Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#294
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#227
Pace61.6#349
Improvement-1.0#281

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#293
First Shot-2.4#248
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#268
Layup/Dunks-2.0#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#127
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+0.7#87

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#265
First Shot-1.3#225
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#285
Layups/Dunks-1.5#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#301
Freethrows+1.1#123
Improvement-1.7#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 8.1% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 42.5% 54.2% 31.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.8% 55.1% 42.8%
Conference Champion 6.9% 8.7% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 9.2% 16.2%
First Four3.0% 3.3% 2.7%
First Round4.8% 6.2% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Away) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 413 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 243   Albany W 67-59 51%     1 - 0 +0.8 -7.3 +8.4
  Nov 08, 2024 5   @ Duke L 58-100 1%     1 - 1 -19.7 -4.1 -15.0
  Nov 15, 2024 233   @ Marist L 88-91 OT 27%     1 - 2 -3.6 +14.3 -17.8
  Nov 20, 2024 348   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 80%     2 - 2 -1.7 -0.9 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 329   @ Manhattan L 67-68 48%    
  Dec 03, 2024 337   @ Le Moyne W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 08, 2024 209   Cornell L 73-75 44%    
  Dec 13, 2024 144   @ George Washington L 66-77 16%    
  Dec 22, 2024 330   Binghamton W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 29, 2024 273   Texas San Antonio W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 02, 2025 183   @ Colgate L 59-68 21%    
  Jan 05, 2025 288   @ Boston University L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 08, 2025 336   Loyola Maryland W 68-61 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 244   Lafayette W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 288   Boston University W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 22, 2025 315   @ Holy Cross L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 26, 2025 310   Navy W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 29, 2025 183   Colgate L 62-65 42%    
  Feb 01, 2025 263   @ American L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 05, 2025 315   Holy Cross W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 231   Bucknell L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 336   @ Loyola Maryland W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 310   @ Navy L 66-68 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 263   American W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 23, 2025 231   @ Bucknell L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 25, 2025 244   @ Lafayette L 61-67 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 283   Lehigh W 71-69 58%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.9 1st
2nd 0.3 2.2 3.3 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.8 4.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 5.1 2.5 0.3 10.9 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 5.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.6 3.1 0.2 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.1 3.7 0.5 11.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 2.2 4.9 3.2 0.4 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.1 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.7 5.0 7.3 9.9 11.4 12.9 12.6 10.7 9.3 6.7 4.5 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.5% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 88.4% 1.2    1.1 0.2
14-4 72.0% 2.0    1.4 0.6 0.0
13-5 40.1% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 13.3% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 56.9% 56.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 29.2% 29.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.4% 30.4% 30.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.8% 26.7% 26.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 2.0
13-5 4.5% 18.6% 18.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 3.6
12-6 6.7% 14.4% 14.4% 15.8 0.2 0.8 5.7
11-7 9.3% 9.9% 9.9% 15.9 0.1 0.8 8.4
10-8 10.7% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.9
9-9 12.6% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.8
8-10 12.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.5
7-11 11.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.1
6-12 9.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.8
5-13 7.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 4.6 93.5 0.0%