Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#128
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#183
Pace63.1#316
Improvement+7.6#2

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#180
First Shot-2.3#236
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#55
Layup/Dunks-2.3#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#35
Freethrows-2.9#336
Improvement+5.3#5

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#112
First Shot+1.9#116
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#172
Layups/Dunks+1.3#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#89
Freethrows-2.2#321
Improvement+2.3#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.7% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 23.5% 32.0% 11.1%
.500 or above in Conference 69.1% 80.3% 52.9%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 63 - 8
Quad 36 - 69 - 14
Quad 45 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 93   Lipscomb L 72-77 44%     0 - 1 -1.6 -4.2 +3.0
  Nov 08, 2024 125   Princeton L 68-75 49%     0 - 2 -4.7 -6.5 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2024 113   @ DePaul L 58-84 37%     0 - 3 -20.5 -5.4 -18.6
  Nov 19, 2024 162   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-80 66%     0 - 4 -8.4 +1.1 -9.5
  Nov 24, 2024 115   South Dakota St. L 60-71 47%     0 - 5 -8.1 -8.7 -0.2
  Nov 25, 2024 254   Hampton L 59-64 76%     0 - 6 -10.5 -11.7 +1.0
  Nov 26, 2024 287   Old Dominion W 67-54 81%     1 - 6 +5.8 -9.5 +15.2
  Dec 03, 2024 231   St. Peter's L 59-62 79%     1 - 7 -9.7 -1.9 -8.3
  Dec 06, 2024 195   Delaware W 80-66 73%     2 - 7 +9.8 +7.6 +3.1
  Dec 11, 2024 201   Maine L 56-61 74%     2 - 8 -9.6 -8.4 -1.8
  Dec 14, 2024 175   Towson W 65-47 60%     3 - 8 +17.3 +11.9 +10.6
  Dec 21, 2024 61   UC Irvine W 70-54 33%     4 - 8 +22.6 +16.5 +8.8
  Dec 31, 2024 120   Rhode Island W 67-55 58%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +12.0 +1.0 +12.1
  Jan 04, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 71-77 40%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -1.5 +7.2 -9.5
  Jan 08, 2025 84   Saint Joseph's W 85-81 OT 40%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +8.5 +10.0 -1.8
  Jan 15, 2025 118   @ George Washington W 73-65 37%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +13.3 +5.2 +8.3
  Jan 18, 2025 99   St. Bonaventure W 75-57 50%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +20.0 +12.4 +9.8
  Jan 21, 2025 68   Dayton L 62-82 36%     8 - 10 4 - 2 -14.4 -5.5 -10.3
  Jan 26, 2025 223   @ Fordham W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 29, 2025 84   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 01, 2025 168   Massachusetts W 74-69 69%    
  Feb 05, 2025 208   @ Richmond W 66-64 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 132   Loyola Chicago W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 68   @ Dayton L 63-72 19%    
  Feb 19, 2025 223   Fordham W 74-66 78%    
  Feb 22, 2025 99   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-68 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 192   @ La Salle W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 77   George Mason L 61-64 41%    
  Mar 04, 2025 40   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-70 27%    
  Mar 08, 2025 103   @ Saint Louis L 68-73 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 4.1 1.3 0.1 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 6.1 2.5 0.2 10.8 4th
5th 0.8 6.9 4.7 0.4 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 4.6 7.9 1.2 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 1.3 8.1 2.8 0.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.2 4.5 5.4 0.5 10.5 8th
9th 1.2 6.6 1.5 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 3.4 2.9 0.1 6.5 10th
11th 1.0 3.2 0.8 0.0 5.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.7 1.3 0.1 3.1 12th
13th 0.5 1.1 0.2 1.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 15th
Total 0.1 1.0 4.1 9.4 16.3 20.4 20.2 14.6 8.7 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 93.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 41.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 6.9% 6.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.2% 13.7% 13.7% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 3.8% 8.0% 8.0% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.5
12-6 8.7% 6.8% 6.8% 12.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 8.2
11-7 14.6% 3.0% 3.0% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 14.1
10-8 20.2% 2.0% 2.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 19.8
9-9 20.4% 0.7% 0.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 20.2
8-10 16.3% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.1 0.1 16.2
7-11 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 9.4
6-12 4.1% 4.1
5-13 1.0% 1.0
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 13.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 97.8 0.0%