Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#225
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#143
Pace76.6#39
Improvement+2.1#25

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#270
First Shot-2.9#258
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#201
Layup/Dunks-0.3#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#318
Freethrows-0.1#198
Improvement+0.7#89

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#158
First Shot+0.1#167
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#181
Layups/Dunks+0.8#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#293
Freethrows+2.2#68
Improvement+1.4#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.0% 18.5% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 69.2% 82.8% 63.9%
.500 or above in Conference 77.2% 84.3% 74.5%
Conference Champion 16.1% 23.2% 13.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.5% 2.0%
First Four1.9% 1.4% 2.1%
First Round13.0% 18.0% 11.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 28.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 415 - 618 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 100   @ Yale L 62-88 15%     0 - 1 -18.0 -9.8 -7.4
  Nov 09, 2024 15   @ St. John's L 73-96 4%     0 - 2 -5.3 -0.6 -2.0
  Nov 15, 2024 235   Maine W 58-55 64%     1 - 2 -3.8 -12.7 +9.0
  Nov 19, 2024 310   @ Navy W 74-63 59%     2 - 2 +5.7 +1.1 +5.0
  Nov 23, 2024 156   @ Umass Lowell L 74-80 28%    
  Nov 25, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 73-84 16%    
  Dec 01, 2024 339   @ Stonehill W 74-69 69%    
  Dec 06, 2024 239   @ Rider L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 08, 2024 325   Sacred Heart W 82-73 79%    
  Dec 17, 2024 315   Holy Cross W 79-71 79%    
  Dec 21, 2024 286   @ Central Connecticut St. W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 29, 2024 133   Hofstra L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 03, 2025 180   @ St. Peter's L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 05, 2025 233   @ Marist L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 10, 2025 307   Siena W 73-65 77%    
  Jan 12, 2025 249   @ Iona L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 16, 2025 228   Merrimack W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 281   @ Mount St. Mary's W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 239   Rider W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 31, 2025 274   Fairfield W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 02, 2025 307   @ Siena W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 06, 2025 351   Canisius W 80-67 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 304   Niagara W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 14, 2025 325   @ Sacred Heart W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 16, 2025 249   Iona W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 23, 2025 329   @ Manhattan W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 28, 2025 180   St. Peter's W 68-67 54%    
  Mar 02, 2025 228   @ Merrimack L 67-70 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 281   Mount St. Mary's W 76-70 71%    
  Mar 08, 2025 274   @ Fairfield L 72-73 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.7 3.1 4.6 3.4 2.1 0.7 0.2 16.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.8 4.1 1.7 0.3 0.1 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 5.0 3.7 1.0 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 4.4 3.3 0.7 0.1 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.5 0.4 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.5 2.1 3.5 1.1 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 3.2 1.3 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.4 0.2 5.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 2.6 3.3 6.4 7.9 10.3 11.9 11.7 11.3 10.8 8.3 6.3 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 97.4% 2.1    2.0 0.1
17-3 92.0% 3.4    2.8 0.5 0.0
16-4 72.6% 4.6    3.2 1.2 0.2
15-5 37.7% 3.1    1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0
14-6 15.5% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.5 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.1% 16.1 10.9 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 37.2% 37.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 52.7% 52.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
18-2 2.1% 42.8% 42.8% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2
17-3 3.6% 39.8% 39.8% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.2
16-4 6.3% 29.8% 29.8% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.1 4.4
15-5 8.3% 28.1% 28.1% 14.7 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.3 6.0
14-6 10.8% 20.0% 20.0% 15.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 8.7
13-7 11.3% 14.4% 14.4% 15.3 0.2 0.7 0.8 9.7
12-8 11.7% 10.9% 10.9% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.4
11-9 11.9% 7.2% 7.2% 15.9 0.1 0.7 11.0
10-10 10.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.1 0.4 9.9
9-11 7.9% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.4 7.5
8-12 6.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.3
7-13 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.3
6-14 2.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.6
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 14.0% 14.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 4.7 4.4 86.0 0.0%