Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#189
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#194
Pace77.1#17
Improvement+5.1#20

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#249
First Shot-3.1#270
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#174
Layup/Dunks-0.6#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#298
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement+3.4#40

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#135
First Shot+1.3#134
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#191
Layups/Dunks+0.6#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#191
Freethrows+0.2#172
Improvement+1.7#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.1% 26.8% 23.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 99.7% 100.0% 99.4%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 62.6% 75.7% 47.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.6% 1.5% 3.8%
First Round24.0% 26.1% 21.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Away) - 54.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 418 - 620 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 70   @ Yale L 62-88 13%     0 - 1 -15.4 -9.6 -5.0
  Nov 09, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 73-96 3%     0 - 2 -2.6 +6.2 -6.1
  Nov 15, 2024 209   Maine W 58-55 63%     1 - 2 -2.1 -12.4 +10.4
  Nov 19, 2024 283   @ Navy W 74-63 60%     2 - 2 +6.7 +2.8 +4.4
  Nov 23, 2024 225   @ Umass Lowell L 70-80 47%     2 - 3 -10.9 -8.5 -2.2
  Nov 25, 2024 109   @ Saint Louis L 67-81 23%     2 - 4 -8.1 -11.2 +4.9
  Dec 01, 2024 324   @ Stonehill L 74-88 70%     2 - 5 -21.2 +0.7 -22.6
  Dec 06, 2024 313   @ Rider W 72-67 68%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -1.5 +2.6 -3.7
  Dec 08, 2024 274   Sacred Heart W 83-73 75%     4 - 5 2 - 0 +1.1 +1.7 -0.8
  Dec 17, 2024 317   Holy Cross L 69-70 83%     4 - 6 -12.7 -9.3 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2024 197   @ Central Connecticut St. L 80-84 42%     4 - 7 -3.5 +7.2 -10.6
  Dec 29, 2024 227   Hofstra W 75-69 OT 67%     5 - 7 -0.1 -5.1 +4.4
  Jan 03, 2025 292   @ St. Peter's W 59-46 61%     6 - 7 3 - 0 +8.4 -6.3 +16.0
  Jan 05, 2025 223   @ Marist L 62-69 46%     6 - 8 3 - 1 -7.7 -11.3 +3.8
  Jan 10, 2025 228   Siena W 72-53 67%     7 - 8 4 - 1 +12.8 -4.4 +16.9
  Jan 12, 2025 259   @ Iona W 63-62 54%     8 - 8 5 - 1 -1.8 -8.4 +6.6
  Jan 16, 2025 214   Merrimack W 81-76 63%     9 - 8 6 - 1 -0.2 +8.6 -8.9
  Jan 18, 2025 258   @ Mount St. Mary's W 91-57 54%     10 - 8 7 - 1 +31.2 +20.7 +11.3
  Jan 25, 2025 313   Rider W 75-64 82%     11 - 8 8 - 1 -0.6 -1.1 +0.9
  Jan 31, 2025 328   Fairfield W 81-69 85%     12 - 8 9 - 1 -0.8 -2.0 +0.7
  Feb 02, 2025 228   @ Siena L 75-84 48%     12 - 9 9 - 2 -10.1 -6.6 -2.4
  Feb 06, 2025 354   Canisius W 89-71 91%     13 - 9 10 - 2 +1.9 +1.5 -0.4
  Feb 08, 2025 319   Niagara L 75-76 83%     13 - 10 10 - 3 -12.8 -1.2 -11.6
  Feb 14, 2025 274   @ Sacred Heart W 99-90 58%     14 - 10 11 - 3 +5.2 +6.0 -2.3
  Feb 16, 2025 259   Iona W 79-74 73%     15 - 10 12 - 3 -2.9 -1.6 -1.8
  Feb 23, 2025 263   @ Manhattan W 79-78 54%    
  Feb 28, 2025 292   St. Peter's W 70-62 78%    
  Mar 02, 2025 214   @ Merrimack L 66-68 43%    
  Mar 06, 2025 258   Mount St. Mary's W 76-70 73%    
  Mar 08, 2025 328   @ Fairfield W 76-70 70%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 4.4 21.1 26.4 10.7 62.6 1st
2nd 0.0 2.2 14.3 12.9 2.9 32.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.7 1.2 4.3 3rd
4th 0.3 0.4 0.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.7 5.4 19.9 34.0 29.3 10.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 10.7    9.5 1.2
16-4 90.0% 26.4    17.8 8.6
15-5 62.2% 21.1    7.6 12.2 1.4
14-6 22.1% 4.4    0.4 1.8 2.1 0.2
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total 62.6% 62.6 35.2 23.8 3.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 10.7% 32.8% 32.8% 14.2 0.6 1.7 1.2 0.0 7.2
16-4 29.3% 28.1% 28.1% 15.1 0.0 1.0 5.2 2.0 21.1
15-5 34.0% 24.3% 24.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 3.3 4.7 25.7
14-6 19.9% 20.3% 20.3% 15.7 0.1 1.2 2.8 15.9
13-7 5.4% 18.0% 18.0% 15.8 0.2 0.8 4.4
12-8 0.7% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.1 0.6
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 25.1% 25.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.6 3.0 11.0 10.5 74.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.5% 100.0% 14.2 16.8 49.0 33.6 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.8%
Lose Out 0.3%