Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#292
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#334
Pace68.1#196
Improvement+1.3#125

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#252
First Shot-2.9#263
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#195
Layup/Dunks-2.4#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#241
Freethrows+2.0#70
Improvement-0.7#223

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#306
First Shot-3.7#296
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#262
Layups/Dunks+1.1#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
Freethrows-2.4#328
Improvement+2.0#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 6.6% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 1.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 34.2% 45.3% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 18.6% 11.8% 28.3%
First Four5.6% 6.5% 4.5%
First Round3.1% 3.7% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 58.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 60 - 7
Quad 410 - 1410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 7%     0 - 1 +2.0 -5.7 +7.9
  Nov 08, 2024 235   Harvard W 85-80 48%     1 - 1 -2.0 +5.9 -8.1
  Nov 12, 2024 294   Rider L 79-90 61%     1 - 2 -21.3 +2.3 -23.8
  Nov 17, 2024 250   Campbell L 66-86 51%     1 - 3 -27.8 -9.6 -18.0
  Nov 19, 2024 183   Quinnipiac L 63-74 36%     1 - 4 -14.7 -6.9 -8.3
  Nov 29, 2024 267   @ Penn W 86-78 34%     2 - 4 +4.8 +9.8 -5.1
  Nov 30, 2024 158   Elon L 63-69 22%     2 - 5 -5.6 -8.4 +2.7
  Dec 01, 2024 200   Maine L 66-71 29%     2 - 6 -6.8 -1.6 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 355   @ NJIT L 64-69 63%     2 - 7 -15.8 -6.8 -9.3
  Dec 15, 2024 137   @ Virginia Tech L 72-80 13%     2 - 8 -3.6 +11.8 -16.6
  Dec 21, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. L 60-68 74%     2 - 9 -22.3 -16.6 -5.6
  Dec 29, 2024 194   @ William & Mary L 76-82 21%     2 - 10 -4.8 -1.7 -3.0
  Jan 02, 2025 236   American W 81-58 48%     3 - 10 1 - 0 +16.0 +12.1 +6.1
  Jan 05, 2025 277   Lafayette W 71-70 56%     4 - 10 2 - 0 -8.2 -0.5 -7.7
  Jan 08, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 59-70 46%     4 - 11 2 - 1 -17.4 -17.4 -0.5
  Jan 11, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-75 44%     4 - 12 2 - 2 -7.0 +6.7 -13.8
  Jan 15, 2025 199   Colgate L 66-73 38%     4 - 13 2 - 3 -11.5 -7.2 -4.5
  Jan 18, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 69-73 34%     4 - 14 2 - 4 -7.2 +2.4 -9.8
  Jan 22, 2025 282   Boston University W 68-66 59%    
  Jan 26, 2025 303   @ Army L 71-73 40%    
  Jan 29, 2025 298   @ Lehigh L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 265   Bucknell W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 05, 2025 282   @ Boston University L 65-68 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 277   @ Lafayette L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 12, 2025 298   Lehigh W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 303   Army W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 19, 2025 199   @ Colgate L 67-75 20%    
  Feb 23, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 26, 2025 236   @ American L 65-71 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland W 74-70 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 1.3 4.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.5 5.9 4.0 0.3 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 4.4 6.6 0.9 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 2.2 9.1 2.8 0.0 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.8 5.0 0.2 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.3 6.9 0.8 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.5 6.4 1.7 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.8 4.0 1.6 0.1 9.4 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.5 8.3 14.5 18.7 19.8 16.8 10.4 4.7 1.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 80.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 52.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 19.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 20.5% 20.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4
12-6 1.8% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 0.3 1.5
11-7 4.7% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.7 4.1
10-8 10.4% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 1.1 9.3
9-9 16.8% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 1.6 15.2
8-10 19.8% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.0 18.8
7-11 18.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.6 18.2
6-12 14.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 14.2
5-13 8.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.2
4-14 3.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.4
3-15 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 5.7 94.3 0.0%