Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#202
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#205
Pace66.6#232
Improvement+1.8#104

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#272
First Shot+0.9#148
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#360
Layup/Dunks+4.4#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#312
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement+1.0#116

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#120
First Shot+2.3#108
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#231
Layups/Dunks-2.0#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#64
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+0.8#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.4% 23.5% 16.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 94.0% 98.6% 91.4%
.500 or above in Conference 97.9% 99.6% 96.8%
Conference Champion 23.2% 35.8% 16.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% 1.3% 1.9%
First Round18.7% 23.1% 16.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 33 - 44 - 6
Quad 414 - 718 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 1   @ Duke L 62-96 1%     0 - 1 -7.5 -1.1 -4.7
  Nov 10, 2024 212   @ Brown W 69-67 42%     1 - 1 +2.0 -2.0 +4.1
  Nov 15, 2024 184   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 36%     1 - 2 -1.3 -12.7 +11.3
  Nov 20, 2024 209   @ Richmond L 66-70 41%     1 - 3 -3.7 -2.7 -1.1
  Nov 24, 2024 319   Holy Cross W 80-55 82%     2 - 3 +13.2 +0.3 +13.5
  Nov 29, 2024 158   Elon W 69-56 41%     3 - 3 +13.3 +1.6 +12.8
  Nov 30, 2024 287   @ Penn L 64-77 60%     3 - 4 -17.4 -6.9 -11.6
  Dec 01, 2024 291   Navy W 71-66 70%     4 - 4 -2.5 -2.8 +0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 221   @ Fordham L 72-87 45%     4 - 5 -15.6 -7.0 -7.2
  Dec 11, 2024 116   @ Duquesne W 61-56 24%     5 - 5 +10.6 +0.8 +10.6
  Dec 14, 2024 346   @ Canisius W 84-79 76%     6 - 5 -4.2 +10.9 -14.7
  Dec 21, 2024 320   @ Stony Brook L 72-74 67%     6 - 6 -8.5 +1.0 -9.7
  Dec 29, 2024 282   Boston University L 56-59 77%     6 - 7 -12.7 -12.3 -0.8
  Jan 04, 2025 157   @ Bryant L 55-81 31%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -22.8 -17.5 -4.6
  Jan 09, 2025 322   Binghamton W 82-71 83%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -1.1 +7.9 -8.2
  Jan 11, 2025 260   Albany W 87-66 73%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +12.6 +7.2 +5.1
  Jan 16, 2025 355   @ NJIT W 57-44 80%     9 - 8 3 - 1 +2.2 -10.0 +13.8
  Jan 18, 2025 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-62 56%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +21.5 +6.4 +14.3
  Jan 23, 2025 188   @ Umass Lowell L 71-74 37%    
  Jan 30, 2025 351   New Hampshire W 73-59 90%    
  Feb 01, 2025 211   @ Vermont L 60-62 42%    
  Feb 06, 2025 355   NJIT W 69-55 91%    
  Feb 08, 2025 271   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-73 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 211   Vermont W 63-59 65%    
  Feb 20, 2025 260   @ Albany W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 322   @ Binghamton W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 27, 2025 351   @ New Hampshire W 70-62 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 157   Bryant W 75-74 52%    
  Mar 04, 2025 188   Umass Lowell W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.6 6.4 8.8 5.2 1.1 23.2 1st
2nd 0.2 2.8 10.9 12.4 4.6 0.6 31.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 9.7 8.9 2.0 0.0 23.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 6.8 5.6 1.1 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.3 0.1 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.9 11.1 18.3 22.5 20.8 13.5 5.8 1.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.1
14-2 90.2% 5.2    4.0 1.2
13-3 65.6% 8.8    5.0 3.5 0.3 0.0
12-4 30.8% 6.4    1.9 3.2 1.1 0.1
11-5 7.1% 1.6    0.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 23.2% 23.2 12.2 8.5 2.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 1.1% 37.7% 37.7% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7
14-2 5.8% 32.9% 32.9% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 3.9
13-3 13.5% 27.9% 27.9% 14.7 0.1 1.2 2.3 0.2 9.7
12-4 20.8% 23.4% 23.4% 15.1 0.0 0.6 3.2 1.1 15.9
11-5 22.5% 18.4% 18.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 2.2 1.8 18.3
10-6 18.3% 14.3% 14.3% 15.6 1.0 1.6 15.7
9-7 11.1% 10.2% 10.2% 15.8 0.3 0.9 9.9
8-8 4.9% 7.7% 7.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.5
7-9 1.7% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.2 1.5
6-10 0.4% 0.4
5-11 0.1% 0.1
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 19.4% 19.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.1 0.6 3.0 9.7 6.0 80.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 13.0 20.0 60.0 20.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%