Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#318
Expected Predictive Rating-11.3#331
Pace72.3#72
Improvement+3.3#48

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#329
First Shot-4.2#296
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#291
Layup/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#120
Freethrows-1.7#283
Improvement-3.7#331

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#257
First Shot-1.9#234
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#290
Layups/Dunks-5.2#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#6
Freethrows-2.0#309
Improvement+7.0#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 11.9% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 91.2% 100.0% 84.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.2% 11.9% 8.8%
First Round4.3% 4.8% 4.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Away) - 43.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 410 - 1011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 152   @ Miami (FL) L 72-113 13%     0 - 1 -37.9 -8.3 -27.1
  Nov 10, 2024 31   @ Creighton L 70-96 2%     0 - 2 -9.0 -1.4 -4.8
  Nov 13, 2024 48   @ Nebraska L 60-86 3%     0 - 3 -12.4 -7.8 -3.8
  Nov 17, 2024 263   Manhattan W 85-82 45%     1 - 3 -5.0 +6.7 -11.6
  Nov 20, 2024 287   @ Army L 70-84 32%     1 - 4 -18.4 -6.8 -11.3
  Nov 26, 2024 292   St. Peter's L 76-78 52%     1 - 5 -11.7 +5.9 -17.7
  Dec 01, 2024 328   @ Fairfield L 74-78 44%     1 - 6 -11.7 -2.5 -9.2
  Dec 04, 2024 204   @ Fordham L 75-84 19%     1 - 7 -8.8 -6.3 -1.6
  Dec 11, 2024 43   @ Villanova L 72-86 2%     1 - 8 +0.3 +10.6 -11.6
  Dec 18, 2024 236   @ La Salle L 72-77 23%     1 - 9 -6.5 -0.2 -6.3
  Dec 21, 2024 76   @ Minnesota L 60-74 5%     1 - 10 -4.1 -5.2 +0.6
  Dec 28, 2024 174   @ Boston College L 70-78 15%     1 - 11 -6.1 +8.2 -15.4
  Jan 05, 2025 347   @ Wagner W 71-59 53%     2 - 11 1 - 0 +1.9 -3.7 +5.7
  Jan 10, 2025 357   @ Le Moyne W 91-86 2OT 58%     3 - 11 2 - 0 -6.3 -7.7 +0.4
  Jan 12, 2025 331   St. Francis (PA) L 71-75 65%     3 - 12 2 - 1 -17.1 -8.2 -9.0
  Jan 18, 2025 197   Central Connecticut St. L 60-71 33%     3 - 13 2 - 2 -15.6 -12.3 -3.3
  Jan 20, 2025 360   @ Chicago St. W 58-48 65%     4 - 13 3 - 2 -3.2 -16.3 +13.6
  Jan 26, 2025 324   @ Stonehill W 65-54 42%     5 - 13 4 - 2 +3.8 -5.1 +10.2
  Jan 30, 2025 357   Le Moyne W 78-74 75%     6 - 13 5 - 2 -12.4 -0.4 -11.7
  Feb 01, 2025 350   Mercyhurst L 60-67 73%     6 - 14 5 - 3 -22.4 -15.2 -7.8
  Feb 06, 2025 197   @ Central Connecticut St. L 66-87 18%     6 - 15 5 - 4 -20.5 -3.9 -16.6
  Feb 08, 2025 347   Wagner W 69-58 72%     7 - 15 6 - 4 -4.2 -3.6 +0.2
  Feb 13, 2025 360   Chicago St. W 91-49 80%     8 - 15 7 - 4 +23.7 +12.7 +11.5
  Feb 15, 2025 323   @ LIU Brooklyn L 58-62 41%     8 - 16 7 - 5 -10.9 -9.9 -1.3
  Feb 20, 2025 350   @ Mercyhurst L 60-65 54%     8 - 17 7 - 6 -15.3 -13.9 -1.8
  Feb 22, 2025 331   @ St. Francis (PA) L 73-74 44%    
  Feb 27, 2025 324   Stonehill W 73-70 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 323   LIU Brooklyn W 67-64 62%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 4.2 11.5 15.7 2nd
3rd 8.6 36.2 7.3 52.1 3rd
4th 0.3 21.6 22.0 4th
5th 2.7 1.7 4.5 5th
6th 5.6 5.6 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 8.9 32.0 40.5 18.8 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 18.8% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 2.8 16.0
9-7 40.5% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 4.3 36.2
8-8 32.0% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 2.4 29.6
7-9 8.9% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.7 8.1
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 16.0 10.2 89.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.8% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.6%
Lose Out 4.1%