Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#219
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#198
Pace71.4#97
Improvement-5.0#345

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#124
First Shot+2.9#94
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#257
Layup/Dunks+2.1#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#64
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement-1.7#288

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#317
First Shot-5.4#333
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#133
Layups/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#358
Freethrows+3.2#16
Improvement-3.3#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.4% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.4
.500 or above 77.0% 86.5% 56.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.0% 21.3% 4.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.6% 25.2% 57.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 68.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 42 - 7
Quad 412 - 414 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 329   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 68%     1 - 0 -4.9 -2.8 -2.3
  Nov 06, 2024 45   @ Villanova W 90-80 7%     2 - 0 +23.6 +23.9 +0.2
  Nov 09, 2024 319   Delaware St. W 83-62 80%     3 - 0 +9.1 -1.0 +8.6
  Nov 12, 2024 288   Lehigh W 76-75 74%     4 - 0 -8.8 +8.1 -16.8
  Nov 16, 2024 357   Mercyhurst W 77-63 89%     5 - 0 -2.4 +5.0 -5.9
  Nov 20, 2024 325   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 67%     6 - 0 +0.4 +7.5 -7.1
  Nov 23, 2024 317   Stony Brook W 82-63 80%     7 - 0 +7.1 +4.6 +3.2
  Nov 25, 2024 356   New Hampshire W 83-57 89%     8 - 0 +9.7 +3.7 +5.9
  Dec 04, 2024 271   @ Albany L 73-88 52%     8 - 1 -18.6 -6.0 -11.9
  Dec 28, 2024 320   Fairfield W 85-72 80%     9 - 1 +1.1 +11.9 -9.7
  Dec 30, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 64-91 9%     9 - 2 -15.5 -6.0 -8.7
  Jan 11, 2025 126   Cornell L 83-94 40%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -11.5 +8.2 -19.9
  Jan 18, 2025 87   Yale L 88-92 24%     9 - 4 0 - 2 +0.4 +8.0 -7.3
  Jan 20, 2025 140   @ Princeton L 67-71 25%     9 - 5 0 - 3 +0.1 -2.3 +2.2
  Jan 25, 2025 248   @ Penn L 78-93 48%     9 - 6 0 - 4 -17.5 -0.9 -16.0
  Jan 31, 2025 245   Harvard W 77-73 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 269   Dartmouth W 82-77 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 214   Brown W 77-75 60%    
  Feb 14, 2025 269   @ Dartmouth W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 245   @ Harvard L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 21, 2025 214   @ Brown L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 87   @ Yale L 72-85 12%    
  Feb 28, 2025 140   Princeton L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 248   Penn W 79-75 67%    
  Mar 08, 2025 126   @ Cornell L 82-90 22%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 2.3 0.3 5.3 3rd
4th 1.0 7.4 7.0 1.2 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.5 7.9 8.2 1.2 0.0 17.8 5th
6th 0.2 5.8 11.0 1.8 0.0 18.9 6th
7th 0.4 4.5 10.8 2.6 0.0 18.3 7th
8th 0.3 2.1 6.7 8.8 3.6 0.1 21.6 8th
Total 0.3 2.1 7.1 13.5 20.7 22.6 17.7 10.9 4.1 0.9 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 38.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 4.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
9-5 0.9% 17.4% 17.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
8-6 4.1% 12.7% 12.7% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.6
7-7 10.9% 8.2% 8.2% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 10.0
6-8 17.7% 1.4% 1.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 17.4
5-9 22.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.6
4-10 20.7% 20.7
3-11 13.5% 13.5
2-12 7.1% 7.1
1-13 2.1% 2.1
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%