Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#201
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#300
Pace66.9#255
Improvement+1.2#69

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#263
First Shot-2.0#236
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#241
Layup/Dunks-2.4#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#294
Freethrows+6.5#6
Improvement+1.1#56

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#224
Layups/Dunks+6.3#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#225
Freethrows-3.9#339
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.7 13.2
.500 or above 11.4% 23.2% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 16.7% 24.4% 14.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 26.7% 19.6% 28.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Neutral) - 22.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 61 - 9
Quad 34 - 85 - 17
Quad 45 - 311 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 233   Marist L 72-79 67%     0 - 1 -13.6 -1.9 -12.0
  Nov 13, 2024 142   @ Charlotte L 48-65 27%     0 - 2 -12.6 -18.4 +4.2
  Nov 16, 2024 235   @ Bucknell L 76-80 2OT 45%     0 - 3 -4.7 -8.9 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2024 236   Maine W 70-66 68%     1 - 3 -2.8 -0.8 -1.8
  Nov 26, 2024 87   Louisiana Tech L 63-71 22%    
  Nov 27, 2024 280   Ball St. W 71-67 65%    
  Dec 08, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 61-85 1%    
  Dec 14, 2024 141   Belmont L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 18, 2024 210   @ William & Mary L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 21, 2024 344   VMI W 79-66 89%    
  Dec 28, 2024 218   Florida Gulf Coast W 66-62 63%    
  Dec 31, 2024 143   George Washington W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 128   @ Massachusetts L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 08, 2025 92   @ George Mason L 62-72 18%    
  Jan 11, 2025 113   Rhode Island L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 15, 2025 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-71 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 100   Saint Louis L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 131   Davidson L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 143   @ George Washington L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-74 11%    
  Feb 05, 2025 211   Duquesne W 68-65 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 131   @ Davidson L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 11, 2025 104   Loyola Chicago L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 162   Fordham W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 19, 2025 121   @ La Salle L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 99   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 25, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-71 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 60   @ Dayton L 59-73 11%    
  Mar 08, 2025 92   George Mason L 65-69 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.3 1.3 0.8 0.1 2.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.6 0.8 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.2 0.1 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 2.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.4 1.8 0.1 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.1 3.8 0.5 0.0 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.0 1.4 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.0 2.6 0.2 13.2 13th
14th 0.2 1.4 4.5 6.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 16.1 14th
15th 0.9 2.9 5.1 5.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 17.1 15th
Total 0.9 3.0 6.5 10.6 13.1 14.1 13.5 12.3 9.2 7.0 4.5 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.9% 0.0    0.0
15-3 79.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 53.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 12.8% 7.7% 5.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.6%
14-4 0.3% 15.2% 14.4% 0.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9%
13-5 0.7% 8.1% 8.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.4% 5.7% 5.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
11-7 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
10-8 4.5% 1.7% 1.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
9-9 7.0% 1.1% 1.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
8-10 9.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
7-11 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-13 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.1
4-14 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
3-15 10.6% 10.6
2-16 6.5% 6.5
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.5 0.0%