Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#333
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#260
Pace65.3#284
Improvement-1.8#306

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#342
First Shot-6.0#329
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#204
Layup/Dunks+0.4#170
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#243
Freethrows-2.9#320
Improvement+0.5#135

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#293
First Shot-4.0#302
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks-3.9#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement-2.4#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.4% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 17.2% 24.5% 10.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.9% 29.5% 20.8%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.2% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 31.9% 26.6% 36.6%
First Four2.0% 2.5% 1.6%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 47.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 411 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 163   Columbia L 78-81 26%     0 - 1 -6.2 -6.0 +0.0
  Nov 12, 2024 350   @ NJIT W 68-50 48%     1 - 1 +8.5 -2.0 +12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 62   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 3%     1 - 2 -14.2 -9.4 -4.2
  Nov 19, 2024 127   @ Boston College L 61-82 9%     1 - 3 -16.0 -4.5 -13.1
  Nov 26, 2024 344   VMI W 70-67 69%     2 - 3 -12.0 -4.6 -7.2
  Dec 02, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 75%     3 - 3 -6.0 +1.2 -5.4
  Dec 07, 2024 347   @ Delaware St. L 68-69 48%    
  Dec 14, 2024 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-72 23%    
  Dec 21, 2024 284   Hampton L 65-66 48%    
  Dec 28, 2024 93   @ DePaul L 61-80 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 331   @ Holy Cross L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 05, 2025 287   Lehigh L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 295   @ Army L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 301   Navy W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 13, 2025 250   American L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 287   @ Lehigh L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 22, 2025 235   Lafayette L 63-66 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 331   Holy Cross W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 29, 2025 254   @ Bucknell L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 273   Boston University L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 05, 2025 235   @ Lafayette L 60-69 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 215   @ Colgate L 62-73 17%    
  Feb 12, 2025 295   Army W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 250   @ American L 61-69 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 273   @ Boston University L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 215   Colgate L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 26, 2025 254   Bucknell L 66-68 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 301   @ Navy L 67-73 31%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.3 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 3.1 0.8 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 3.8 1.2 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 5.1 2.1 0.2 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.0 3.4 0.3 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.0 4.3 0.4 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 6.9 4.3 0.8 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.5 1.8 3.9 6.3 6.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 22.3 10th
Total 0.5 1.8 4.1 7.6 10.5 13.0 13.2 13.2 11.1 8.7 6.8 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 96.9% 0.3    0.3 0.1
14-4 83.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 53.4% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-6 21.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 23.5% 23.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 19.4% 19.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 11.2% 11.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.4% 16.1% 16.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2
12-6 2.6% 10.6% 10.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.3
11-7 4.4% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 4.0
10-8 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.3
9-9 8.7% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.3
8-10 11.1% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 10.6
7-11 13.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.1
6-12 13.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-13 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.0
4-14 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.5
3-15 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
2-16 4.1% 4.1
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.1 2.5 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%