Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#271
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#311
Pace78.4#13
Improvement-2.6#300

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#171
First Shot+3.6#77
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#338
Layup/Dunks+3.2#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows-2.2#308
Improvement-0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#342
First Shot-6.7#351
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks-7.5#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#124
Freethrows-0.8#244
Improvement-2.4#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.6% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 10.0% 18.8% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 27.3% 44.3% 17.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 2.9% 11.2%
First Four3.5% 3.7% 3.4%
First Round3.0% 3.9% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Away) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 49 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 50   @ Penn St. L 54-103 4%     0 - 1 -35.6 -20.6 -8.5
  Nov 14, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 92-67 89%     1 - 1 +5.4 +11.0 -6.3
  Nov 16, 2024 231   St. Peter's L 61-69 52%     1 - 2 -14.7 -0.2 -15.8
  Nov 19, 2024 254   Hampton L 68-78 57%     1 - 3 -18.1 -1.7 -17.3
  Nov 23, 2024 283   Boston University L 71-75 63%     1 - 4 -13.6 -6.7 -6.8
  Nov 25, 2024 280   Howard W 95-77 63%     2 - 4 +8.5 +13.7 -5.1
  Nov 27, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 92-69 77%     3 - 4 +9.0 -0.8 +7.3
  Dec 02, 2024 71   @ Georgetown L 62-86 7%     3 - 5 -13.3 -10.4 +0.1
  Dec 07, 2024 175   @ Towson W 84-71 22%     4 - 5 +14.9 +9.6 +4.7
  Dec 18, 2024 105   @ Georgia Tech L 82-91 12%     4 - 6 -2.6 +8.0 -10.0
  Dec 21, 2024 217   @ Marist L 73-76 OT 29%     4 - 7 -3.6 +0.4 -3.8
  Dec 29, 2024 235   @ American W 96-93 2OT 33%     5 - 7 +1.4 +7.2 -6.2
  Jan 04, 2025 323   @ Binghamton L 82-87 52%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -11.8 +6.3 -18.3
  Jan 09, 2025 356   @ NJIT W 87-64 68%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +12.1 +9.0 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2025 352   New Hampshire L 76-79 81%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -18.6 -0.4 -18.2
  Jan 18, 2025 201   Maine L 62-87 44%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -29.6 -12.3 -16.5
  Jan 23, 2025 258   @ Albany L 82-85 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 213   @ Vermont L 69-75 27%    
  Jan 30, 2025 159   Bryant L 86-90 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 190   Umass Lowell L 84-86 44%    
  Feb 06, 2025 352   @ New Hampshire W 80-76 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 201   @ Maine L 73-80 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 323   Binghamton W 82-76 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 159   @ Bryant L 84-93 19%    
  Feb 20, 2025 190   @ Umass Lowell L 81-89 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 356   NJIT W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 27, 2025 258   Albany W 84-82 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 213   Vermont L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.1 1.7 0.3 4.5 3rd
4th 0.8 3.4 4.2 0.9 9.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.7 8.9 8.6 2.0 0.1 22.3 5th
6th 0.9 6.6 13.6 8.9 1.8 0.1 31.9 6th
7th 0.4 4.3 8.3 4.5 0.7 18.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.0 4.0 1.7 0.2 9.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.2 9th
Total 0.2 1.3 4.8 9.7 16.7 20.9 19.2 14.2 8.4 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 76.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 16.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
10-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.2% 0.2
11-5 1.1% 20.0% 20.0% 15.5 0.1 0.1 0.8
10-6 3.4% 13.8% 13.8% 15.8 0.1 0.4 2.9
9-7 8.4% 8.2% 8.2% 15.9 0.1 0.6 7.7
8-8 14.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9 13.3
7-9 19.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.9 18.3
6-10 20.9% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.8 20.2
5-11 16.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.5 16.2
4-12 9.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 9.5
3-13 4.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.7
2-14 1.3% 1.3
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.3 4.3 95.5 0.0%