Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#313
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#322
Pace67.4#241
Improvement-2.6#357

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#278
First Shot-4.3#295
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#133
Layup/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#292
Freethrows+1.5#111
Improvement-0.3#221

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#323
First Shot-4.6#311
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#198
Layups/Dunks+4.2#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#259
Freethrows-4.6#352
Improvement-2.3#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.9% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 16.2% 28.2% 11.2%
.500 or above in Conference 36.1% 45.4% 32.2%
Conference Champion 3.6% 5.4% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 18.9% 12.8% 21.5%
First Four3.3% 4.2% 2.9%
First Round2.5% 3.9% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 411 - 1312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 100   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 7%     0 - 1 +1.2 -7.0 +8.3
  Nov 08, 2024 243   Harvard W 85-80 45%     1 - 1 -2.1 +5.9 -8.2
  Nov 12, 2024 240   Rider L 79-90 44%     1 - 2 -17.9 +4.3 -22.4
  Nov 17, 2024 257   Campbell L 66-86 48%     1 - 3 -27.8 -11.2 -16.4
  Nov 19, 2024 224   Quinnipiac L 63-74 41%     1 - 4 -17.1 -8.5 -9.1
  Nov 29, 2024 268   @ Penn L 69-75 29%    
  Nov 30, 2024 263   Elon L 72-75 38%    
  Dec 01, 2024 241   Maine L 64-68 34%    
  Dec 07, 2024 360   @ NJIT W 69-66 62%    
  Dec 15, 2024 95   @ Virginia Tech L 62-79 6%    
  Dec 21, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 71-63 75%    
  Dec 29, 2024 208   @ William & Mary L 73-82 21%    
  Jan 02, 2025 265   American L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 05, 2025 237   Lafayette L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 08, 2025 318   @ Holy Cross L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 334   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 189   Colgate L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 233   @ Bucknell L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 22, 2025 284   Boston University W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 26, 2025 303   @ Army L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 233   Bucknell L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 05, 2025 284   @ Boston University L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 237   @ Lafayette L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 12, 2025 283   Lehigh W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 303   Army W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 19, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 23, 2025 318   Holy Cross W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 26, 2025 265   @ American L 66-72 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 334   Loyola Maryland W 71-66 67%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.9 3.5 0.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.8 3.7 0.5 0.0 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.8 5.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 14.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.3 3.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 12.1 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.6 7.8 10.3 12.2 13.0 12.6 11.3 8.7 6.7 4.4 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 89.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 69.8% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.1
13-5 39.9% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 13.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 31.6% 31.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 22.6% 22.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
14-4 1.3% 21.6% 21.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1
13-5 2.8% 15.5% 15.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4
12-6 4.4% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.8
11-7 6.7% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 6.1
10-8 8.7% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6 8.1
9-9 11.3% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 10.7
8-10 12.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 12.2
7-11 13.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.8
6-12 12.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.1
5-13 10.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 10.2
4-14 7.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 7.8
3-15 4.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.9 95.9 0.0%