Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#273
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#243
Pace65.6#251
Improvement+0.3#164

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#299
First Shot-4.7#306
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#181
Layup/Dunks-5.3#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement-0.6#217

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#221
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#219
Layups/Dunks-4.1#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#60
Freethrows-1.4#280
Improvement+0.8#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.8% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 37.0% 47.5% 21.0%
.500 or above in Conference 51.2% 63.0% 33.1%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 1.8% 6.5%
First Four2.1% 2.1% 2.0%
First Round3.8% 4.6% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 32 - 63 - 7
Quad 413 - 1015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 206   Brown W 72-71 OT 45%     1 - 0 -3.9 -5.2 +1.3
  Nov 08, 2024 159   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 19%     2 - 0 +5.0 +4.8 -0.1
  Nov 12, 2024 235   American W 74-66 52%     3 - 0 +1.2 +11.0 -8.4
  Nov 16, 2024 258   @ Albany L 60-70 38%     3 - 1 -13.0 -12.2 -1.3
  Nov 20, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 55-80 4%     3 - 2 -10.8 -7.0 -5.0
  Nov 25, 2024 154   Miami (OH) L 58-70 26%     3 - 3 -11.4 -12.1 +0.2
  Nov 26, 2024 185   Jacksonville L 64-75 31%     3 - 4 -12.1 -5.4 -6.9
  Nov 30, 2024 267   Bucknell W 71-58 49%     4 - 4 +7.1 +7.5 +1.3
  Dec 06, 2024 312   @ Niagara L 68-69 49%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -6.9 +3.7 -10.8
  Dec 08, 2024 345   @ Canisius W 66-53 62%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +3.7 -1.6 +7.7
  Dec 17, 2024 99   St. Bonaventure L 48-65 22%     5 - 6 -15.0 -21.4 +5.6
  Dec 20, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 70-78 70%     5 - 7 -19.8 -3.3 -17.4
  Dec 30, 2024 143   @ Cornell W 83-77 17%     6 - 7 +10.0 +3.7 +6.0
  Jan 03, 2025 296   Manhattan W 103-95 2OT 65%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -2.3 +0.5 -4.4
  Jan 05, 2025 252   Iona L 73-74 57%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -8.9 -7.9 -1.0
  Jan 10, 2025 186   @ Quinnipiac L 53-72 23%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -17.5 -17.8 +0.6
  Jan 16, 2025 298   Sacred Heart W 93-75 65%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +7.7 +14.6 -6.8
  Jan 18, 2025 204   @ Merrimack L 58-64 26%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -5.5 -4.9 -1.3
  Jan 23, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 69-67 61%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   @ Iona L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 31, 2025 217   @ Marist L 60-66 30%    
  Feb 02, 2025 186   Quinnipiac L 69-72 42%    
  Feb 06, 2025 231   St. Peter's W 61-60 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 294   @ Rider L 66-67 44%    
  Feb 14, 2025 217   Marist L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 16, 2025 298   @ Sacred Heart L 71-72 44%    
  Feb 21, 2025 312   Niagara W 69-64 69%    
  Feb 23, 2025 345   Canisius W 74-66 78%    
  Mar 02, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-69 38%    
  Mar 06, 2025 318   Fairfield W 72-67 70%    
  Mar 08, 2025 296   @ Manhattan L 73-74 44%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.4 0.9 0.1 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.5 5.8 1.5 0.2 14.1 4th
5th 0.4 5.3 6.7 1.6 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.1 3.8 7.6 2.2 0.1 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 7.8 3.3 0.1 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 4.3 5.2 0.4 10.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 5.4 1.4 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.6 3.8 2.3 0.1 6.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.9 2.6 0.3 5.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.7 4.8 9.1 14.2 18.6 18.0 15.3 10.5 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 38.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
13-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.6% 27.3% 27.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-6 2.0% 16.8% 16.8% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.6
13-7 4.9% 14.1% 14.1% 15.6 0.3 0.4 4.2
12-8 10.5% 9.2% 9.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 9.5
11-9 15.3% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.1 1.0 14.1
10-10 18.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8 17.1
9-11 18.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 18.2
8-12 14.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 14.0
7-13 9.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.0
6-14 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.8
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 95.1 0.0%