Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#296
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#261
Pace65.3#271
Improvement-2.7#313

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#263
First Shot-2.0#227
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#261
Layup/Dunks-0.4#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#60
Freethrows-3.0#335
Improvement-0.5#214

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#301
First Shot-3.2#287
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#252
Layups/Dunks-1.2#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#353
Freethrows+2.7#35
Improvement-2.2#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 7.7% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 32.6% 39.9% 18.1%
.500 or above in Conference 47.0% 51.6% 38.0%
Conference Champion 7.8% 9.1% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.8% 13.3% 20.7%
First Four4.1% 4.4% 3.7%
First Round4.7% 5.4% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 66.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 413 - 1013 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 234   Albany W 67-59 48%     1 - 0 +1.3 -8.0 +9.5
  Nov 08, 2024 2   @ Duke L 58-100 1%     1 - 1 -17.3 -2.4 -14.4
  Nov 15, 2024 230   @ Marist L 88-91 OT 26%     1 - 2 -3.6 +16.1 -19.7
  Nov 20, 2024 333   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 72%     2 - 2 +0.8 +0.9 -0.4
  Nov 22, 2024 275   @ Manhattan L 79-80 35%     2 - 3 -4.2 +0.1 -4.3
  Dec 03, 2024 330   @ Le Moyne W 103-100 3OT 49%     3 - 3 -3.9 -1.3 -3.4
  Dec 08, 2024 122   Cornell L 84-103 26%     3 - 4 -19.7 +6.0 -25.2
  Dec 13, 2024 136   @ George Washington L 60-75 14%     3 - 5 -10.7 -6.5 -5.4
  Dec 22, 2024 314   Binghamton W 70-66 67%    
  Dec 29, 2024 225   Texas San Antonio L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 02, 2025 228   @ Colgate L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 05, 2025 257   @ Boston University L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 08, 2025 323   Loyola Maryland W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 249   @ Lehigh L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 15, 2025 267   Lafayette W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 257   Boston University W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 22, 2025 311   @ Holy Cross L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 26, 2025 317   Navy W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 29, 2025 228   Colgate L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 241   @ American L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 311   Holy Cross W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 265   Bucknell W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 12, 2025 323   @ Loyola Maryland L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 317   @ Navy L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 241   American W 67-66 50%    
  Feb 23, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 25, 2025 267   @ Lafayette L 65-70 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 249   Lehigh W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.2 3.3 5.0 1.4 0.1 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 5.7 2.1 0.1 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.1 4.3 0.3 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.5 4.5 0.7 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.0 3.8 0.9 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.0 2.3 0.7 0.0 9.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 5.0 7.8 10.3 12.2 13.6 12.8 11.5 8.8 6.3 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 95.8% 0.9    0.8 0.1
14-4 84.6% 1.9    1.4 0.5 0.0
13-5 59.5% 2.4    1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 27.9% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 25.4% 25.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 36.5% 36.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 26.8% 26.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7
14-4 2.2% 24.1% 24.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.7
13-5 4.0% 18.8% 18.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 3.2
12-6 6.3% 15.9% 15.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.3
11-7 8.8% 12.4% 12.4% 15.9 0.1 1.0 7.7
10-8 11.5% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1 10.4
9-9 12.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 12.0
8-10 13.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 13.0
7-11 12.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.9
6-12 10.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.2
5-13 7.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.7
4-14 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 2.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.8 93.2 0.0%