Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.0 312
Expected Predictive Rating -11.0 331
Pace 69.7 150
Improvement +4.5 29

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #286 C- D+ D+ D B-
Defense D #310 D D- D C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 249 57% 199 -1.7 245
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 323 35% 294 -3.4 335
Three Pointers 51% 22 31% 292 +2.8 85
1st FG Attempt 0.98 241 -2.3 244
Second Chance 27.2% 274 0.97 265 0.26 280
Turnovers 18.2% 264
Freethrows 0.26 317 70% 249 0.18 323
Total Offense -4.3 286

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 123 66% 341 -4.5 324
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 145 44% 343 -1.9 322
Three Pointers 38% 268 33% 137 +2.1 96
1st FG Attempt 1.10 303 -4.3 313
Second Chance 32.5% 265 1.19 349 0.39 334
Turnovers 14.8% 308
Freethrows 0.29 151 74% 267 0.22 147
Total Defense -4.8 310

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.8 79 +0.1 176
Shot Type Accuracy -2.8 282 +3.9 319
Possession Length 17.8 236 16.7 79
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 291 0.21 300
Improvement -0.3 #205 +4.8 #12

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 41% 56% 15%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 4% 0% 10%
First Four3% 4% 3%
First Round2% 2% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 64.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 411 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 172 Towson L 56 - 67 22% -4  32% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -13 F F C- C+ +1 C- C D+
 Tue, Nov 11 315 NJIT L 64 - 66 62% +1  54% 0 - 2 D- -14 F -13 F+ B- F C -1 B F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 330 Stonehill W 74 - 63 57% +3  82% 1 - 2 C +0 B- +4 B+ C+ C+ C- -3 F C- A
 Sun, Nov 16 262 @Fairfield L 82 - 85 27% -4  1% 1 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +2 A F D- D- -8 C- F F
 Wed, Nov 19 108 @Duquesne L 78 - 92 8% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -7 C +1 B- D+ B- D -7 D- F A
 Fri, Nov 21 24 @Kentucky L 46 - 88 1% -26  1% 1 - 5 F -23 F -22 F C- F C +0 C+ C+ D+
 Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95 - 84 89% +7  94% 2 - 5 D- -12 B+ +9 A+ A F F -20 F C F
 Wed, Dec 3 248 @Hampton L 71 - 93 24% -15  0% 2 - 6 F -24 D- -6 F A+ F F -16 F A D+
 Tue, Dec 9 360 @VMI L 70 - 86 63% -15  0% 2 - 7 F -29 D -5 F B- C- F -25 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 289 Mount St. Mary's L 73 - 81 56% -5  3% 2 - 8 F -18 F -10 B- F D D- -8 F F B+
 Sun, Dec 21 89 @George Mason L 79 - 86 6% +1  48% 2 - 9 C+ +2 A +11 B- A B- F+ -10 B F F
 Wed, Dec 31 258 @American L 69 - 84 27% -10  13% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -18 D -4 C+ F+ F F -14 F D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 319 Lafayette L 64 - 79 65% -15  0% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F -28 F -11 D- F C+ F -18 F F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 341 @Army W 84 - 76 OT 50% +3  74% 3 - 11 1 - 2 C -1 C +0 F+ B- C- C -1 B- D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 324 @Bucknell L 67 - 70 43% -1  41% 3 - 12 1 - 3 D -10 F+ -9 C F F C -1 C F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 209 Colgate L 80 - 86 38% -3  11% 3 - 13 1 - 4 D- -12 C- -1 C D- A+ F+ -11 C- D- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 275 Boston University W 74 - 57 51% +1  42% 4 - 13 2 - 4 B- +8 F -11 F A C+ A+ +18 A+ B+ A-
 Mon, Jan 19 306 @Lehigh L 81 - 88 36% +2  62% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D- -12 B +6 A- D- A F -19 F F+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 324 Bucknell W 67 - 62 66% +2  62% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D -8 D- -6 F+ C+ F C -1 B F F
 Wed, Jan 28 258 American W 77 - 68 48% +8  85% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C +0 D- -7 F B- B B+ +7 C A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 166 @Navy L 71 - 87 14% -8  9% 6 - 15 4 - 6 D- -13 B- +4 B C- C- F -19 F F D+
