Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#228
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#208
Pace68.1#218
Improvement-0.9#284

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#212
First Shot-2.0#235
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#155
Layup/Dunks-5.6#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#15
Freethrows-5.4#355
Improvement+0.3#131

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#234
First Shot-2.8#272
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#111
Layups/Dunks+2.7#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#335
Freethrows+2.3#69
Improvement-1.2#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.5% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 60.7% 69.2% 43.1%
.500 or above in Conference 66.7% 71.2% 57.3%
Conference Champion 6.9% 8.1% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 2.4% 5.2%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round5.4% 6.3% 3.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Neutral) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 412 - 615 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 200   @ Appalachian St. W 77-63 34%     1 - 0 +15.1 +5.6 +9.2
  Nov 09, 2024 184   Wright St. L 68-81 54%     1 - 1 -17.3 -11.3 -5.7
  Nov 12, 2024 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-70 89%     2 - 1 +1.2 +16.9 -13.7
  Nov 18, 2024 24   @ Michigan L 67-94 4%     2 - 2 -10.4 -0.8 -8.6
  Nov 25, 2024 306   Siena W 70-65 67%    
  Dec 02, 2024 292   Air Force W 70-63 73%    
  Dec 06, 2024 22   @ Indiana L 63-83 3%    
  Dec 18, 2024 151   @ Vermont L 61-68 27%    
  Dec 22, 2024 333   Sacred Heart W 80-70 82%    
  Jan 04, 2025 331   Buffalo W 79-69 81%    
  Jan 07, 2025 280   @ Ball St. L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 323   Western Michigan W 77-68 79%    
  Jan 14, 2025 325   @ Northern Illinois W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 123   @ Kent St. L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 21, 2025 262   Bowling Green W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 25, 2025 140   @ Akron L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 28, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 158   Ohio L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 04, 2025 204   @ Central Michigan L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 11, 2025 137   Toledo L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 323   @ Western Michigan W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 18, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 123   Kent St. L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 25, 2025 325   Northern Illinois W 75-66 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 71-77 29%    
  Mar 04, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 76-72 62%    
  Mar 07, 2025 280   Ball St. W 74-68 69%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.6 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.6 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 5.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 4.0 6.2 8.4 11.1 12.3 13.2 12.7 10.6 7.8 5.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.8% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 91.8% 1.2    1.0 0.2
15-3 70.5% 2.1    1.3 0.7 0.1
14-4 37.7% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.3% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 33.1% 33.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.3% 26.6% 26.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-3 2.9% 20.2% 20.2% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3
14-4 5.3% 16.4% 16.4% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.4
13-5 7.8% 11.7% 11.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 6.9
12-6 10.6% 9.2% 9.2% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 9.7
11-7 12.7% 5.3% 5.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.0
10-8 13.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.8
9-9 12.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.9
8-10 11.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.0
7-11 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
6-12 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.2
5-13 4.0% 4.0
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.0 94.4 0.0%