IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Dartmouth
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.6	#339
Expected Predictive Rating	-12.8	#324

Pace	70.7	#136
Improvement	-1.7	#331

Offense
Total Offense	-8.1	#355

First Shot	-3.2	#267
After Offensive Rebound	-4.9	#358

Layup/Dunks	-2.3	#261
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.5	#100
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.6	#312
Freethrows	+2.2	#68

Improvement	-1.9	#355

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#291

First Shot	-6.5	#347
After Offensive Rebounds	+3.0	#29

Layups/Dunks	-3.5	#292
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.5	#277
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.1	#257
Freethrows	+0.6	#146

Improvement	+0.2	#152

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.4	15.9

.500 or above	0.6%	2.8%	0.4%
.500 or above in Conference	4.2%	9.1%	3.8%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	69.0%	57.0%	69.8%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 6.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 12
Quad 4	4 - 8	5 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	333	Sacred Heart	W	81-76	57%	1 - 0			-8.3	-7.7	-1.1
Nov 13, 2024	246	Albany	L	73-87	34%	1 - 1			-21.2	-5.5	-15.4
Nov 16, 2024	286	@ Boston University	L	50-78	22%	1 - 2			-31.4	-22.1	-10.2
Nov 19, 2024	233	@ Marist	L	62-75	15%	1 - 3			-13.6	-12.8	-0.5
Nov 29, 2024	138	@ Boston College	L	61-77	6%
Dec 03, 2024	341	@ New Hampshire	L	69-72	40%
Dec 08, 2024	156	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	67-82	9%
Dec 11, 2024	53	@ Notre Dame	L	56-80	1%
Dec 14, 2024	155	@ Umass Lowell	L	66-81	9%
Dec 18, 2024	337	Le Moyne	W	71-69	58%
Dec 21, 2024	151	Vermont	L	59-68	20%
Jan 11, 2025	267	Penn	L	70-73	39%
Jan 18, 2025	109	Princeton	L	64-77	13%
Jan 20, 2025	98	@ Yale	L	61-81	4%
Jan 25, 2025	224	@ Brown	L	64-76	15%
Jan 31, 2025	170	@ Cornell	L	70-84	11%
Feb 01, 2025	190	@ Columbia	L	68-81	12%
Feb 08, 2025	244	Harvard	L	67-72	35%
Feb 14, 2025	190	Columbia	L	71-78	26%
Feb 15, 2025	170	Cornell	L	73-81	24%
Feb 21, 2025	267	@ Penn	L	67-76	21%
Feb 22, 2025	109	Princeton	L	64-77	14%
Feb 28, 2025	98	Yale	L	64-78	12%
Mar 01, 2025	224	Brown	L	67-73	31%
Mar 08, 2025	244	@ Harvard	L	64-75	18%
Projected Record						5 - 20	3 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2	1st
2nd								0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.5	2nd
3rd							0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0						1.4	3rd
4th						0.1	1.2	1.3	0.3	0.0							2.9	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	2.2	2.3	0.6	0.0								5.5	5th
6th			0.0	1.2	4.6	4.6	1.0	0.0									11.3	6th
7th		0.5	4.1	9.3	7.2	1.6	0.0										22.6	7th
8th	9.8	18.4	17.6	8.1	1.6	0.1											55.6	8th

Total	9.8	18.9	21.7	18.5	13.7	8.6	4.7	2.5	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0					Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2	71.4%	0.0		0.0
11-3	83.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
10-4	42.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
9-5	11.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.0%
7-7	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
11-3	0.0%																				0.0	0.0		0.0
10-4	0.2%		8.8%	8.8%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.2
9-5	0.4%		7.6%	7.6%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.3
8-6	1.1%		4.2%	4.2%		15.9																0.0	0.0	1.1
7-7	2.5%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
6-8	4.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	4.7
5-9	8.6%																							8.6
4-10	13.7%																							13.7
3-11	18.5%																							18.5
2-12	21.7%																							21.7
1-13	18.9%																							18.9
0-14	9.8%																							9.8

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	3.2%