Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#305
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#252
Pace62.8#330
Improvement-2.6#306

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#321
First Shot-5.4#328
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#170
Layup/Dunks-6.5#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-1.6#288

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#255
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#242
Layups/Dunks-4.2#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#111
Freethrows-1.3#279
Improvement-1.0#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.5% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 19.8% 38.7% 17.5%
.500 or above in Conference 39.7% 50.8% 38.4%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.3% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 3.7% 7.7%
First Four1.6% 2.2% 1.5%
First Round1.8% 3.5% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 10.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 411 - 1114 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 160   Brown W 72-71 OT 32%     1 - 0 -2.2 -4.0 +1.8
  Nov 08, 2024 179   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 17%     2 - 0 +4.1 +3.4 +0.3
  Nov 12, 2024 241   American W 74-66 48%     3 - 0 +0.6 +10.5 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2024 234   @ Albany L 60-70 25%     3 - 1 -10.7 -11.1 -0.2
  Nov 20, 2024 50   @ Xavier L 55-80 3%     3 - 2 -11.6 -8.7 -4.1
  Nov 25, 2024 210   Miami (OH) L 58-70 30%     3 - 3 -14.5 -12.1 -3.1
  Nov 26, 2024 209   Jacksonville L 64-75 30%     3 - 4 -13.5 -6.4 -7.3
  Nov 30, 2024 265   Bucknell W 71-58 41%     4 - 4 +7.4 +7.9 +1.2
  Dec 06, 2024 321   @ Niagara L 68-69 43%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -7.0 +3.1 -10.3
  Dec 08, 2024 353   @ Canisius W 66-53 57%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +3.3 -1.2 +6.9
  Dec 17, 2024 87   St. Bonaventure L 48-65 15%     5 - 6 -13.6 -18.8 +4.4
  Dec 20, 2024 311   Holy Cross L 70-78 63%     5 - 7 -19.3 -2.5 -17.8
  Dec 30, 2024 122   @ Cornell L 68-81 11%    
  Jan 03, 2025 275   Manhattan W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 05, 2025 263   Iona W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 10, 2025 247   @ Quinnipiac L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 16, 2025 285   Sacred Heart W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 195   @ Merrimack L 59-68 20%    
  Jan 23, 2025 235   Mount St. Mary's L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 263   @ Iona L 64-69 31%    
  Jan 31, 2025 230   @ Marist L 59-66 25%    
  Feb 02, 2025 247   Quinnipiac L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 206   St. Peter's L 60-63 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   @ Rider L 63-66 38%    
  Feb 14, 2025 230   Marist L 62-63 45%    
  Feb 16, 2025 285   @ Sacred Heart L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 21, 2025 321   Niagara W 67-63 65%    
  Feb 23, 2025 353   Canisius W 72-64 76%    
  Mar 02, 2025 235   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-71 27%    
  Mar 06, 2025 298   Fairfield W 70-68 59%    
  Mar 08, 2025 275   @ Manhattan L 69-74 34%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.9 0.5 0.1 5.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 3.0 0.8 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.9 4.6 0.7 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.3 2.8 5.6 1.7 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.6 2.9 0.2 11.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 5.0 4.2 0.6 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 4.2 1.0 0.0 11.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.1 2.8 1.0 0.1 8.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.9 5.9 8.9 12.6 14.2 14.2 12.9 10.6 7.3 4.5 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 94.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 79.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 56.7% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 25.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 5.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 17.9% 17.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.5% 18.7% 18.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.2% 13.6% 13.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
14-6 2.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.3
13-7 4.5% 8.0% 8.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 4.1
12-8 7.3% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 6.8
11-9 10.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.2
10-10 12.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.6
9-11 14.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 14.0
8-12 14.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.0
7-13 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-14 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-15 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-16 2.9% 2.9
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 97.4 0.0%