    
  Jan 20, 2025 233   Bucknell W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 265   @ American W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 29, 2025 303   @ Army W 64-61 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 237   Lafayette W 66-61 68%    
  Feb 03, 2025 283   @ Lehigh W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 334   Loyola Maryland W 71-59 85%    
  Feb 12, 2025 318   @ Holy Cross W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 284   @ Boston University W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 19, 2025 313   Navy W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 22, 2025 334   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-62 70%    
  Feb 26, 2025 318   Holy Cross W 74-64 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 265   American W 69-62 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.9 9.2 9.2 6.8 3.5 1.1 38.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 6.5 6.4 3.1 0.8 0.1 20.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.7 3.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 4.8 7.1 9.4 11.6 13.0 13.4 12.5 10.0 6.9 3.5 1.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 100.0% 3.5    3.4 0.0
16-2 99.0% 6.8    6.5 0.3
15-3 91.8% 9.2    7.8 1.4 0.0
14-4 73.9% 9.2    6.1 2.8 0.3
13-5 43.6% 5.9    2.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
12-6 16.6% 2.2    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 38.1% 38.1 27.9 8.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 66.2% 66.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-1 3.5% 55.4% 55.4% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5
16-2 6.9% 51.5% 51.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.1 3.3
15-3 10.0% 42.1% 42.1% 14.5 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.5 5.8
14-4 12.5% 37.2% 37.2% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.3 7.8
13-5 13.4% 29.3% 29.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.9 9.5
12-6 13.0% 22.4% 22.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 10.1
11-7 11.6% 19.0% 19.0% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.8 9.4
10-8 9.4% 14.2% 14.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 8.1
9-9 7.1% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 6.3
8-10 4.8% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.3 4.5
7-11 3.1% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.1 3.0
6-12 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 26.7% 26.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 5.2 7.7 10.3 73.3 0.0%