Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#99
Expected Predictive Rating+10.2#59
Pace76.2#30
Improvement-2.9#328

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#103
First Shot+4.9#56
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#300
Layup/Dunks+1.6#126
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
Freethrows+4.2#13
Improvement-2.0#322

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#100
First Shot+3.1#84
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#216
Layups/Dunks-3.1#298
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#9
Freethrows+0.4#164
Improvement-0.9#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.0% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.3 11.2 11.6
.500 or above 98.3% 99.3% 96.7%
.500 or above in Conference 80.3% 83.5% 75.3%
Conference Champion 10.1% 11.8% 7.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.5%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round8.4% 9.6% 6.6%
Second Round2.1% 2.6% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Neutral) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 43 - 5
Quad 310 - 514 - 9
Quad 48 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 280   Fairfield W 96-58 91%     1 - 0 +28.4 +9.3 +16.3
  Nov 08, 2024 310   Holy Cross W 91-77 93%     2 - 0 +2.7 +5.6 -3.5
  Nov 20, 2024 246   Lafayette W 86-72 89%     3 - 0 +6.2 +7.9 -2.1
  Nov 24, 2024 121   College of Charleston W 91-53 72%     4 - 0 +37.5 +12.2 +23.0
  Nov 27, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy W 81-75 91%     5 - 0 -3.1 +4.3 -7.4
  Nov 28, 2024 145   Texas Arlington W 83-78 68%     6 - 0 +5.5 +4.5 +0.8
  Dec 02, 2024 100   Yale W 84-78 62%     7 - 0 +8.3 +5.1 +2.8
  Dec 07, 2024 73   Providence W 69-63 53%     8 - 0 +10.6 +1.8 +8.9
  Dec 10, 2024 156   @ Brown L 80-84 2OT 60%     8 - 1 -1.0 -6.7 +6.5
  Dec 15, 2024 221   Central Connecticut St. W 77-69 86%     9 - 1 +2.0 +3.6 -1.7
  Dec 21, 2024 119   Temple W 77-74 60%    
  Dec 31, 2024 200   @ Duquesne W 73-69 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 87   George Mason W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 08, 2025 136   George Washington W 82-75 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 216   @ Richmond W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 15, 2025 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 122   Davidson W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 21, 2025 57   Virginia Commonwealth L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 164   @ La Salle W 80-77 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 191   Massachusetts W 84-74 81%    
  Feb 05, 2025 169   @ Fordham W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 87   @ George Mason L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 12, 2025 89   St. Bonaventure W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 164   La Salle W 83-74 79%    
  Feb 22, 2025 143   @ Saint Louis W 82-80 56%    
  Feb 26, 2025 46   Dayton L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 191   @ Massachusetts W 81-77 63%    
  Mar 05, 2025 96   @ Saint Joseph's L 75-78 39%    
  Mar 08, 2025 169   Fordham W 82-73 79%    
Projected Record 20 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.8 3.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 10.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.4 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.7 4.3 1.3 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.6 2.0 0.2 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.1 3.3 0.4 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 1.1 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.5 0.1 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.3 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.4 8.4 10.9 13.7 14.6 13.8 11.4 8.0 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.1% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 91.5% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
15-3 69.0% 3.3    1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 35.0% 2.8    0.9 1.2 0.6 0.1
13-5 9.6% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 5.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 81.7% 33.3% 48.3% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.5%
17-1 0.7% 58.2% 29.5% 28.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 40.7%
16-2 2.2% 35.9% 23.2% 12.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.4 16.5%
15-3 4.8% 24.8% 21.0% 3.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 3.6 4.8%
14-4 8.0% 17.4% 15.9% 1.5% 11.3 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 6.6 1.8%
13-5 11.4% 13.9% 13.8% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.0 9.9 0.2%
12-6 13.8% 9.5% 9.4% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 12.5 0.1%
11-7 14.6% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 11.9 0.2 0.8 0.1 13.7 0.0%
10-8 13.7% 3.9% 3.9% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 13.2
9-9 10.9% 2.2% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.7
8-10 8.4% 1.7% 1.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.3
7-11 5.4% 0.9% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3
6-12 3.2% 0.8% 0.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
5-13 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 1.7
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.7% 7.9% 0.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 3.5 4.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 91.3 0.9%