Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#307
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#147
Pace64.0#322
Improvement-1.6#320

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#327
First Shot-4.7#306
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#234
Layup/Dunks-5.0#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#241
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement-1.0#314

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#257
First Shot-1.4#226
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#267
Layups/Dunks-3.4#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#195
Freethrows+0.6#156
Improvement-0.5#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.0% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 34.8% 50.2% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 49.9% 36.9%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 6.2% 11.8%
First Four1.0% 1.3% 0.9%
First Round2.1% 3.4% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Neutral) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 412 - 1014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 222   Brown W 72-71 OT 41%     1 - 0 -4.9 -5.5 +0.6
  Nov 08, 2024 175   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 17%     2 - 0 +4.2 +4.4 -0.6
  Nov 12, 2024 263   American W 74-66 51%     3 - 0 -0.3 +8.1 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2024 243   @ Albany L 60-70 25%     3 - 1 -11.2 -10.5 -1.3
  Nov 20, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 55-80 3%     3 - 2 -10.4 -8.7 -2.9
  Nov 25, 2024 224   Miami (OH) L 65-70 32%    
  Nov 30, 2024 231   Bucknell L 64-69 33%    
  Dec 06, 2024 304   @ Niagara L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 08, 2024 351   @ Canisius W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 17, 2024 115   St. Bonaventure L 61-70 22%    
  Dec 20, 2024 315   Holy Cross W 70-67 62%    
  Dec 30, 2024 209   @ Cornell L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 03, 2025 329   Manhattan W 70-66 66%    
  Jan 05, 2025 249   Iona L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 10, 2025 225   @ Quinnipiac L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 16, 2025 325   Sacred Heart W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 228   @ Merrimack L 59-67 24%    
  Jan 23, 2025 281   Mount St. Mary's W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 249   @ Iona L 63-70 28%    
  Jan 31, 2025 233   @ Marist L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 02, 2025 225   Quinnipiac L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 06, 2025 180   St. Peter's L 60-64 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 239   @ Rider L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 14, 2025 233   Marist L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 16, 2025 325   @ Sacred Heart L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 21, 2025 304   Niagara W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 23, 2025 351   Canisius W 72-64 76%    
  Mar 02, 2025 281   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-69 33%    
  Mar 06, 2025 274   Fairfield W 67-66 52%    
  Mar 08, 2025 329   @ Manhattan L 67-69 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.5 3.3 4.8 1.5 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.8 2.6 0.2 10.3 9th
10th 0.4 2.4 4.9 2.7 0.4 10.8 10th
11th 0.6 2.1 3.8 2.5 0.4 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 6.8 9.1 10.6 12.1 12.3 11.0 9.4 7.6 5.7 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 89.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 86.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 60.0% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.0% 0.6    0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 10.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.2% 36.6% 36.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.6% 15.6% 15.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.0% 19.7% 19.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-5 1.9% 11.3% 11.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
14-6 3.6% 14.2% 14.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.1
13-7 5.7% 8.4% 8.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.3
12-8 7.6% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.3
11-9 9.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.1
10-10 11.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.8
9-11 12.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.2
8-12 12.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.0
7-13 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.5
6-14 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
5-15 6.8% 6.8
4-16 4.5% 4.5
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 97.4 0.0%