Vermont
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#230
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#200
Pace59.7#357
Improvement+2.2#96

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#317
First Shot-2.9#264
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#326
Layup/Dunks-4.6#331
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#95
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+1.7#105

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#118
First Shot+1.2#136
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#114
Layups/Dunks-1.7#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#53
Freethrows-0.5#227
Improvement+0.4#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.7% 17.2% 13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 98.0% 100.0% 94.9%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 22.4% 31.8% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.2% 4.5% 6.4%
First Round13.1% 15.1% 10.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 60.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 01 - 2
Quad 33 - 34 - 5
Quad 414 - 818 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 104   @ UAB W 67-62 17%     1 - 0 +11.7 -0.8 +13.0
  Nov 06, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 43-94 1%     1 - 1 -24.9 -19.0 -6.1
  Nov 09, 2024 214   @ Merrimack L 51-65 37%     1 - 2 -14.1 -12.2 -3.3
  Nov 15, 2024 259   @ Iona L 59-62 47%     1 - 3 -5.8 -9.3 +3.4
  Nov 19, 2024 352   Buffalo W 78-67 87%     2 - 3 -4.7 +5.3 -9.1
  Nov 23, 2024 244   Delaware W 75-71 53%     3 - 3 -0.5 -2.5 +2.0
  Nov 24, 2024 328   Fairfield L 66-67 74%     3 - 4 -11.2 -4.9 -6.4
  Nov 30, 2024 212   Northeastern W 68-64 56%     4 - 4 -1.2 -4.9 +3.8
  Dec 03, 2024 185   Brown L 53-60 51%     4 - 5 -11.0 -8.9 -3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 70   @ Yale L 50-65 10%     4 - 6 -4.4 -13.9 +7.8
  Dec 15, 2024 239   @ Colgate L 60-65 43%     4 - 7 -6.7 -8.5 +1.2
  Dec 18, 2024 171   Miami (OH) W 75-67 48%     5 - 7 +5.0 +0.5 +4.5
  Dec 21, 2024 206   @ Dartmouth L 54-84 36%     5 - 8 -29.9 -14.3 -16.8
  Jan 04, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 60-40 77%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +8.8 -9.4 +20.8
  Jan 09, 2025 225   @ Umass Lowell W 67-63 40%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +3.1 -5.3 +8.6
  Jan 11, 2025 161   @ Bryant L 53-73 27%     7 - 9 2 - 1 -17.4 -11.5 -8.6
  Jan 16, 2025 299   Binghamton W 72-64 74%     8 - 9 3 - 1 -2.2 +5.6 -6.6
  Jan 23, 2025 346   NJIT W 68-64 86%     9 - 9 4 - 1 -11.2 -8.2 -2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 288   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-80 72%     9 - 10 4 - 2 -26.6 -12.4 -15.6
  Jan 30, 2025 299   @ Binghamton L 72-75 56%     9 - 11 4 - 3 -8.1 -0.4 -7.9
  Feb 01, 2025 209   Maine W 55-49 56%     10 - 11 5 - 3 +0.9 -7.7 +9.7
  Feb 08, 2025 267   @ Albany W 68-62 48%     11 - 11 6 - 3 +3.0 +5.4 -1.3
  Feb 13, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 79-59 88%     12 - 11 7 - 3 +3.7 +8.2 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2025 209   @ Maine W 65-61 36%     13 - 11 8 - 3 +4.0 +2.8 +1.7
  Feb 20, 2025 161   Bryant W 59-55 46%     14 - 11 9 - 3 +1.5 -9.1 +11.0
  Feb 22, 2025 225   Umass Lowell W 70-68 61%    
  Feb 27, 2025 346   @ NJIT W 63-57 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 288   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-69 52%    
  Mar 04, 2025 267   Albany W 67-63 68%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 9.9 12.0 22.4 1st
2nd 0.2 6.0 26.4 26.2 4.3 63.1 2nd
3rd 1.5 6.9 5.4 13.8 3rd
4th 0.7 0.7 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 2.4 13.0 32.2 36.1 16.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 73.9% 12.0    4.3 7.8
12-4 27.5% 9.9    0.4 6.8 2.8
11-5 1.4% 0.4    0.2 0.3
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total 22.4% 22.4 4.6 14.8 3.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 16.3% 21.5% 21.5% 15.1 0.4 2.4 0.7 12.8
12-4 36.1% 17.7% 17.7% 15.7 0.1 1.8 4.6 29.7
11-5 32.2% 13.5% 13.5% 15.9 0.4 3.9 27.9
10-6 13.0% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.1 1.3 11.7
9-7 2.4% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.2
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.5 4.7 10.5 84.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.5% 100.0% 15.1 12.3 69.2 18.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.4%
Lose Out 1.3%