Preseason Rankings
Vermont
America East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#111
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.4#352
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#159
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#82
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 1.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.8% 45.6% 33.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.3 12.6 13.6
.500 or above 91.5% 97.5% 89.2%
.500 or above in Conference 95.0% 97.9% 94.0%
Conference Champion 49.0% 59.9% 44.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four1.2% 0.7% 1.4%
First Round36.3% 45.4% 32.9%
Second Round6.5% 10.1% 5.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.9% 3.1% 1.4%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 35 - 45 - 6
Quad 416 - 322 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 88   @ UAB L 65-71 28%    
  Nov 06, 2024 10   @ Auburn L 61-76 7%    
  Nov 09, 2024 243   @ Merrimack W 64-59 67%    
  Nov 15, 2024 210   @ Iona W 66-63 61%    
  Nov 19, 2024 337   Buffalo W 76-58 94%    
  Nov 23, 2024 187   Delaware W 67-62 66%    
  Nov 24, 2024 237   Fairfield W 70-63 74%    
  Nov 30, 2024 220   Northeastern W 69-59 80%    
  Dec 03, 2024 181   Brown W 68-61 74%    
  Dec 07, 2024 113   @ Yale L 61-64 41%    
  Dec 15, 2024 171   @ Colgate W 64-63 53%    
  Dec 18, 2024 233   Miami (OH) W 70-60 81%    
  Dec 21, 2024 313   @ Dartmouth W 66-57 77%    
  Jan 04, 2025 305   @ New Hampshire W 71-63 75%    
  Jan 09, 2025 143   @ Umass Lowell L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 169   @ Bryant W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 16, 2025 318   Binghamton W 72-57 90%    
  Jan 23, 2025 343   NJIT W 73-55 94%    
  Jan 25, 2025 272   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-67 84%    
  Jan 30, 2025 318   @ Binghamton W 69-60 78%    
  Feb 01, 2025 253   Maine W 67-56 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 259   @ Albany W 74-68 68%    
  Feb 13, 2025 305   New Hampshire W 74-60 88%    
  Feb 15, 2025 253   @ Maine W 64-59 67%    
  Feb 20, 2025 169   Bryant W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 22, 2025 143   Umass Lowell W 71-65 68%    
  Feb 27, 2025 343   @ NJIT W 70-58 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 272   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-70 69%    
  Mar 04, 2025 259   Albany W 77-65 83%    
Projected Record 20 - 9 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.5 11.4 14.3 11.3 5.0 49.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.5 8.1 4.9 1.2 23.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.7 4.1 1.4 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.0 0.1 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.5 4.1 6.4 9.1 12.4 15.1 16.3 15.4 11.3 5.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 5.0    5.0
15-1 100.0% 11.3    10.8 0.4
14-2 92.3% 14.3    11.8 2.4 0.0
13-3 69.7% 11.4    7.1 4.0 0.3
12-4 36.7% 5.5    2.2 2.6 0.8 0.1
11-5 11.6% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 49.0% 49.0 37.1 10.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 5.0% 73.8% 72.1% 1.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 6.1%
15-1 11.3% 63.0% 62.5% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.2 1.2%
14-2 15.4% 52.2% 52.2% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.4 0.0%
13-3 16.3% 41.0% 41.0% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.8 2.3 2.4 1.1 0.2 9.6 0.0%
12-4 15.1% 33.5% 33.5% 14.1 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.3 10.0
11-5 12.4% 25.2% 25.2% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.6 9.3
10-6 9.1% 18.7% 18.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 7.4
9-7 6.4% 12.4% 12.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 5.6
8-8 4.1% 9.2% 9.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.7
7-9 2.5% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.3
6-10 1.3% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 1.3
5-11 0.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-12 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 36.8% 36.7% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.0 7.2 9.9 8.5 5.5 2.7 63.2 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.4 4.1 12.9 10.2 23.8 22.4 23.8 2.7