Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#209
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#212
Pace65.7#244
Improvement+0.0#191

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#279
First Shot+0.7#145
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#360
Layup/Dunks+4.1#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#308
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement+0.7#147

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#134
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#240
Layups/Dunks-2.1#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#65
Freethrows-0.3#206
Improvement-0.7#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 20.8% 15.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 98.7% 100.0% 96.7%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 7.6% 12.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.5% 2.8% 4.4%
First Round17.0% 19.7% 13.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 58.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 44 - 5
Quad 414 - 818 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   @ Duke L 62-96 1%     0 - 1 -7.9 -2.2 -4.1
  Nov 10, 2024 185   @ Brown W 69-67 36%     1 - 1 +3.1 -1.3 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2024 189   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 37%     1 - 2 -2.1 -13.1 +10.9
  Nov 20, 2024 218   @ Richmond L 66-70 43%     1 - 3 -4.6 -4.9 +0.2
  Nov 24, 2024 317   Holy Cross W 80-55 81%     2 - 3 +13.3 +2.4 +11.4
  Nov 29, 2024 175   Elon W 69-56 44%     3 - 3 +12.1 +1.2 +12.1
  Nov 30, 2024 260   @ Penn L 64-77 51%     3 - 4 -15.8 -6.8 -10.1
  Dec 01, 2024 283   Navy W 71-66 66%     4 - 4 -1.8 -1.0 -0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 204   @ Fordham L 72-87 40%     4 - 5 -14.8 -8.3 -5.1
  Dec 11, 2024 132   @ Duquesne W 61-56 26%     5 - 5 +9.2 +0.6 +9.3
  Dec 14, 2024 354   @ Canisius W 84-79 79%     6 - 5 -6.0 +9.9 -15.5
  Dec 21, 2024 320   @ Stony Brook L 72-74 66%     6 - 6 -8.9 -0.5 -8.6
  Dec 29, 2024 300   Boston University L 56-59 77%     6 - 7 -13.4 -13.0 -0.7
  Jan 04, 2025 161   @ Bryant L 55-81 31%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -23.4 -18.0 -4.6
  Jan 09, 2025 299   Binghamton W 82-71 77%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +0.8 +10.8 -9.3
  Jan 11, 2025 267   Albany W 87-66 71%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +12.9 +8.2 +4.3
  Jan 16, 2025 346   @ NJIT W 57-44 76%     9 - 8 3 - 1 +2.9 -11.0 +15.5
  Jan 18, 2025 288   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-62 57%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +20.5 +6.1 +13.6
  Jan 23, 2025 225   @ Umass Lowell W 86-85 OT 44%     11 - 8 5 - 1 +0.1 +4.1 -4.1
  Jan 30, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 71-46 90%     12 - 8 6 - 1 +8.7 -0.5 +12.2
  Feb 01, 2025 230   @ Vermont L 49-55 44%     12 - 9 6 - 2 -7.1 -11.7 +3.5
  Feb 06, 2025 346   NJIT W 78-74 88%     13 - 9 7 - 2 -11.2 +11.8 -22.4
  Feb 08, 2025 288   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-50 75%     14 - 9 8 - 2 +13.4 -6.4 +20.2
  Feb 15, 2025 230   Vermont L 61-65 64%     14 - 10 8 - 3 -10.2 -3.7 -7.0
  Feb 20, 2025 267   @ Albany L 68-79 52%     14 - 11 8 - 4 -14.0 -6.2 -7.9
  Feb 22, 2025 299   @ Binghamton W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 72-63 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 161   Bryant L 73-74 51%    
  Mar 04, 2025 225   Umass Lowell W 75-72 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 7.3 7.6 1st
2nd 0.2 4.8 16.9 8.1 30.1 2nd
3rd 0.7 12.2 27.1 19.1 1.2 60.3 3rd
4th 0.7 1.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.3 0.3 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.7 13.5 31.9 36.3 16.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 43.9% 7.3    0.2 4.3 2.8
11-5 0.9% 0.3    0.1 0.3
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 0.2 4.4 3.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 16.6% 26.5% 26.5% 14.7 0.1 1.5 2.6 0.2 12.2
11-5 36.3% 19.5% 19.5% 15.5 0.3 3.2 3.7 29.2
10-6 31.9% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8 0.0 1.0 4.0 26.8
9-7 13.5% 13.0% 13.0% 15.8 0.3 1.5 11.7
8-8 1.7% 8.1% 8.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.6
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 1.8 7.0 9.5 81.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.4% 100.0% 14.7 2.5 33.8 58.3 5.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.2%
Lose Out 0.7%