Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#257
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#291
Pace61.5#344
Improvement+0.9#128

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#250
First Shot-2.9#259
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#178
Layup/Dunks-4.0#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#80
Freethrows-2.7#325
Improvement+0.4#143

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#245
First Shot-2.6#263
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks+0.1#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#264
Freethrows+0.3#164
Improvement+0.5#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.1% 14.5% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 41.0% 57.6% 33.6%
.500 or above in Conference 67.7% 74.6% 64.6%
Conference Champion 15.8% 19.8% 14.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 4.4% 7.5%
First Four6.7% 6.4% 6.9%
First Round9.0% 11.5% 7.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Away) - 30.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 414 - 1115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 165   Northeastern L 72-80 43%     0 - 1 -11.4 +4.5 -16.5
  Nov 08, 2024 316   @ San Diego L 60-74 52%     0 - 2 -19.8 -5.2 -16.3
  Nov 11, 2024 18   @ UCLA L 40-71 3%     0 - 3 -12.8 -22.1 +10.4
  Nov 16, 2024 279   Dartmouth W 78-50 66%     1 - 3 +18.7 +4.4 +15.2
  Nov 19, 2024 308   Wagner L 58-60 71%     1 - 4 -13.0 -6.0 -7.3
  Nov 23, 2024 246   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-71 37%     2 - 4 +2.3 -2.6 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2024 256   Howard W 69-62 50%     3 - 4 +1.9 -2.3 +4.8
  Dec 01, 2024 285   Sacred Heart L 65-73 67%     3 - 5 -17.6 -11.6 -6.2
  Dec 07, 2024 234   Albany W 80-74 OT 56%     4 - 5 -0.7 +3.1 -3.8
  Dec 13, 2024 195   @ Merrimack L 61-64 27%     4 - 6 -1.7 +4.8 -7.2
  Dec 21, 2024 144   @ Umass Lowell L 71-83 20%     4 - 7 -8.3 +5.2 -14.8
  Dec 29, 2024 216   @ Maine L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 02, 2025 267   @ Lafayette L 63-66 40%    
  Jan 05, 2025 296   Army W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 08, 2025 241   American W 65-63 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 228   @ Colgate L 63-68 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 249   Lehigh W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 296   @ Army L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 22, 2025 317   @ Navy W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 265   Bucknell W 67-64 62%    
  Jan 27, 2025 311   Holy Cross W 71-65 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 323   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 05, 2025 317   Navy W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 311   @ Holy Cross W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 12, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 228   Colgate W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 19, 2025 323   Loyola Maryland W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 241   @ American L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 249   @ Lehigh L 68-71 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 267   Lafayette W 66-63 62%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.7 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 15.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.2 5.6 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 4.4 6.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.2 3.2 6.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.9 3.2 0.2 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.2 0.3 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.6 3.2 0.6 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 6.0 8.9 11.0 13.0 14.2 13.1 11.0 7.8 4.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 99.8% 1.0    1.0 0.0
15-3 95.9% 2.3    2.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 84.0% 4.0    3.0 1.0 0.1
13-5 59.7% 4.7    2.4 1.8 0.4 0.0
12-6 26.0% 2.9    0.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 4.6% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.8% 15.8 9.5 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 37.8% 37.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 34.6% 34.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.4% 29.5% 29.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.7
14-4 4.8% 27.4% 27.4% 15.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 3.5
13-5 7.8% 23.7% 23.7% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.4 6.0
12-6 11.0% 18.8% 18.8% 15.9 0.2 1.9 9.0
11-7 13.1% 14.4% 14.4% 15.9 0.1 1.8 11.2
10-8 14.2% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7 12.5
9-9 13.0% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1 12.0
8-10 11.0% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.5 10.5
7-11 8.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.3 8.6
6-12 6.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 5.9
5-13 3.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.6
4-14 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.1% 12.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 9.7 87.9 0.0%