Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#246
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#301
Pace80.3#8
Improvement+1.8#82

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#174
First Shot+3.0#92
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#336
Layup/Dunks+2.4#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#95
Freethrows-2.1#299
Improvement+0.6#134

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#317
First Shot-5.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks-6.3#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#93
Freethrows-1.0#253
Improvement+1.3#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 9.6% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 33.8% 49.0% 24.7%
.500 or above in Conference 64.6% 71.1% 60.6%
Conference Champion 8.5% 11.0% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 2.1% 3.8%
First Four3.9% 3.6% 4.0%
First Round6.4% 8.0% 5.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 411 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 32   @ Penn St. L 54-103 4%     0 - 1 -33.4 -18.5 -8.3
  Nov 14, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 92-67 92%     1 - 1 +5.0 +10.9 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2024 206   St. Peter's L 61-69 52%     1 - 2 -13.1 -2.3 -12.2
  Nov 19, 2024 248   Hampton L 68-78 62%     1 - 3 -17.8 -2.2 -16.6
  Nov 23, 2024 257   Boston University L 71-75 63%     1 - 4 -12.2 -7.4 -4.7
  Nov 25, 2024 256   Howard W 95-77 63%     2 - 4 +9.9 +17.2 -7.1
  Nov 27, 2024 351   Morgan St. W 92-69 84%     3 - 4 +7.7 -0.2 +5.5
  Dec 02, 2024 66   @ Georgetown L 62-86 8%     3 - 5 -13.0 -12.6 +2.6
  Dec 07, 2024 214   @ Towson W 84-71 31%     4 - 5 +13.4 +9.4 +3.4
  Dec 18, 2024 114   @ Georgia Tech L 82-91 16%     4 - 6 -2.8 +7.5 -9.8
  Dec 21, 2024 230   @ Marist L 73-76 OT 35%     4 - 7 -3.6 -1.9 -1.6
  Dec 29, 2024 241   @ American L 74-77 37%    
  Jan 04, 2025 314   @ Binghamton W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 09, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 16, 2025 354   New Hampshire W 83-72 85%    
  Jan 18, 2025 216   Maine W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 23, 2025 234   @ Albany L 83-87 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 221   @ Vermont L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 30, 2025 179   Bryant L 88-89 47%    
  Feb 01, 2025 144   Umass Lowell L 85-87 41%    
  Feb 06, 2025 354   @ New Hampshire W 80-75 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 216   @ Maine L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 13, 2025 314   Binghamton W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 179   @ Bryant L 85-92 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 144   @ Umass Lowell L 82-90 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 352   NJIT W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 27, 2025 234   Albany W 86-84 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 221   Vermont W 73-71 56%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.7 3.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 8.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.1 6.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.4 8.0 3.1 0.1 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.8 7.7 3.3 0.2 16.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.9 6.9 2.7 0.2 0.0 15.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.1 1.5 0.1 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.2 6.4 10.3 13.7 15.4 16.0 13.7 9.5 5.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 98.3% 1.0    0.9 0.1
13-3 82.8% 2.3    1.6 0.6 0.0
12-4 51.8% 3.0    1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0
11-5 17.5% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.5% 8.5 4.3 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 36.6% 36.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 26.6% 26.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-3 2.7% 25.8% 25.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.0
12-4 5.8% 18.9% 18.9% 15.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 4.7
11-5 9.5% 14.5% 14.5% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2
10-6 13.7% 10.5% 10.5% 15.9 0.2 1.2 12.2
9-7 16.0% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.1 1.1 14.8
8-8 15.4% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.9 14.5
7-9 13.7% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.5 13.2
6-10 10.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 10.0
5-11 6.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.2
4-12 3.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.1
3-13 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-14 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.9 91.9 0.0%