Stonehill
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#316
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#281
Pace64.7#274
Improvement-2.1#278

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#292
First Shot-1.6#222
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#328
Layup/Dunks-4.5#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#49
Freethrows-0.9#246
Improvement+0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#309
First Shot-4.1#305
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#225
Layups/Dunks-1.9#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#177
Freethrows-2.1#315
Improvement-2.2#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.6% 14.2% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 54.2% 59.7% 32.9%
.500 or above in Conference 68.8% 74.4% 46.9%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.2% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 2.6% 11.3%
First Four12.5% 12.8% 11.2%
First Round6.2% 6.7% 4.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 79.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 414 - 915 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 79   @ Notre Dame L 60-89 5%     0 - 1 -19.1 -8.5 -11.4
  Nov 09, 2024 83   @ Providence L 49-76 5%     0 - 2 -17.3 -20.9 +4.4
  Nov 14, 2024 216   @ Robert Morris L 51-63 21%     0 - 3 -12.6 -19.5 +6.6
  Nov 15, 2024 347   New Orleans W 80-54 62%     1 - 3 +14.0 -0.3 +13.9
  Nov 17, 2024 342   Lindenwood L 74-75 60%     1 - 4 -12.6 +0.2 -12.8
  Nov 21, 2024 159   Bryant W 67-66 26%     2 - 4 -1.2 -5.1 +3.9
  Nov 25, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 67-65 75%     3 - 4 -14.1 -2.9 -11.0
  Nov 27, 2024 18   @ Marquette L 59-94 1%     3 - 5 -16.5 -2.7 -14.8
  Dec 01, 2024 186   Quinnipiac W 88-74 31%     4 - 5 +10.3 +20.2 -9.2
  Dec 15, 2024 200   @ Boston College L 69-73 18%     4 - 6 -3.3 +5.1 -8.9
  Dec 18, 2024 190   @ Umass Lowell L 67-78 17%     4 - 7 -9.7 -4.3 -5.8
  Dec 22, 2024 352   New Hampshire W 90-83 74%     5 - 7 -8.6 +14.1 -22.6
  Dec 29, 2024 277   @ Lafayette W 70-65 31%     6 - 7 +1.1 -1.4 +2.6
  Jan 03, 2025 359   @ Mercyhurst L 69-76 62%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -19.0 -8.4 -10.7
  Jan 05, 2025 344   @ St. Francis (PA) W 64-60 51%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -5.3 -5.7 +1.0
  Jan 10, 2025 314   LIU Brooklyn L 60-70 59%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -21.3 -8.2 -14.3
  Jan 12, 2025 360   @ Chicago St. W 68-52 62%     8 - 9 2 - 2 +3.9 +1.6 +4.1
  Jan 20, 2025 349   @ Le Moyne L 72-73 54%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -11.0 -2.5 -8.5
  Jan 24, 2025 360   Chicago St. W 71-63 80%    
  Jan 26, 2025 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 30, 2025 338   Wagner W 63-58 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 229   Central Connecticut St. L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 314   @ LIU Brooklyn L 64-67 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 344   St. Francis (PA) W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 359   Mercyhurst W 70-62 79%    
  Feb 20, 2025 338   @ Wagner L 60-61 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 229   @ Central Connecticut St. L 61-69 23%    
  Feb 27, 2025 325   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 349   Le Moyne W 75-69 73%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.8 0.3 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.9 6.8 4.2 0.7 0.0 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.5 11.5 7.6 1.1 0.0 23.8 3rd
4th 2.5 11.4 6.8 0.6 0.0 21.2 4th
5th 0.8 7.4 6.1 0.5 14.9 5th
6th 0.3 3.7 5.4 0.7 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.7 0.7 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.0 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.3 9.2 16.1 21.7 20.7 15.7 7.7 2.6 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 90.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-4 70.3% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1
11-5 31.3% 2.4    0.6 1.1 0.6 0.0
10-6 4.3% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 1.9 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.3% 36.4% 36.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
12-4 2.6% 32.4% 32.4% 15.9 0.1 0.8 1.8
11-5 7.7% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 1.7 6.0
10-6 15.7% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8 12.8
9-7 20.7% 15.3% 15.3% 16.0 3.2 17.5
8-8 21.7% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 2.4 19.4
7-9 16.1% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.6 14.5
6-10 9.2% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.7 8.5
5-11 4.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 4.1
4-12 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 13.6% 13.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.4 86.4 0.0%