 Wed, Feb 4 306 Lehigh W 89 - 84 2OT 59% +4  58% 7 - 15 5 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 C+ F+ B D+ -4 D+ C D
 Sat, Feb 7 275 @Boston University L 69 - 78 29% -6  11% 7 - 16 5 - 7 D- -12 F -12 D+ F C+ C -1 D F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 319 @Lafayette W 68 - 54 42% +9  96% 8 - 16 6 - 7 B- +7 D -4 C+ F C- A +12 A B+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 321 Holy Cross W 74 - 70 65%
 Wed, Feb 18 341 Army W 78 - 72 71%
 Sat, Feb 21 209 @Colgate L 70 - 79 19%
 Wed, Feb 25 166 Navy L 68 - 74 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 321 @Holy Cross L 71 - 73 43%
Totals 10 - 19 8 - 10 -9 D+ -4 C- D+ D+ D -5 D D- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D+ D+ D+ 36% 13% 51% B- C- D+ D+ D+ D+ D D+ D D D- D- C+ D 41% 21% 38% C D D+ F+ D- D C+ D+ C+
1.03 57% 35% 31% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.0 .26 18% .26 70% .18 1.15 66% 44% 33% +4 0 1.10 32% 1.2 .39 15% .29 74% .19
Nov
3		 Towson F C F F F 45% 11% 45% A- F F+ F F C- A+ C+ A+ C+ C B- B- C 49% 30% 21% D- C- C+ C- C D+ D F F+
0.86 57% 20% 19% -12 +2 0.81 18% 0.2 .03 17% .46 72% .33 1.03 57% 36% 30% -3 0 0.96 34% 0.8 .29 15% .33 78% .25
Nov
11		 NJIT F B+ D- F F 35% 15% 50% C F+ B C B- F C+ F D C B- D A+ B 33% 29% 39% B- B F D+ F C+ F F F
0.94 65% 29% 21% -9 +1 0.85 38% 1.1 .41 21% .37 60% .22 0.97 50% 43% 21% -9 -1 0.82 36% 1.0 .36 19% .47 81% .38
Nov
15		 Stonehill B- D+ A+ B B 55% 7% 38% A+ B+ D A+ C+ C+ F F F C- D- F A F 46% 15% 38% D- F D B- C- A A+ D- A+
1.12 53% 75% 38% +3 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05 0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06
Nov
16		 Fairfield C+ A+ A+ D- A 49% 13% 38% C+ A F F F D- C- C+ C- D- C- D A- C- 44% 25% 32% C C- D+ F F F D A+ C
1.15 77% 57% 30% +10 +2 1.25 19% 0.8 .15 18% .27 75% .21 1.19 56% 43% 28% -3 0 0.96 35% 1.4 .50 10% .30 58% .17
Nov
19		 Duquesne C B+ F D C+ 49% 8% 43% A+ B- F A+ D+ B- C- F D- D F A+ C- F+ 41% 12% 47% C+ D- F F F A F D- F
1.04 65% 25% 30% 0 +2 1.08 18% 1.3 .24 16% .34 62% .21 1.23 80% 17% 35% +7 +1 1.18 39% 1.4 .55 23% .45 77% .35
Nov
21		 Kentucky F F F F F 25% 21% 54% C F D- A C- F F F F C B C F+ C+ 44% 17% 39% D+ C+ F+ A+ C+ D+ A+ A+ A+
0.64 43% 25% 20% -18 -1 0.64 19% 1.0 .19 22% .14 38% .05 1.22 57% 36% 40% +3 +1 1.09 43% 0.9 .40 12% .14 44% .06
Nov
30		 Coppin St. B+ A A+ A 43% 0% 57% A A+ A- B+ A F B+ A+ A+ F F F D F 42% 29% 29% C- F C+ C- C F F D- F
1.35 75% 44% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.3 .56 21% .43 88% .38 1.19 65% 57% 36% +9 -1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 18% .54 74% .40
Dec
3		 Hampton D- A+ F F F 25% 20% 55% D F A- A+ A+ F A+ F+ A+ F F A F F 35% 33% 33% C+ F B- A+ A D+ F B F
0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35 1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41
Dec
9		 VMI D F A+ C F 47% 16% 38% B F C B B- C- A+ F C+ F D- F F F 35% 13% 52% D+ F F+ F F F C+ C+ C+
1.12 43% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .45 18% .44 52% .23 1.37 61% 71% 41% +11 +1 1.25 32% 1.2 .39 8% .28 69% .19
Dec
13		 Mount St. Mary's F D D- A- B- 32% 11% 58% B B- D- F F D D- D F+ D- F+ F C F 46% 15% 39% C- F F F+ F B+ F D+ F
0.98 50% 33% 39% +2 +1 1.07 23% 0.4 .09 16% .27 71% .19 1.08 67% 57% 33% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.2 .43 25% .43 71% .31
Dec
21		 George Mason A F C+ A+ C+ 37% 15% 48% B+ B- B A+ A B- B A+ A F+ F+ D A+ B- 33% 31% 35% A B D- F+ F F F F F
1.18 40% 38% 42% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 15% .30 82% .25 1.28 71% 44% 22% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 10% .57 79% .45
Dec
31		 American D F A+ A C 38% 10% 52% B C+ B+ F F+ F B A+ A+ F F F F F 51% 18% 31% D+ F A- F D+ D- A A A+
