America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
151 Vermont 25.5%   2 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 11 11 - 5 +0.4      -2.4 244 +2.8 95 60.4 356 -1.3 206 0.0 1
155 Umass Lowell 25.7%   15   1 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 +0.3      +0.8 156 -0.5 191 73.3 74 +2.8 144 0.0 1
160 Bryant 24.5%   2 - 1 0 - 0 17 - 12 11 - 5 0.0      -0.3 184 +0.3 155 82.7 6 -1.6 211 0.0 1
236 Maine 10.2%   1 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 14 9 - 7 -3.8      -5.1 318 +1.3 132 65.0 299 -3.3 230 0.0 1
246 Albany 9.0%   2 - 1 0 - 0 15 - 14 9 - 7 -4.2      -1.7 221 -2.5 255 77.3 31 -4.0 241 0.0 1
311 Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.4%   1 - 3 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 9 -8.5      -0.9 197 -7.6 360 77.2 32 -17.7 355 0.0 1
330 Binghamton 1.8%   0 - 4 0 - 0 9 - 19 6 - 10 -9.6      -4.6 306 -5.1 333 66.1 271 -11.2 313 0.0 1
341 New Hampshire 0.8%   0 - 6 0 - 0 6 - 23 5 - 11 -11.9      -7.0 346 -4.9 326 70.8 132 -19.8 362 0.0 1
360 NJIT 0.2%   0 - 5 0 - 0 5 - 25 3 - 13 -14.6      -9.0 360 -5.6 342 64.4 312 -21.3 363 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.5 34.4 24.5 18.0 11.6 6.6 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
Umass Lowell 2.6 33.8 23.8 17.4 11.5 7.3 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1
Bryant 2.7 31.1 23.8 18.3 12.2 7.8 4.1 1.8 0.8 0.2
Maine 3.9 10.9 14.6 17.5 18.9 16.7 11.4 6.2 2.8 1.0
Albany 4.1 9.9 13.4 16.3 18.2 17.4 12.3 7.5 3.7 1.3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.8 1.9 3.9 7.1 11.3 16.6 20.6 18.4 13.2 6.9
Binghamton 6.2 1.1 2.5 5.2 8.7 13.9 19.5 21.2 17.7 10.2
New Hampshire 7.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.6 8.8 15.4 21.9 26.3 19.7
NJIT 7.8 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.2 8.7 16.0 26.5 41.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.4 6.0 9.5 13.1 16.2 16.6 14.9 10.7 5.3 1.6
Umass Lowell 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.0 6.6 9.4 13.0 15.2 16.0 14.3 10.7 5.6 1.6
Bryant 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.3 6.9 10.2 13.5 15.4 15.7 13.8 9.4 5.1 1.5
Maine 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.6 7.7 10.8 13.4 15.1 14.3 12.3 8.8 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.2
Albany 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.5 8.6 11.4 13.6 14.5 13.5 11.3 8.1 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7 - 9 0.2 1.3 3.6 6.9 10.5 13.7 15.1 14.4 12.3 9.3 6.3 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 6 - 10 0.5 2.5 5.3 9.4 13.6 15.3 14.7 13.3 10.2 7.0 4.4 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 5 - 11 1.3 5.2 10.6 14.8 17.1 16.2 13.2 9.7 6.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
NJIT 3 - 13 5.0 12.6 18.2 19.1 16.5 12.2 8.0 4.4 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 34.4% 23.2 9.1 1.8 0.3 0.0
Umass Lowell 33.8% 23.1 8.6 1.7 0.3 0.0
Bryant 31.1% 20.6 8.4 1.8 0.3 0.0
Maine 10.9% 6.1 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
Albany 9.9% 5.4 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.9% 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 1.1% 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
NJIT 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 25.5% 25.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.9 7.1 7.1 4.6 74.5 0.0%
Umass Lowell 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.3 7.3 6.7 4.0 74.3 0.0%
Bryant 24.5% 24.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.4 6.8 6.8 4.6 75.5 0.0%
Maine 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.9 4.9 89.8 0.0%
Albany 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.9 91.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 97.6 0.0%
Binghamton 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 98.2 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 99.2 0.0%
NJIT 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 25.5% 1.7% 24.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 25.7% 1.7% 25.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 24.5% 1.9% 23.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 10.2% 2.6% 9.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 9.0% 2.2% 7.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.4% 1.9% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 93.3% 0.9 6.7 93.3 0.0
2nd Round 6.5% 0.1 93.5 6.5
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0