Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#288
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#308
Pace75.1#34
Improvement-2.9#306

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#190
First Shot+3.0#95
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#342
Layup/Dunks+2.9#80
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#112
Freethrows-2.2#309
Improvement-1.4#255

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#345
First Shot-6.8#351
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#151
Layups/Dunks-7.7#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#119
Freethrows-0.8#250
Improvement-1.5#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.3% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 0.5% 27.8%
First Four3.9% 4.2% 2.5%
First Round2.0% 2.1% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 79.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 49 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 62   @ Penn St. L 54-103 6%     0 - 1 -37.9 -21.4 -9.9
  Nov 14, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 92-67 90%     1 - 1 +4.0 +11.0 -7.7
  Nov 16, 2024 292   St. Peter's L 61-69 60%     1 - 2 -17.7 -2.5 -16.6
  Nov 19, 2024 250   Hampton L 68-78 52%     1 - 3 -17.4 -1.7 -16.6
  Nov 23, 2024 300   Boston University L 71-75 63%     1 - 4 -14.4 -7.5 -6.7
  Nov 25, 2024 305   Howard W 95-77 65%     2 - 4 +7.1 +14.1 -6.9
  Nov 27, 2024 330   Morgan St. W 92-69 72%     3 - 4 +10.0 -0.3 +7.8
  Dec 02, 2024 73   @ Georgetown L 62-86 6%     3 - 5 -13.7 -10.8 +0.1
  Dec 07, 2024 157   @ Towson W 84-71 17%     4 - 5 +16.0 +10.8 +4.5
  Dec 18, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech L 82-91 9%     4 - 6 -1.6 +8.9 -9.9
  Dec 21, 2024 223   @ Marist L 73-76 OT 27%     4 - 7 -3.7 -0.7 -2.9
  Dec 29, 2024 247   @ American W 96-93 2OT 32%     5 - 7 +0.7 +6.4 -6.1
  Jan 04, 2025 299   @ Binghamton L 82-87 43%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -10.1 +9.1 -19.4
  Jan 09, 2025 346   @ NJIT W 87-64 62%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +12.9 +8.1 +3.8
  Jan 16, 2025 355   New Hampshire L 76-79 81%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -19.3 -2.7 -16.7
  Jan 18, 2025 209   Maine L 62-87 43%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -30.1 -12.7 -16.6
  Jan 23, 2025 267   @ Albany W 92-87 OT 35%     7 - 10 2 - 3 +2.0 +5.2 -3.9
  Jan 25, 2025 230   @ Vermont W 80-63 28%     8 - 10 3 - 3 +15.9 +17.0 +0.3
  Jan 30, 2025 161   Bryant L 86-92 33%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -8.5 +5.8 -13.9
  Feb 01, 2025 225   Umass Lowell L 67-83 46%     8 - 12 3 - 5 -22.0 -11.1 -11.0
  Feb 06, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire L 78-79 66%     8 - 13 3 - 6 -12.2 +0.4 -12.6
  Feb 08, 2025 209   @ Maine L 50-73 25%     8 - 14 3 - 7 -23.0 -19.3 -4.0
  Feb 13, 2025 299   Binghamton W 81-77 62%     9 - 14 4 - 7 -6.2 -0.3 -6.1
  Feb 15, 2025 161   @ Bryant L 79-81 18%     9 - 15 4 - 8 +0.6 +4.1 -3.4
  Feb 20, 2025 225   @ Umass Lowell L 79-98 28%     9 - 16 4 - 9 -19.9 +4.1 -24.4
  Feb 22, 2025 346   NJIT W 78-70 80%    
  Feb 27, 2025 267   Albany W 80-79 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 230   Vermont L 69-70 48%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 2.4 2.4 4th
5th 1.4 8.9 10.3 5th
6th 1.2 16.4 9.3 26.9 6th
7th 16.9 25.4 1.7 44.0 7th
8th 4.0 10.1 1.0 0.0 15.0 8th
9th 1.2 0.1 1.3 9th
Total 5.2 28.3 44.2 22.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 22.4% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.3 21.1
6-10 44.2% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 1.7 42.5
5-11 28.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.9 27.4
4-12 5.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.1
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 16.0 4.0 96.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.7%
Lose Out 4.7%