Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#284
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#287
Pace72.2#93
Improvement+1.9#66

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#261
First Shot-4.6#312
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#107
Layup/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#110
Freethrows-2.3#305
Improvement-0.6#235

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#287
First Shot-4.2#311
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#128
Layups/Dunks-0.6#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#316
Freethrows-1.9#305
Improvement+2.5#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.5% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 24.7% 41.6% 19.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.7% 60.5% 49.0%
Conference Champion 4.2% 6.1% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 4.0% 6.5%
First Four3.2% 3.8% 3.0%
First Round3.1% 4.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 23.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 119   @ Temple L 70-81 13%     0 - 1 -5.4 -3.5 -1.2
  Nov 06, 2024 11   @ Connecticut L 56-92 2%     0 - 2 -16.0 -13.7 -1.0
  Nov 09, 2024 312   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 45%     0 - 3 -10.4 -4.7 -5.3
  Nov 15, 2024 310   Holy Cross L 75-82 56%     0 - 4 -15.3 +4.7 -20.8
  Nov 16, 2024 356   New Hampshire W 80-63 72%     1 - 4 +4.1 +10.2 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2024 156   @ Brown L 70-89 18%     1 - 5 -16.0 +2.5 -19.5
  Nov 21, 2024 221   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 47%     2 - 5 +7.0 -3.1 +10.6
  Dec 01, 2024 256   @ Boston University W 73-65 33%     3 - 5 +5.8 +1.1 +4.9
  Dec 06, 2024 258   Iona W 83-59 56%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +15.7 +4.6 +10.0
  Dec 08, 2024 245   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 31%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -11.8 -1.6 -9.9
  Dec 18, 2024 236   Albany L 66-74 51%     4 - 7 -15.1 -12.0 -3.1
  Dec 22, 2024 209   @ Miami (OH) L 70-77 24%    
  Jan 05, 2025 350   Canisius W 79-70 79%    
  Jan 10, 2025 198   Merrimack L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 12, 2025 253   @ Mount St. Mary's L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 16, 2025 305   @ Siena L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 210   St. Peter's L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 23, 2025 350   @ Canisius W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 02, 2025 293   Manhattan W 80-77 62%    
  Feb 06, 2025 300   Rider W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 280   @ Fairfield L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 14, 2025 245   Quinnipiac W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 16, 2025 305   Siena W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 21, 2025 198   @ Merrimack L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 23, 2025 210   @ St. Peter's L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 28, 2025 233   Marist L 69-70 50%    
  Mar 02, 2025 280   Fairfield W 77-74 60%    
  Mar 06, 2025 293   @ Manhattan L 77-80 41%    
  Mar 08, 2025 258   @ Iona L 71-75 34%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.0 1.3 0.1 8.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.9 0.8 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.4 1.7 0.1 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.8 2.8 0.2 9.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.5 0.5 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.1 0.9 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 5.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.8 6.5 9.6 12.2 13.6 14.1 12.4 10.0 7.1 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 97.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 84.1% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 55.5% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 26.3% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 49.2% 49.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 22.3% 22.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.9% 20.7% 20.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
15-5 2.4% 16.7% 16.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.0
14-6 4.4% 13.2% 13.2% 15.9 0.1 0.5 3.8
13-7 7.1% 11.6% 11.6% 15.9 0.1 0.8 6.3
12-8 10.0% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.1
11-9 12.4% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 11.7
10-10 14.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.6
9-11 13.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.3
8-12 12.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 12.0
7-13 9.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.5
6-14 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.4
5-15 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-16 1.8% 1.8
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.2 95.3 0.0%