Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#218
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#238
Pace62.0#337
Improvement+2.7#78

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#220
First Shot+2.9#97
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#359
Layup/Dunks-3.9#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows+5.7#2
Improvement+2.8#56

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#215
First Shot+0.3#174
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#312
Layups/Dunks+4.9#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#287
Freethrows-1.1#263
Improvement-0.1#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.1% 2.0% 19.8%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 9.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 104 - 18
Quad 45 - 39 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 223   Marist L 72-79 60%     0 - 1 -12.8 +1.6 -14.7
  Nov 13, 2024 235   @ Charlotte L 48-65 43%     0 - 2 -18.5 -22.0 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2024 232   @ Bucknell L 76-80 2OT 43%     0 - 3 -5.3 -9.1 +4.4
  Nov 20, 2024 209   Maine W 70-66 57%     1 - 3 -1.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Nov 26, 2024 123   Louisiana Tech L 62-65 30%     1 - 4 -0.9 -3.9 +2.7
  Nov 27, 2024 261   Ball St. W 73-60 59%     2 - 4 +7.5 +4.4 +4.8
  Dec 08, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 54-98 1%     2 - 5 -17.9 -10.6 -5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 140   Belmont L 86-93 43%     2 - 6 -8.4 +0.9 -8.7
  Dec 18, 2024 216   @ William & Mary L 87-93 40%     2 - 7 -6.4 +16.9 -23.7
  Dec 21, 2024 309   VMI W 78-71 77%     3 - 7 -4.0 +6.8 -10.3
  Dec 28, 2024 180   Florida Gulf Coast L 57-75 52%     3 - 8 -21.6 -15.7 -7.1
  Dec 31, 2024 117   George Washington W 66-61 37%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +5.2 -1.1 +6.7
  Jan 04, 2025 168   @ Massachusetts W 72-64 30%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +10.2 +6.4 +4.2
  Jan 08, 2025 75   @ George Mason L 58-64 11%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +4.1 +5.7 -2.7
  Jan 11, 2025 121   Rhode Island L 64-67 OT 39%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -3.3 -11.2 +8.0
  Jan 15, 2025 106   @ St. Bonaventure L 49-63 18%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -7.4 -7.3 -3.5
  Jan 18, 2025 109   Saint Louis L 59-63 35%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -3.2 -14.9 +11.8
  Jan 25, 2025 129   Davidson L 66-72 41%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -6.8 -4.1 -3.2
  Jan 29, 2025 117   @ George Washington L 66-75 21%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -3.7 +3.3 -7.7
  Feb 01, 2025 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 49-90 5%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -25.3 -6.5 -26.3
  Feb 05, 2025 132   Duquesne W 73-68 41%     6 - 15 3 - 7 +4.1 +13.5 -8.6
  Feb 08, 2025 129   @ Davidson L 60-71 24%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -6.7 +3.1 -12.7
  Feb 11, 2025 110   Loyola Chicago L 80-87 OT 35%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -6.2 +11.7 -18.1
  Feb 15, 2025 204   Fordham W 70-66 57%     7 - 17 4 - 9 -0.9 -0.6 -0.1
  Feb 19, 2025 236   @ La Salle W 63-58 43%     8 - 17 5 - 9 +3.5 -0.8 +5.0
  Feb 22, 2025 78   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-75 10%    
  Feb 25, 2025 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 60-74 11%    
  Mar 01, 2025 83   @ Dayton L 63-75 11%    
  Mar 08, 2025 75   George Mason L 58-66 24%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.6 0.5 1.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 0.1 2.9 10th
11th 3.3 3.6 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 2.1 13.9 1.5 17.4 12th
13th 36.4 16.3 0.2 52.8 13th
14th 15.7 0.7 16.4 14th
15th 1.9 1.9 15th
Total 55.9 34.4 8.4 1.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 1.2% 1.2
7-11 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
6-12 34.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 34.4
5-13 55.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 55.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 37.5%