Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#288
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#338
Pace65.1#298
Improvement+1.0#85

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#285
First Shot-2.8#254
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#241
Layup/Dunks-2.0#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#135
Freethrows-1.7#261
Improvement-0.2#203

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#254
First Shot-2.2#254
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks-0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#312
Freethrows+1.4#108
Improvement+1.2#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 9.2% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 29.8% 41.2% 20.1%
.500 or above in Conference 54.2% 61.7% 47.8%
Conference Champion 8.4% 10.9% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 7.1% 12.8%
First Four4.8% 5.4% 4.2%
First Round5.1% 6.6% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 1214 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 155   Northeastern L 72-80 36%     0 - 1 -10.7 +2.3 -13.6
  Nov 08, 2024 299   @ San Diego L 60-74 42%     0 - 2 -18.3 -5.7 -14.3
  Nov 11, 2024 28   @ UCLA L 40-71 3%     0 - 3 -15.2 -24.8 +10.7
  Nov 16, 2024 340   Dartmouth W 78-50 78%     1 - 3 +13.5 +2.7 +11.7
  Nov 19, 2024 280   Wagner L 58-60 61%     1 - 4 -11.1 -5.4 -6.0
  Nov 23, 2024 314   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-77 46%    
  Nov 24, 2024 230   Howard L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 01, 2024 325   Sacred Heart W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 07, 2024 243   Albany W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 13, 2024 228   @ Merrimack L 62-68 29%    
  Dec 21, 2024 156   @ Umass Lowell L 67-77 20%    
  Dec 29, 2024 235   @ Maine L 61-67 31%    
  Jan 02, 2025 244   @ Lafayette L 63-68 33%    
  Jan 05, 2025 294   Army W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 08, 2025 263   American W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 183   @ Colgate L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 15, 2025 283   Lehigh W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 294   @ Army L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 22, 2025 310   @ Navy L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 231   Bucknell W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 27, 2025 315   Holy Cross W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 336   @ Loyola Maryland W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 05, 2025 310   Navy W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 315   @ Holy Cross L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 231   @ Bucknell L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 183   Colgate L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 19, 2025 336   Loyola Maryland W 69-62 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 263   @ American L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 26, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 244   Lafayette W 66-65 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 2.5 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 8.4 1st
2nd 0.3 2.3 4.1 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.0 4.9 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.1 5.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 5.8 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 5.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.2 3.6 0.3 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.1 0.6 9.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.8 6.1 8.9 11.1 12.7 12.6 11.7 10.1 7.8 5.9 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 95.2% 0.7    0.7 0.0
15-3 87.8% 1.5    1.3 0.2
14-4 69.1% 2.3    1.5 0.6 0.2
13-5 42.1% 2.5    1.1 0.9 0.5 0.0
12-6 12.1% 0.9    0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 5.1 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.1
17-1 0.2% 27.0% 27.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.7% 43.9% 43.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.7% 31.2% 31.2% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.2
14-4 3.4% 26.3% 26.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5
13-5 5.9% 19.5% 19.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 4.7
12-6 7.8% 14.0% 14.0% 15.9 0.1 1.0 6.7
11-7 10.1% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0 9.1
10-8 11.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.0 10.7
9-9 12.6% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.7 11.9
8-10 12.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 12.2
7-11 11.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.9
6-12 8.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.8
5-13 6.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.4 92.5 0.0%