Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#283
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#285
Pace72.7#85
Improvement+1.5#46

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#258
First Shot+1.1#137
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#348
Layup/Dunks-2.4#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#90
Freethrows-0.6#211
Improvement+1.3#33

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#292
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#343
Layups/Dunks-2.0#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#153
Freethrows+2.9#53
Improvement+0.2#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 10.0% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 30.6% 38.9% 17.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.7% 61.4% 46.9%
Conference Champion 9.6% 11.6% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 7.5% 13.3%
First Four4.4% 4.6% 4.0%
First Round6.3% 7.6% 4.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Away) - 60.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 411 - 912 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 74   @ Northwestern L 46-90 7%     0 - 1 -33.3 -19.5 -15.4
  Nov 06, 2024 126   @ Georgetown L 77-85 14%     0 - 2 -2.5 +1.4 -3.6
  Nov 12, 2024 192   @ Columbia L 75-76 23%     0 - 3 +0.5 +7.8 -7.4
  Nov 15, 2024 28   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -23.9 -13.9 -13.0
  Nov 26, 2024 343   @ St. Francis (PA) W 75-72 61%    
  Nov 30, 2024 234   Marist W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 04, 2024 261   Monmouth W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 07, 2024 64   @ Dayton L 64-82 5%    
  Dec 21, 2024 337   @ LIU Brooklyn W 77-75 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 233   Bucknell W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 05, 2025 334   @ Loyola Maryland W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 08, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 11, 2025 303   Army W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 15, 2025 284   @ Boston University L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 334   Loyola Maryland W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 22, 2025 265   @ American L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 237   Lafayette W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 313   Navy W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 318   @ Holy Cross L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 03, 2025 189   Colgate L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 265   American W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 313   @ Navy L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 318   Holy Cross W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 17, 2025 233   @ Bucknell L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 237   @ Lafayette L 67-73 32%    
  Feb 26, 2025 284   Boston University W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 303   @ Army L 67-69 44%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 9.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.9 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.8 0.6 0.1 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.4 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.3 3.9 6.2 8.3 10.6 11.8 12.5 11.7 10.2 8.1 5.8 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 97.2% 1.0    0.9 0.0
15-3 88.6% 2.0    1.5 0.4 0.0
14-4 70.9% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
13-5 39.3% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 13.4% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.7 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 50.4% 50.4% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 41.6% 41.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.2% 33.2% 33.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.5
14-4 3.8% 24.2% 24.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.9
13-5 5.8% 21.0% 21.0% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 4.6
12-6 8.1% 14.9% 14.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.9
11-7 10.2% 11.8% 11.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 9.0
10-8 11.7% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.7
9-9 12.5% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.7
8-10 11.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 11.4
7-11 10.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 10.4
6-12 8.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.2
5-13 6.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-14 3.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 6.1 91.5 0.0%