Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#274
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#281
Pace74.1#48
Improvement+1.7#113

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#218
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#66
Layup/Dunks-2.0#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#89
Freethrows-2.0#294
Improvement+1.2#119

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#314
First Shot-5.3#332
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#127
Layups/Dunks-0.8#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#336
Freethrows-1.7#290
Improvement+0.6#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.8% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 12.9% 22.7% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.0% 94.5% 64.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.3% 3.8% 2.8%
First Round2.6% 3.5% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 42.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 412 - 1014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 155   @ Temple L 70-81 19%     0 - 1 -8.0 -7.9 +0.6
  Nov 06, 2024 32   @ Connecticut L 56-92 3%     0 - 2 -19.3 -13.3 -4.7
  Nov 09, 2024 206   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 27%     0 - 3 -4.9 -1.0 -3.5
  Nov 15, 2024 317   Holy Cross L 75-82 61%     0 - 4 -16.2 +5.8 -22.8
  Nov 16, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 80-63 76%     1 - 4 +3.2 +7.4 -2.9
  Nov 17, 2024 185   @ Brown L 70-89 24%     1 - 5 -17.9 +1.9 -20.9
  Nov 21, 2024 197   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 43%     2 - 5 +8.4 -2.9 +11.8
  Dec 01, 2024 300   @ Boston University W 73-65 46%     3 - 5 +2.7 +0.0 +2.9
  Dec 06, 2024 259   Iona W 83-59 56%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +16.1 +6.1 +8.9
  Dec 08, 2024 189   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 25%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -9.1 +0.4 -9.2
  Dec 18, 2024 267   Albany L 66-74 57%     4 - 7 -16.1 -11.7 -4.4
  Dec 22, 2024 171   @ Miami (OH) L 76-94 21%     4 - 8 -15.9 -2.5 -12.0
  Jan 05, 2025 354   Canisius W 99-82 82%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +0.9 +14.0 -13.3
  Jan 10, 2025 214   Merrimack L 65-66 46%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -6.2 -4.2 -2.1
  Jan 12, 2025 258   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 37%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -4.8 +0.3 -5.1
  Jan 16, 2025 228   @ Siena L 75-93 31%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -19.1 +2.8 -22.0
  Jan 18, 2025 292   St. Peter's L 61-66 63%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -14.7 -12.4 -2.4
  Jan 23, 2025 354   @ Canisius W 93-84 68%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -2.0 +9.8 -12.1
  Jan 25, 2025 319   @ Niagara W 86-77 51%     7 - 12 4 - 5 +2.3 +15.4 -12.5
  Feb 02, 2025 263   Manhattan W 74-72 57%     8 - 12 5 - 5 -6.0 -11.4 +5.3
  Feb 06, 2025 313   Rider W 89-77 69%     9 - 12 6 - 5 +0.4 +8.8 -8.6
  Feb 08, 2025 328   @ Fairfield W 77-71 55%     10 - 12 7 - 5 -1.7 +1.1 -2.7
  Feb 14, 2025 189   Quinnipiac L 90-99 42%     10 - 13 7 - 6 -13.2 +1.9 -13.6
  Feb 16, 2025 228   Siena L 73-80 49%     10 - 14 7 - 7 -13.2 +2.5 -16.1
  Feb 21, 2025 214   @ Merrimack W 60-59 27%     11 - 14 8 - 7 +0.9 -6.5 +7.4
  Feb 23, 2025 292   @ St. Peter's L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 28, 2025 223   Marist L 70-71 49%    
  Mar 02, 2025 328   Fairfield W 78-72 74%    
  Mar 06, 2025 263   @ Manhattan L 79-82 36%    
  Mar 08, 2025 259   @ Iona L 73-77 34%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 1.6 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 3.8 8.3 0.8 12.9 4th
5th 1.0 12.2 2.5 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.1 7.3 10.5 0.2 18.1 6th
7th 3.5 16.8 2.5 22.8 7th
8th 2.2 14.7 7.0 0.0 24.0 8th
9th 1.5 0.8 2.2 9th
10th 0.3 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 4.0 19.0 32.2 29.1 13.1 2.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 2.6% 7.7% 7.7% 15.3 0.1 0.1 2.4
12-8 13.1% 8.3% 8.3% 15.9 0.1 1.0 12.0
11-9 29.1% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.1 1.5 27.5
10-10 32.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 1.1 31.1
9-11 19.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 18.7
8-12 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.9
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.3 4.1 95.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.3 70.0 30.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 2.2%