IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.6	#334
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.2	#75
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#344

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	3.1%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	12.5%	33.6%	10.9%
.500 or above in Conference	21.0%	39.0%	19.7%
Conference Champion	1.2%	3.4%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	26.1%	13.3%	27.0%

First Four	0.8%	1.6%	0.7%
First Round	1.0%	2.3%	0.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 12	10 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	130	@ Temple	L	65-81	7%
Nov 06, 2024	1	@ Connecticut	L	54-88	0.1%
Nov 09, 2024	313	@ Dartmouth	L	66-71	31%
Nov 15, 2024	348	Holy Cross	W	73-72	55%
Nov 16, 2024	305	New Hampshire	L	74-77	39%
Nov 17, 2024	181	@ Brown	L	66-79	13%
Nov 21, 2024	304	Central Connecticut St.	L	71-72	49%
Dec 01, 2024	266	@ Boston University	L	66-75	22%
Dec 06, 2024	210	Iona	L	70-75	33%
Dec 08, 2024	212	@ Quinnipiac	L	72-83	17%
Dec 18, 2024	259	Albany	L	79-82	41%
Dec 22, 2024	233	@ Miami (OH)	L	67-77	19%
Jan 05, 2025	297	Canisius	L	71-72	48%
Jan 10, 2025	243	Merrimack	L	67-71	38%
Jan 12, 2025	270	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	70-78	24%
Jan 16, 2025	339	@ Siena	L	68-71	41%
Jan 18, 2025	214	St. Peter's	L	63-68	34%
Jan 23, 2025	297	@ Canisius	L	68-75	29%
Jan 25, 2025	308	@ Niagara	L	70-76	31%
Feb 02, 2025	331	Manhattan	W	74-72	58%
Feb 06, 2025	241	Rider	L	71-75	38%
Feb 08, 2025	237	@ Fairfield	L	69-79	20%
Feb 14, 2025	212	Quinnipiac	L	75-80	34%
Feb 16, 2025	339	Siena	W	71-68	61%
Feb 21, 2025	243	@ Merrimack	L	64-74	21%
Feb 23, 2025	214	@ St. Peter's	L	60-71	19%
Feb 28, 2025	235	Marist	L	65-69	37%
Mar 02, 2025	237	Fairfield	L	72-76	37%
Mar 06, 2025	331	@ Manhattan	L	71-75	38%
Mar 08, 2025	210	@ Iona	L	67-78	18%
Projected Record						10 - 20	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.9	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.7	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0						2.6	3rd
4th											0.1	0.9	1.4	0.8	0.1	0.0							3.2	4th
5th										0.1	0.8	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0								4.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.8	2.4	1.7	0.3	0.0									5.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.0	0.7	2.6	2.3	0.4	0.0										6.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.6	2.7	3.1	0.9	0.0											7.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	3.0	4.0	1.5	0.1												9.4	9th
10th					0.1	0.9	3.3	4.7	2.0	0.2													11.2	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.2	5.0	2.3	0.4	0.0													13.6	11th
12th		0.1	0.7	2.8	4.9	4.7	2.4	0.3	0.0														16.0	12th
13th	1.0	2.8	4.6	5.2	3.2	1.2	0.2	0.0															18.2	13th

Total	1.0	2.8	5.3	8.2	9.8	11.0	11.7	11.0	9.9	8.3	6.5	5.0	3.5	2.6	1.6	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	92.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	90.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	64.2%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	39.1%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	13.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																	0.0
19-1	0.0%		42.3%	42.3%		14.8														0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	0.1%		32.8%	32.8%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	0.2%		28.3%	28.3%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-4	0.5%		19.1%	19.1%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
15-5	1.0%		13.3%	13.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9
14-6	1.6%		12.8%	12.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.1	1.4
13-7	2.6%		8.1%	8.1%		15.9																0.0	0.2	2.4
12-8	3.5%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																0.0	0.2	3.3
11-9	5.0%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																0.0	0.2	4.9
10-10	6.5%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	6.5
9-11	8.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.2
8-12	9.9%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
7-13	11.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
6-14	11.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-15	11.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
4-16	9.8%																							9.8
3-17	8.2%																							8.2
2-18	5.3%																							5.3
1-19	2.8%																							2.8
0-20	1.0%																							1.0

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	15.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.1	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%