Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#333
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#339
Pace77.0#25
Improvement+2.6#53

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#268
First Shot-2.1#233
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#258
Layup/Dunks+0.2#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#134
Freethrows-1.0#245
Improvement-0.1#178

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#352
First Shot-4.6#325
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#336
Layups/Dunks-6.3#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#9
Freethrows-2.4#325
Improvement+2.7#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 10.3% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.4% 12.6% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.8% 68.3% 56.4%
Conference Champion 7.6% 11.5% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 5.4% 9.6%
First Four7.7% 9.8% 7.4%
First Round3.3% 4.5% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 11.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 410 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 105   @ Miami (FL) L 72-113 6%     0 - 1 -33.4 -5.4 -25.5
  Nov 10, 2024 46   @ Creighton L 70-96 2%     0 - 2 -12.2 -3.9 -5.5
  Nov 13, 2024 53   @ Nebraska L 60-86 3%     0 - 3 -13.0 -7.3 -4.9
  Nov 17, 2024 275   Manhattan W 85-82 46%     1 - 3 -6.2 +6.3 -12.5
  Nov 20, 2024 296   @ Army L 70-84 28%     1 - 4 -18.2 -6.9 -11.0
  Nov 26, 2024 206   St. Peter's L 76-78 31%     1 - 5 -7.1 +6.1 -13.3
  Dec 01, 2024 298   @ Fairfield L 74-78 29%     1 - 6 -8.3 -2.6 -5.7
  Dec 04, 2024 177   @ Fordham L 75-84 13%     1 - 7 -6.9 -3.8 -2.2
  Dec 11, 2024 48   @ Villanova L 72-86 2%     1 - 8 -0.5 +8.1 -10.0
  Dec 18, 2024 164   @ La Salle L 72-77 12%     1 - 9 -2.4 +1.5 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2024 113   @ Minnesota L 60-74 7%     1 - 10 -7.8 -5.5 -2.9
  Dec 28, 2024 170   @ Boston College L 71-84 12%    
  Jan 05, 2025 308   @ Wagner L 64-69 31%    
  Jan 10, 2025 330   @ Le Moyne L 77-80 38%    
  Jan 12, 2025 339   St. Francis (PA) W 82-78 65%    
  Jan 18, 2025 220   Central Connecticut St. L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 20, 2025 361   @ Chicago St. W 78-77 56%    
  Jan 26, 2025 322   @ Stonehill L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 330   Le Moyne W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 359   Mercyhurst W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 220   @ Central Connecticut St. L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 08, 2025 308   Wagner W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 13, 2025 361   Chicago St. W 81-74 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 336   @ LIU Brooklyn L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 20, 2025 359   @ Mercyhurst W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 339   @ St. Francis (PA) L 79-81 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 322   Stonehill W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 336   LIU Brooklyn W 78-74 64%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.8 4.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 6.5 5.3 1.3 0.1 15.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.7 5.5 1.1 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.8 6.1 1.0 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.5 5.7 1.2 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.0 1.5 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.5 1.1 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 4.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.8 8.0 11.6 14.4 15.7 14.4 11.7 8.0 4.8 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 97.1% 0.9    0.8 0.1
13-3 80.3% 1.7    1.2 0.4 0.0
12-4 52.7% 2.5    1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0
11-5 22.6% 1.8    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
10-6 3.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.0 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 37.1% 37.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.1
14-2 0.9% 23.6% 23.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.7
13-3 2.1% 20.4% 20.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.6
12-4 4.8% 19.7% 19.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 3.9
11-5 8.0% 15.1% 15.1% 16.0 1.2 6.8
10-6 11.7% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 1.3 10.5
9-7 14.4% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 1.3 13.0
8-8 15.7% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.0 14.7
7-9 14.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.8 13.7
6-10 11.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 11.2
5-11 8.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 7.8
4-12 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-13 2.3% 2.3
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 92.1 0.0%