Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#212
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#168
Pace66.8#239
Improvement-0.8#242

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#282
First Shot+0.7#159
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#358
Layup/Dunks+5.1#31
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#342
Freethrows-1.0#243
Improvement+1.3#86

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#132
First Shot+1.7#120
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#228
Layups/Dunks-2.9#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#65
Freethrows-0.1#195
Improvement-2.1#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 15.4% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 82.6% 89.4% 72.8%
.500 or above in Conference 79.8% 82.7% 75.5%
Conference Champion 16.5% 18.8% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.7%
First Round13.1% 14.9% 10.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 59.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 54 - 7
Quad 414 - 618 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   @ Duke L 62-96 2%     0 - 1 -10.0 -0.8 -7.6
  Nov 10, 2024 156   @ Brown W 69-67 30%     1 - 1 +5.0 -0.8 +5.8
  Nov 15, 2024 245   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 47%     1 - 2 -4.8 -15.1 +10.2
  Nov 20, 2024 216   @ Richmond L 66-70 39%     1 - 3 -3.6 -4.5 +0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 310   Holy Cross W 80-55 80%     2 - 3 +13.7 +1.1 +13.2
  Nov 29, 2024 179   Elon W 69-56 44%     3 - 3 +12.1 +1.6 +11.6
  Nov 30, 2024 274   @ Penn L 64-77 53%     3 - 4 -16.2 -6.8 -10.4
  Dec 01, 2024 302   Navy W 71-66 69%     4 - 4 -2.7 -3.3 +0.9
  Dec 08, 2024 169   @ Fordham L 72-87 32%     4 - 5 -12.6 -5.4 -5.7
  Dec 11, 2024 200   @ Duquesne W 61-56 35%     5 - 5 +6.3 -0.3 +7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 350   @ Canisius W 84-79 74%     6 - 5 -4.3 +11.8 -15.7
  Dec 21, 2024 307   @ Stony Brook W 70-67 59%    
  Dec 29, 2024 256   Boston University W 68-62 70%    
  Jan 04, 2025 178   @ Bryant L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 09, 2025 314   Binghamton W 70-61 80%    
  Jan 11, 2025 236   Albany W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 16, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 68-61 74%    
  Jan 18, 2025 249   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 23, 2025 147   @ Umass Lowell L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 30, 2025 356   New Hampshire W 73-60 89%    
  Feb 01, 2025 184   @ Vermont L 60-64 34%    
  Feb 06, 2025 352   NJIT W 71-58 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 249   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 184   Vermont W 63-61 56%    
  Feb 20, 2025 236   @ Albany L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 314   @ Binghamton W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 27, 2025 356   @ New Hampshire W 70-63 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 178   Bryant W 76-75 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 147   Umass Lowell W 74-73 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.0 5.0 2.9 0.9 0.1 16.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.5 7.6 5.1 1.2 0.1 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.1 8.3 4.1 0.5 0.0 17.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 7.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.4 3.1 0.2 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.6 2.2 0.2 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.3 0.9 0.1 5.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.1 5.7 9.6 13.1 15.4 16.0 14.4 10.7 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-2 97.3% 2.9    2.6 0.3
13-3 81.2% 5.0    3.4 1.5 0.1
12-4 47.3% 5.0    1.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
11-5 15.5% 2.2    0.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 16.5% 16.5 9.3 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 40.4% 40.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.9% 39.4% 39.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-2 2.9% 32.8% 32.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0
13-3 6.2% 29.6% 29.6% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 4.4
12-4 10.7% 22.9% 22.9% 14.6 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.2 8.2
11-5 14.4% 18.9% 18.9% 15.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.5 11.6
10-6 16.0% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 14.0
9-7 15.4% 9.9% 9.9% 15.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 13.9
8-8 13.1% 7.2% 7.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 12.2
7-9 9.6% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.1 0.5 9.1
6-10 5.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.4
5-11 3.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.0
4-12 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-13 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 5.7 3.7 86.3 0.0%