Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#302
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#251
Pace67.8#206
Improvement-1.2#235

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#281
First Shot-2.5#241
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#275
Layup/Dunks+0.3#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#72
Freethrows-3.6#355
Improvement-1.1#258

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#289
First Shot-3.7#298
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#209
Layups/Dunks-2.3#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#317
Freethrows+1.8#63
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 7.7% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 38.7% 52.8% 27.8%
.500 or above in Conference 66.2% 80.2% 55.3%
Conference Champion 6.1% 10.1% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.0% 6.9%
First Four5.0% 5.2% 4.9%
First Round3.8% 4.7% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 5
Quad 414 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 258   Albany W 67-59 51%     1 - 0 -0.2 -8.6 +8.7
  Nov 08, 2024 1   @ Duke L 58-100 0.5%    1 - 1 -15.6 -2.8 -12.3
  Nov 15, 2024 217   @ Marist L 88-91 OT 24%     1 - 2 -3.6 +18.3 -21.9
  Nov 20, 2024 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 67%     2 - 2 +1.5 +2.9 -1.7
  Nov 22, 2024 296   @ Manhattan L 79-80 39%     2 - 3 -6.1 -1.6 -4.4
  Dec 03, 2024 349   @ Le Moyne W 103-100 3OT 58%     3 - 3 -7.0 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 08, 2024 143   Cornell L 84-103 26%     3 - 4 -20.2 +4.4 -24.1
  Dec 13, 2024 118   @ George Washington L 60-75 11%     3 - 5 -9.7 -4.6 -6.3
  Dec 22, 2024 323   Binghamton L 68-78 65%     3 - 6 -22.0 -13.3 -8.5
  Dec 29, 2024 221   Texas San Antonio W 78-75 42%     4 - 6 -3.0 -7.7 +4.5
  Jan 02, 2025 197   @ Colgate L 59-71 20%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -11.2 -12.1 +0.6
  Jan 05, 2025 283   @ Boston University L 63-71 36%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -12.4 -5.3 -7.7
  Jan 08, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland W 74-72 63%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -9.4 +1.3 -10.5
  Jan 11, 2025 297   @ Lehigh W 74-69 39%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -0.1 -4.0 +3.7
  Jan 15, 2025 277   Lafayette W 70-68 55%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -7.1 +3.4 -10.3
  Jan 18, 2025 283   Boston University W 68-62 56%     8 - 8 4 - 2 -3.6 +4.7 -7.1
  Jan 22, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 72-73 44%    
  Jan 26, 2025 292   Navy W 73-71 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 197   Colgate L 68-72 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 235   @ American L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 05, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 267   Bucknell W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 12, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 292   @ Navy L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 19, 2025 235   American L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 23, 2025 267   @ Bucknell L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 25, 2025 277   @ Lafayette L 66-70 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 297   Lehigh W 73-71 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 5.9 5.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 8.0 6.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 17.2 3rd
4th 0.5 6.7 7.0 1.2 0.1 15.5 4th
5th 0.1 4.0 7.8 1.7 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 7.8 2.4 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.4 4.1 3.7 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.2 0.9 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.5 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 5.0 10.4 16.7 18.3 18.6 14.3 8.8 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 94.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 79.3% 1.3    0.9 0.4
13-5 49.0% 2.1    1.1 0.8 0.2
12-6 19.8% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1
11-7 4.1% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 2.8 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.4% 35.1% 35.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.6% 20.7% 20.7% 15.6 0.1 0.2 1.3
13-5 4.2% 12.1% 12.1% 15.9 0.1 0.5 3.7
12-6 8.8% 13.5% 13.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2 7.6
11-7 14.3% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3 13.0
10-8 18.6% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4 17.1
9-9 18.3% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 1.1 17.2
8-10 16.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 16.2
7-11 10.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.3
6-12 5.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.0
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.3 93.4 0.0%