1.03 44% 75% 41% +4 +1 1.12 38% 0.5 .21 28% .44 86% .37 1.25 68% 60% 41% +12 +1 1.29 19% 1.4 .27 13% .15 67% .10
Jan
3		 Lafayette F F C D+ F 39% 15% 46% B D- F+ F F C+ F C- F F D F A- F 49% 14% 37% D F D+ F F F+ C+ A+ A-
0.98 48% 38% 32% -5 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .18 14% .20 73% .14 1.21 63% 57% 28% +2 +2 1.08 28% 2.0 .56 12% .26 53% .14
Jan
7		 Army C D F F+ F 47% 8% 45% A F+ A- D B- C- B- D C C F+ A A B- 28% 15% 57% B+ B- C+ F D- F B A+ A
1.15 56% 25% 29% -5 +2 0.96 40% 1.1 .42 15% .37 70% .26 1.04 65% 22% 26% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.2 .34 10% .21 50% .11
Jan
10		 Bucknell F+ C+ F B+ C 25% 12% 63% C+ C C- F F F F B+ F C D+ A- A C 44% 16% 40% D+ C F F F C+ C- C+ C
0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13 1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22
Jan
14		 Colgate C- B C C- C 29% 19% 53% D+ C D F+ D- A+ B- F C- F+ F C+ D+ D+ 29% 36% 35% A C- A- F D- F+ F F F
1.11 65% 36% 32% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.8 .20 8% .35 65% .23 1.19 69% 40% 37% +5 -3 1.07 21% 1.6 .33 12% .35 82% .28
Jan
17		 Boston University F D+ C F F 42% 13% 45% B F D A+ A C+ B F C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ B- A+ B+ A- C- F F
1.05 55% 43% 25% -7 +1 0.91 26% 1.9 .49 11% .34 62% .21 0.81 44% 29% 23% -15 0 0.73 22% 0.8 .17 23% .31 88% .28
Jan
19		 Lehigh B A- F A A- 35% 10% 56% B A- D- D D- A D- F F F F F D+ F 38% 25% 37% C- F B F F+ F F+ F F
1.19 67% 20% 41% +8 +1 1.19 29% 0.9 .26 12% .27 63% .17 1.29 75% 54% 37% +12 -1 1.25 17% 1.8 .30 13% .34 95% .32
Jan
24		 Bucknell D- A B F D- 18% 28% 55% F F+ C- B+ C+ F A+ A+ A+ C D- A+ A+ B+ 43% 10% 47% F+ B C- F F F A B A
1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41 0.98 64% 20% 17% -11 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15
Jan
28		 American D- F B+ F F 39% 22% 39% C- F D- A+ B- B A A+ A+ B+ A A- F C+ 43% 13% 45% D+ C A+ A+ A+ C- C C C
1.04 42% 45% 26% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.4 .37 16% .47 83% .39 0.92 46% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 6% 0.0 .00 16% .26 75% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Navy B- D F A B 22% 20% 59% C B C+ D- C- C- D- A+ C- F F F F F 41% 35% 24% B+ F F F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.09 55% 30% 40% +3 -1 1.06 32% 0.8 .26 18% .19 90% .17 1.33 80% 65% 42% +21 -2 1.41 45% 1.4 .64 17% .18 50% .09
Feb
4		 Lehigh D+ B- D A B- 33% 28% 39% D- C+ C- F F+ B D- A+ D+ D+ F C- B- D 30% 25% 46% C+ D+ D+ B C D D A+ B
1.11 60% 35% 42% +4 -1 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 14% .26 83% .22 1.05 72% 40% 32% +3 -1 1.07 24% 0.9 .21 16% .31 52% .16
Feb
7		 Boston University F A+ F F D 37% 7% 56% B+ D+ F F F C+ F F F C B+ F F D 30% 9% 62% D+ D F C F A+ D- F F
0.99 86% 25% 25% +2 +2 1.09 12% 0.0 .00 11% .19 58% .11 1.12 50% 75% 41% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 78% .27
Feb
11		 Lafayette D C C+ C C- 37% 9% 54% A- C+ F F F C- F C+ F A D- F A+ A 35% 11% 54% C- A C- A+ B+ F B A+ A+
1.04 60% 40% 34% +1 +1 1.07 18% 0.8 .15 15% .14 75% .11 0.82 63% 50% 14% -13 +1 0.78 27% 0.5 .14 6% .24 40% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.4 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 4.8 7.7 1.2 13.7 3rd
4th 3.7 16.4 3.0 0.0 23.1 4th
5th 0.5 18.0 7.3 0.0 25.8 5th
6th 6.0 12.0 0.4 18.4 6th
7th 0.3 9.4 1.2 10.8 7th
8th 1.9 3.1 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 2.0 0.2 2.2 9th
10th 0.4 0.4 10th
Total 4.5 19.2 34.8 29.0 10.9 1.6 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.6% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.1 1.6
10-8 10.9% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.6 10.3
9-9 29.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.4 27.5
8-10 34.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 1.1 33.8
7-11 19.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 18.9
6-12 4.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 2.4%