America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
224 Vermont 39.8%   16   13 - 10 7 - 3 -3.3      -0.6 178 -2.7 260 62.7 331 -3.6 225 -5.8 3
259 Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.8%   12 - 8 7 - 2 -5.6      -2.7 246 -2.9 265 66.0 248 -5.6 253 -3.8 2
315 NJIT 9.8%   12 - 12 8 - 2 -9.2      -6.7 338 -2.5 252 70.1 137 -5.0 246 -1.6 1
318 Umass Lowell 7.6%   7 - 15 5 - 5 -9.8      -4.9 302 -4.9 313 72.6 75 -10.1 322 -9.3 4
325 Albany 5.5%   5 - 17 4 - 6 -10.2      -4.6 296 -5.6 328 65.8 257 -12.3 342 -12.9 8
327 New Hampshire 5.9%   6 - 14 4 - 5 -10.5      -7.5 347 -3.0 266 68.7 180 -10.2 324 -10.0 5
338 Maine 3.9%   5 - 19 4 - 6 -11.6      -10.0 359 -1.6 226 63.5 321 -14.0 351 -11.9 6
342 Bryant 3.5%   6 - 16 4 - 6 -12.1      -7.4 346 -4.7 309 63.6 318 -11.8 339 -12.8 7
361 Binghamton 0.2%   2 - 20 1 - 9 -16.7      -8.9 353 -7.7 355 64.7 286 -20.9 364 -20.8 9


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 12 315 NJIT 70 327 New Hampshire 71 57%   
Thu, Feb 12 342 Bryant 69 318 Umass Lowell 74 69%   
Thu, Feb 12 338 Maine 65 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. 68 61%   
Thu, Feb 12 361 Binghamton 64 224 Vermont 74 83%   
Sat, Feb 14 338 Maine 67 315 NJIT 66 52%   
Sat, Feb 14 327 New Hampshire 70 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. 72 57%   
Sat, Feb 14 342 Bryant 62 224 Vermont 74 86%   
Sat, Feb 14 361 Binghamton 69 325 Albany 72 63%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.7 49.6 32.6 15.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.8 48.1 28.3 18.5 3.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
NJIT 2.1 33.1 32.2 29.9 4.2 0.6 0.1
Umass Lowell 4.3 0.9 4.5 14.4 43.4 21.3 9.8 4.2 1.5 0.0
Albany 6.0 0.1 0.3 2.3 11.9 22.6 26.7 21.4 14.3 0.4
New Hampshire 5.0 0.4 2.6 9.9 28.4 26.2 15.7 9.8 6.9 0.1
Maine 5.9 0.0 0.5 3.0 14.6 20.3 24.4 21.1 15.5 0.6
Bryant 6.5 0.0 0.1 1.1 7.6 14.0 22.6 29.0 24.5 1.2
Binghamton 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 6.1 90.8

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 11 - 5 17 - 12 0.0 0.4 3.9 14.2 30.5 34.7 16.3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 5 16 - 11 0.3 1.9 7.6 17.2 26.0 26.0 16.4 4.6
NJIT 11 - 5 15 - 15 2.2 11.4 24.6 29.0 21.5 9.6 1.7
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 10 - 18 0.8 6.0 18.8 30.8 28.3 13.2 2.1
Albany 7 - 9 8 - 20 2.6 13.1 28.4 31.2 19.0 5.3 0.5
New Hampshire 8 - 8 10 - 17 0.9 5.5 14.1 24.4 27.3 19.0 7.5 1.2
Maine 7 - 9 8 - 22 3.4 13.9 27.4 27.9 19.1 7.2 1.2
Bryant 6 - 10 8 - 20 4.8 22.2 34.1 25.8 10.8 2.1 0.2
Binghamton 3 - 13 4 - 24 13.9 30.4 31.3 17.1 6.1 1.2 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 49.6% 28.2 16.9 4.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 48.1% 28.1 15.7 4.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
NJIT 33.1% 16.4 12.4 4.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 0.9% 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Albany 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maine 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bryant 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 39.8% 39.8% 0.0% 16   0.2 2.9 12.1 24.6 60.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.3 21.2 76.2 0.0%
NJIT 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 0.3 9.6 90.2 0.0%
Umass Lowell 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0 7.6 92.4 0.0%
Albany 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 5.5 94.5 0.0%
New Hampshire 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.1 5.9 94.1 0.0%
Maine 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 3.9 96.1 0.0%
Bryant 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 3.5 96.5 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 67.4% 0.7 32.6 67.4
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 39.8% 11.6% 34.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.8% 15.5% 16.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 9.8% 8.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 7.6% 7.4% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 5.9% 5.8% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 3.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 3.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%