Preseason Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#230
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.3#119
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#162
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#297
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.4% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 45.9% 53.6% 25.4%
.500 or above in Conference 36.5% 40.6% 25.6%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.3% 18.1% 29.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round4.5% 5.3% 2.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Away) - 72.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 49 - 412 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 350   @ Loyola Maryland W 74-68 73%    
  Nov 06, 2024 37   @ Villanova L 60-77 5%    
  Nov 09, 2024 340   Delaware St. W 79-68 84%    
  Nov 12, 2024 264   Lehigh W 79-74 66%    
  Nov 16, 2024 362   Mercyhurst W 81-63 94%    
  Nov 20, 2024 352   @ LIU Brooklyn W 79-73 72%    
  Nov 23, 2024 260   Stony Brook W 75-71 65%    
  Nov 25, 2024 305   New Hampshire W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 04, 2024 259   @ Albany L 80-82 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 237   Fairfield W 76-73 61%    
  Dec 30, 2024 29   @ Rutgers L 62-80 6%    
  Jan 11, 2025 172   Cornell L 81-82 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 113   Yale L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 20, 2025 104   @ Princeton L 67-78 17%    
  Jan 25, 2025 166   @ Penn L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 31, 2025 182   Harvard W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 313   Dartmouth W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 08, 2025 181   Brown W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 14, 2025 313   @ Dartmouth W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 182   @ Harvard L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 21, 2025 181   @ Brown L 71-77 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 113   @ Yale L 65-75 21%    
  Feb 28, 2025 104   Princeton L 70-75 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 166   Penn L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 08, 2025 172   @ Cornell L 78-84 31%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 5.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 6.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 7.3 3.4 0.3 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.8 7.7 3.6 0.3 0.0 17.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 6.1 6.9 2.8 0.3 18.6 7th
8th 1.1 3.3 4.8 3.3 1.0 0.1 13.6 8th
Total 1.1 3.5 7.2 10.3 13.2 14.3 14.0 12.1 9.5 6.9 4.2 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 91.0% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
11-3 71.3% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
10-4 34.4% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
9-5 7.2% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 47.0% 40.4% 6.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1%
13-1 0.4% 45.9% 44.6% 1.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.3%
12-2 1.0% 36.0% 35.5% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8%
11-3 2.3% 27.5% 27.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.7
10-4 4.2% 20.0% 20.0% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4
9-5 6.9% 14.9% 14.9% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 5.9
8-6 9.5% 9.4% 9.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 8.6
7-7 12.1% 3.9% 3.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.7
6-8 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
5-9 14.3% 14.3
4-10 13.2% 13.2
3-11 10.3% 10.3
2-12 7.2% 7.2
1-13 3.5% 3.5
0-14 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.3 95.5 0.0%