Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#314
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#302
Pace67.5#220
Improvement-1.2#248

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#296
First Shot-2.3#243
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#297
Layup/Dunks+0.8#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+1.1#123

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#307
First Shot-4.0#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#220
Layups/Dunks-5.2#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#86
Freethrows-2.4#331
Improvement-2.3#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.3% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.6% 19.0% 6.2%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 37.8% 17.2%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.9% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 29.3% 20.0% 42.2%
First Four3.6% 4.5% 2.5%
First Round2.4% 3.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 58.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 411 - 1312 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 196   Columbia L 78-81 35%     0 - 1 -7.7 -6.6 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2024 359   @ NJIT W 68-50 59%     1 - 1 +7.0 -1.0 +9.7
  Nov 16, 2024 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 3%     1 - 2 -13.0 -9.9 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2024 175   @ Boston College L 61-82 15%     1 - 3 -18.7 -6.5 -13.7
  Nov 26, 2024 339   VMI W 70-67 69%     2 - 3 -10.9 -4.2 -6.5
  Dec 02, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 68%     3 - 3 -2.6 +4.1 -4.9
  Dec 07, 2024 327   @ Delaware St. L 77-80 43%     3 - 4 -9.8 -1.8 -7.9
  Dec 14, 2024 229   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-69 23%     4 - 4 +7.1 +4.3 +2.6
  Dec 21, 2024 268   Hampton L 68-76 50%     4 - 5 -16.8 -5.4 -11.7
  Dec 28, 2024 113   @ DePaul L 65-84 9%     4 - 6 -12.9 -7.1 -5.5
  Jan 02, 2025 309   @ Holy Cross L 72-74 37%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -7.3 -1.5 -5.9
  Jan 05, 2025 266   Lehigh W 80-74 50%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -2.8 +0.8 -3.8
  Jan 08, 2025 316   @ Army L 72-74 39%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -7.8 +2.4 -10.4
  Jan 11, 2025 300   Navy W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 13, 2025 267   American W 68-67 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 266   @ Lehigh L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 22, 2025 260   Lafayette L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 309   Holy Cross W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 29, 2025 253   @ Bucknell L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 255   Boston University L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 05, 2025 260   @ Lafayette L 64-70 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 245   @ Colgate L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 12, 2025 316   Army W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 267   @ American L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 19, 2025 255   @ Boston University L 63-69 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 245   Colgate L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 253   Bucknell L 67-68 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 300   @ Navy L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 2.3 0.8 0.1 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.6 3.4 1.5 0.1 5.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.7 2.8 0.2 6.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 5.6 0.8 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.9 2.5 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.7 5.3 5.6 0.2 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.4 7.5 1.4 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 7.7 2.9 0.0 17.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.1 5.6 5.5 2.6 0.2 18.3 10th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.2 7.0 11.1 15.4 17.3 15.4 12.7 8.2 4.8 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-4 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
13-5 87.6% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 55.5% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 16.9% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 18.5% 18.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.4% 14.0% 14.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.0% 19.9% 19.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.8
12-6 2.0% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.7
11-7 4.8% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.3
10-8 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.8 7.4
9-9 12.7% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 11.7
8-10 15.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.6 14.8
7-11 17.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.4 16.9
6-12 15.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 15.2
5-13 11.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.0
4-14 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.0
3-15 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 4.1 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%