Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#325
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#328
Pace74.1#55
Improvement+2.8#61

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#298
First Shot-3.0#269
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#287
Layup/Dunks-1.2#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#105
Freethrows-1.5#276
Improvement-2.8#317

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#328
First Shot-3.6#289
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#308
Layups/Dunks-6.1#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#7
Freethrows-2.4#327
Improvement+5.6#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 12.1% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.9% 6.3% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 78.9% 91.7% 71.8%
Conference Champion 10.2% 17.9% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.7% 3.6%
First Four10.0% 11.4% 9.2%
First Round4.2% 5.1% 3.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Away) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 411 - 1111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 153   @ Miami (FL) L 72-113 11%     0 - 1 -37.8 -8.8 -26.5
  Nov 10, 2024 28   @ Creighton L 70-96 2%     0 - 2 -9.7 -1.6 -5.3
  Nov 13, 2024 52   @ Nebraska L 60-86 3%     0 - 3 -12.9 -7.6 -4.5
  Nov 17, 2024 296   Manhattan W 85-82 51%     1 - 3 -7.3 +5.0 -12.2
  Nov 20, 2024 302   @ Army L 70-84 33%     1 - 4 -19.3 -7.0 -12.0
  Nov 26, 2024 231   St. Peter's L 76-78 38%     1 - 5 -8.7 +8.2 -17.0
  Dec 01, 2024 318   @ Fairfield L 74-78 37%     1 - 6 -10.4 -3.1 -7.3
  Dec 04, 2024 223   @ Fordham L 75-84 19%     1 - 7 -9.8 -5.1 -3.7
  Dec 11, 2024 45   @ Villanova L 72-86 2%     1 - 8 -0.1 +9.3 -10.8
  Dec 18, 2024 192   @ La Salle L 72-77 15%     1 - 9 -3.8 +1.0 -4.8
  Dec 21, 2024 95   @ Minnesota L 60-74 5%     1 - 10 -5.6 -5.6 -0.6
  Dec 28, 2024 200   @ Boston College L 70-78 16%     1 - 11 -7.3 +6.6 -15.1
  Jan 05, 2025 338   @ Wagner W 71-59 46%     2 - 11 1 - 0 +3.1 -1.8 +5.0
  Jan 10, 2025 349   @ Le Moyne W 91-86 2OT 50%     3 - 11 2 - 0 -5.0 -5.2 -0.7
  Jan 12, 2025 344   St. Francis (PA) L 71-75 67%     3 - 12 2 - 1 -18.5 -8.0 -10.5
  Jan 18, 2025 229   Central Connecticut St. L 60-71 37%     3 - 13 2 - 2 -17.5 -12.6 -5.0
  Jan 20, 2025 360   @ Chicago St. W 58-48 58%     4 - 13 3 - 2 -2.1 -13.7 +12.0
  Jan 26, 2025 316   @ Stonehill L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 30, 2025 349   Le Moyne W 80-75 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 359   Mercyhurst W 74-67 77%    
  Feb 06, 2025 229   @ Central Connecticut St. L 65-74 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 338   Wagner W 66-62 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 360   Chicago St. W 75-68 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   @ LIU Brooklyn L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 20, 2025 359   @ Mercyhurst W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 22, 2025 344   @ St. Francis (PA) L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 316   Stonehill W 74-72 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 314   LIU Brooklyn W 71-70 57%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.6 1.9 0.3 10.2 1st
2nd 0.0 2.2 7.5 6.7 1.7 0.1 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.5 12.7 9.3 2.5 0.1 28.2 3rd
4th 1.7 9.3 6.5 0.6 18.0 4th
5th 0.5 5.6 5.2 0.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 4.0 0.4 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.5 0.7 3.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.8 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.4 6.2 12.1 18.5 21.7 18.4 12.6 5.5 2.0 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
13-3 94.4% 1.9    1.5 0.4 0.0
12-4 66.1% 3.6    2.0 1.4 0.2
11-5 26.5% 3.3    0.8 1.6 0.9 0.0
10-6 5.6% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 4.6 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.3% 26.9% 26.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-3 2.0% 22.7% 22.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.5
12-4 5.5% 21.1% 21.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1 4.3
11-5 12.6% 15.3% 15.3% 16.0 1.9 10.7
10-6 18.4% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 2.2 16.2
9-7 21.7% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 2.0 19.7
8-8 18.5% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 1.5 16.9
7-9 12.1% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 11.5
6-10 6.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.3 6.0
5-11 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 2.3
4-12 0.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.2 89.7 0.0%